Read https://scribepublications.com.au/books/earthquake

In her highly popular columns, Niki Savva captured all this and more in her typically uncompromising, penetrating, and prescient way. Now, following on from So Greek, The Road to Ruin, Plots and Prayers, and Bulldozed, she also provides a detailed, considered analysis of what went on behind the scenes, accompanied by her trademark access to important players and eyewitnesses, of an election that transformed Australian politics.

Earthquake by Niki Savva | Book | Scribe


Earthquake is an exploration into the 2025 Australian Federal election, where:

Labour secured 94 seats in the House of Representatives – the highest number of seats ever won by a single political party in an Australian election. Labor also received the highest two-party-preferred vote of any party since 1975—at 55.22%.

Source: 2025 Australian federal election – Wikipedia

Through it Niki Savva explores both what led up to to the seismic event and the fallout afterwards.

The book is made up of two parts. Part I collects together all her columns from The Age / Sydney Morning Herald between 2021 and 2025. These are used to provide context. Part II is a deeper analysis that combines Savva’s recount with commentary from various figures involved.

I found it a strange reading experience. On the one hand, having consumed my healthy dose of political report (primarily ABC’s Politics Now podcast) the various events were familiar, whether it be Cyclone Alfred, the debates, the party of lower taxes, not working from home, the influence of Trump, and the aftershocks. However, Savva provides a level of detail and insight which adds fresh light to it all. It also provides an insight into some of the mechanics associated with the political machine.

As Chris Kenny states in his review in The Coversation, the book is more than an analysis of an event, but a “journey to the dead heart of the centre-right’s Trump-addled identity crisis.” It is also cautionary tale for both sides:

Earthquake, though, should be read as a cautionary tale for both sides. Their concrete silos stand half-empty; their grains of truth are no longer a staple in a world of fluid allegiances and ephemer

Source: Niki Savva’s Earthquake Is a Damning Account of the Election That Shook Australia by Mark Kenny

Read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Everything_Is_Tuberculosis

Everything Is Tuberculosis: The History and Persistence of Our Deadliest Infection is a book by American author John Green about tuberculosis, a curable disease usually brought on by the bacteria Mycobacterium tuberculosis that is the leading cause of death from an infectious disease. The book argues that the disease is not primarily caused by the bacteria anymore but by human choices. It was published on March 18, 2025, and is Green’s second nonfiction book. The book was well received and became a New York Times number one bestseller in nonfiction.

Everything Is Tuberculosis – Wikipedia


In his book, Everything Is Tuberculosis: The History and Persistence of Our Deadliest Infection, John Green explores the different versions of TB, its long history, and the stigma surrounding it and its political  and social origins. I wrote a longer response here.

Highlights

If a reason is not immediately apparent, we will find one. I am reminded of a poem in Kurt Vonnegut’s novel Cat’s Cradle:

Tiger got to hunt,
Bird got to fly;
Man got to sit and wonder, “Why, why, why?”
Tiger got to sleep,
Bird got to land;
Man got to tell himself he understand.

Vonnegut reminds us that we are both inclined toward curiosity and inclined toward arriving at some kind of comprehensible conclusion.

Note: The challenge of curiousity and conclusion


How might the contemporary story of tuberculosis be different had we listened to African American physicians like Dr. A. Wilberforce Williams, who noted over a century ago that the real cause of TB was not race but “poverty, bad housing, bad sanitation, bad working conditions, long hours, high rent, [and] poor food”?

Note: Real cause of TB = poverty, bad housing etc


I should acknowledge, I guess, that one reason I’m interested in TB is that I have obsessive-compulsive disorder, and my particular obsessive worries tend to circle around microbes and illness. Before the germ theory of disease, we did not know that around half the cells in my body do not, in fact, belong to my body—they are bacteria and other microscopic organisms colonizing me. And to one degree or another, these microorganisms can also control the body—shaping the body’s contours by making it gain or lose weight, sickening the body, killing the body. There’s even emerging evidence that one’s microbiome may have a relationship with thought itself through the gut-brain information axis, meaning that at least some of my thoughts may belong not to me, but to the microorganisms in my digestive tract. Research indicates that certain gut microbiomes are associated with major depression and anxiety disorders; in fact, it’s possible that my particular microbiome is at least partly responsible for my OCD, meaning that the microbes are the reason I’m so deeply afraid of microbes.

Note: The impact of gut microbes on everything. This is something that I vaguely remember the Health Report discussing.


around 90 percent of people infected with TB will never become sick, because the body successfully walls off the TB in tubercle

Note: TB in a lot of us, dormant


In short, no fashion would suffice unless it was defined as hygienic by the patriarchal medical establishment. And moral hygiene—being clean not just in body but also in mind and action—continued to be seen as essential to controlling tuberculosis. One could not drink too much, or overindulge in any other vice, without risking inviting TB into one’s body.

Note: Being ‘clean’ in mind seen as relating to TB


Clean air, rest, and sunshine were believed to “infuse new hope and courage,” as one person put it, and so sanatoria focused on controlling the behavior of patients and requiring them to be largely immobile and outside whenever possible.

Note: Explanation of sanatoriums. I remember there was one in Mount Macedon.


Having been told that patients could not be exposed to bad news without risking their health, Gale never told Angie that her sister had died. But it didn’t matter. “I saw them wheeling a stretcher with a body on it down to the morgue. I knew right away it was my best friend Angie.” Gale was eight years old.

Note: No bad news for fear of ill health of the mind


When a program loses a large percentage of its patients, is this a compliance problem or a surveillance problem? Is it a patient’s fault when he or she cannot afford the food necessary to ward off the hunger brought on by the drugs?”
More broadly, is it a patient’s fault if they are too disabled by depression and isolation to follow through on treatment? Is it a patient’s fault if they or their children become so hungry that they feel obliged to sell their medication for food? Is it a patient’s fault if their living conditions, or concomitant diagnoses, or drug use disorder, or unmanaged side effects, or societal stigma result in them abandoning treatment?

Note: How do you measure the success of a program, with regards to compliance? Especially with the side-effects and challenges of support, such as access to food.


This is often not an environment patients are excited to return to—and yet somehow we always seem to blame the patient for noncompliance, rather than blaming the structures of the social order that make compliance more difficult.

Note: Structures of social order and success.


The real issue is not that TB is uncommonly good at selecting for resistance. The real problem is that in the forty-six years between 1966 and 2012, we developed no new drugs to treat tuberculosis.

Note: No appetite for drug development


When you write a novel, you are alone in it. I wrote that book alone, sitting in airports and coffee shops and lying in bed. But when writing, there is always for me a hope that one day I will not be alone—not in this work and not in this world. It is a bit like that old children’s pool game Marco Polo, where one person closes their eyes and swims around the pool trying to tag someone else. “Marco,” the person with eyes closed says, and the other pool-goers have to answer, “Polo.” “Marco, Marco, Marco,” cries one kid, and the others reply: “Polo. Polo. Polo.” Writing is like that for me, like I’m typing “Marco, Marco, Marco” for years, and then finally the work is finished and someone reads it and says, “Polo.”

Note: Writing as a game of Marco, Polo


Analyses of cost-effectiveness often only run skin deep. When looking at the larger costs—the cost of the ineffective pills, the cost of potentially further spreading drug-resistant TB, the cost of hospitalizing a kid who should’ve been in school, and all the other costs of not getting kids access to proper testing—GeneXpert tests should be in every clinic in every country with a high burden of TB. But the obsession with cost-effectiveness often ends at, “Can we get this disease diagnosed more cheaply?” rather than a broader consideration of the human costs.

Tuberculosis is so often, and in so many ways, a disease of vicious cycles: It’s an illness of poverty that worsens poverty. It’s an illness that worsens other illnesses—from HIV to diabetes. It’s an illness of weak healthcare systems that weakens healthcare systems. It’s an illness of malnutrition that worsens malnutrition. And it’s an illness of the stigmatized that worsens stigmatization. In the face of all this, it’s easy to despair. TB doesn’t just flow through the meandering river of injustice; TB broadens and deepens that river.

Note: TB worsened by poverty and inequality


A child born in Sierra Leone is over one hundred times as likely to die of tuberculosis than a child born in the United States. This difference, as Dr. Joia Mukherjee writes, is “not caused by genetics, biology, or culture. Health inequities are caused by poverty, racism, lack of medical care, and other social forces.”

Note: TB worsened by poverty and inequality


TB in the twenty-first century is really caused by those social determinants of health, which at their core are about human-built systems for extracting and allocating resources. The real cause of contemporary tuberculosis is, for lack of a better term, us.

Note: TB worsened by poverty and inequality


We cannot address TB only with vaccines and medications. We cannot address it only with comprehensive STP programs. We must also address the root cause of tuberculosis, which is injustice. In a world where everyone can eat, and access healthcare, and be treated humanely, tuberculosis has no chance. Ultimately, we are the cause.

We must also be the cure.

Note: TB as a political disease


Liked https://www.theredhandfiles.com/music-not-death/ (theredhandfiles.com)

Brendan, I wish I could write political songs, there are some great ones out there. It would all be much simpler, more certain, and dependable – get up in the morning, go online, get enraged, turn it into verse, inspire thousands, change the world – but I’m just not that kind of songwriter. I’m not trying to save the world, Brendan, I’m trying to save the soul of the world.

Nick Cave – The Red Hand Files – Issue #330 – This is a question about music not death or anything like that, (have you ever started writing a song and said screw it I can’t figure out the middle or the end and just said screw it. And then a couple months later or so it hits you like a ton of bricks, now I got it)?  : The Red Hand Files by Nick Cave – The Red Hand Files – Issue – This is a question about music not death or anything like that, (have you ever started writing a song and said screw it I can’t figure out the middle or the end and just said screw it. And then a couple months later or so it hits you like a ton of bricks, now I got it)?  : The Red Hand Files


Liked https://snyder.substack.com/p/twenty-lessons-on-tyranny (snyder.substack.com)

These lessons are the openings of the twenty chapters of my little 2017 book On Tyranny, which has just been lightly edited since in successive printings to account for the Big Lie, the coup attempt, the war in Ukraine, and the risks we face in 2024. The lessons remain the same.

Source: Twenty Lessons On Tyranny by Timothy Snyder

Bookmarked Is Donald Trump a fascist? by David Runciman (The Guardian)

Trump is too fickle and essentially reactive to be a fascist. At the same time, the would-be fascists who have made him their cause are no nearer to running the show than they were in 2016. If anything, it is the illiberal authoritarians circling around Trump who carry the greater clout. Yet Trump is also too volatile and too haphazard to pass as a plausible authoritarian. He lacks the necessary discipline, which is why the project for some backers of Trump 2.0 has been to use him as a vehicle back into executive power, then sideline him. It is reminiscent of what some of the illiberal conservative elements in German politics believed about Hitler in 1933. We know how that worked out.

Source: Is Donald Trump a fascist? by David Runciman


David Runciman asks whether Donald Trump is a fascist? The answer, no, but it does not mean that fascism may not come in on his watch.

Interestingly, Richard Evans wrote about the same thing in response to the storming of the capital on the 6th of January, 2021. He explained that Donald Trump’s roll as an isolationist is counter to the fascist mandate for war and conquest.

 

Liked https://blog.ayjay.org/articulatation/ (blog.ayjay.org)

The question is: How did we get here? How did we get to the point at which our Presidential candidates are actually less articulate than the average person? How did we manage to create a Presidential campaign season which resembles nothing so much as a pack of dogs barking idiotically through endless nights? 

I dunno. But I have one theory: To speak articulately, in an age in which one’s every utterance is recorded and analyzed, is to court refutation and correction. Perhaps this is evolutionarily adaptive behavior for politicians: nobody can call you out if you just hang the tattered washing on the line. 

Or maybe we’ve just ceased to care about anything being done well.

Source: articulation – The Homebound Symphony by Alan Jacobs

Bookmarked More Proof That This Really Is the End of History (theatlantic.com)

Over the past year, it has become evident that there are key weaknesses at the core of seemingly strong authoritarian states.

Francis Fukuyama applies his thesis that history ends with the prevelance of democray to today.

Fukuyama argues that history should be viewed as an evolutionary process, and that the end of history, in this sense, means that liberal democracy is the final form of government for all nations. According to Fukuyama, since the French Revolution, liberal democracy has repeatedly proven to be a fundamentally better system (ethically, politically, economically) than any of the alternatives,[1] and so there can be no progression from it to an alternative system. Fukuyama claims not that events will stop occurring in the future, but rather that all that will happen in the future (even if totalitarianism returns) is that democracy will become more and more prevalent in the long term.

On the flip side, he considers the many authoritarian failures.

Supporters of liberal democracy must not give in to a fatalism that tacitly accepts the Russian-Chinese line that such democracies are in inevitable decline. The long-term progress of modern institutions is neither linear nor automatic. Over the years, we have seen huge setbacks to the progress of liberal and democratic institutions, with the rise of fascism and communism in the 1930s, or the military coups and oil crises of the 1960s and ’70s. And yet, liberal democracy has endured and come back repeatedly, because the alternatives are so bad. People across varied cultures do not like living under dictatorship, and they value their individual freedom. No authoritarian government presents a society that is, in the long term, more attractive than liberal democracy, and could therefore be considered the goal or end point of historical progress. The millions of people voting with their feet—leaving poor, corrupt, or violent countries for life not in Russia, China, or Iran but in the liberal, democratic West—amply demonstrate this.

The big question, Fukuyama suggests, with all this is the United States. Although democracy is the end state, it is still something that we must struggle for.

Bookmarked Into the muck (europeanreviewofbooks.com)

Time? For? Socialism? What happened when Thomas Piketty descended from the elegant mathematical Olympus of economic theory into the muck of political and economic crises, public debates, social confrontations, and competing visions of progress?

On the release of Time for Socialism, a collection of Thomas Piketty’s Le Monde columns from 2016 to 2021, Noam Maggor explores Piketty’s work in general and reflects upon his legacy.
Bookmarked Part one: Collapse of the modern Liberal Party by Mike Seccombe (The Saturday Paper)

The devolution of the federal Liberal Party has been a gradual process. Yet if one vignette sums it up, it was the scene on the streets of Manly, in the affluent, socially progressive seat of Warringah on Sydney’s northern beaches, three days before the election.

In a two part series, Mike Seccombe traces Liberal Party back to John Howard’s remaking of Menzies’ party and how it was transformed again by the voters targeted from a distance who became members. By Mike Seccombe.
Replied to Inflation, cost-of-living, supply chains, declining wages, climate impacts and inequality are leading us towards global unrest by Stan Grant (ABC News)

Beasley said five years ago around 80 million people were “marching toward starvation” that number nearly doubled during COVID now the number of people facing critical food shortage has doubled again to over 270 million and tens of millions are facing famine.

It all puts our own travails in Australia into perspective. We may complain about a shortage of lettuce and having to make do with cabbage on our burgers, but we are not starving.

Stan Grant really puts the crisis on lettuce in perspective, highlighting that there are far worse things to be worrying about, such as political unrest, inflation and starvation.

Bob Marley warned that “them belly full, but we hungry”, the poet William Blake cast it in even more apocalyptic terms: “A dog starved at his master’s gate predicts the ruin of the state.”

Bookmarked Permanent Pandemic, by Justin E. H. Smith (Harper’s Magazine )

No matter what happens with the virus—whether or not it keeps evolving in ways that legitimate new drastic measures—the technologies it has ushered in are largely here to stay. These technologies will continue to have applications in industry, commerce, dating, and other affective strategizing; some might even hold out the promise of “fun.” But the principal application will be in the domain of what Michel Foucault called “governmentality”: the set of techniques and strategies, preferably deployed in the form of under-the-radar nudges, by which a population is caused to do what those in power want.

Justin E.H. Smith questions whether the controls brought in during COVID will in fact keep controlling us long after the threat has passed. For Smith, this past few years have laid the ground work for a new regime that is as much about technology as it is about the pandemic.

The new regime is as much a technological regime as it is a pandemic regime. It has as much to do with apps and trackers, and governmental and corporate interests in controlling them, as it does with viruses and aerosols and nasal swabs. Fluids and microbes combined with touchscreens and lithium batteries to form a vast apparatus of control, which will almost certainly survive beyond the end date of any epidemiological rationale for the state of exception that began in early 2020.

The consequence to questioning COVID maximalism has been to risk being ostracised.

Dissenters risk being labeled not only conspiracy theorists, but eugenicists or even advocates of genocide, should they venture any reflection on the costs and benefits of public health policy other than what we might call “COVID maximalism”: the view that we must keep social-distancing restrictions in place wherever there is any risk of harm to the elderly or immunocompromised, no matter what other risks such restrictions cause, whack-a-mole-like, to pop up in turn. But as anyone who is familiar with the literature in medical ethics, or who served on hospital ethics boards before the pandemic, can tell you: there has always been prioritization and triage, and this is not necessarily a reflection of injustice, though of course it can be that.

This has had the consequence of creating a new fringe.

Dissenters risk being labeled not only conspiracy theorists, but eugenicists or even advocates of genocide, should they venture any reflection on the costs and benefits of public health policy other than what we might call “COVID maximalism”: the view that we must keep social-distancing restrictions in place wherever there is any risk of harm to the elderly or immunocompromised, no matter what other risks such restrictions cause, whack-a-mole-like, to pop up in turn. But as anyone who is familiar with the literature in medical ethics, or who served on hospital ethics boards before the pandemic, can tell you: there has always been prioritization and triage, and this is not necessarily a reflection of injustice, though of course it can be that.

For Smith, we have subsequently stepped into a future leading to “digitally and algorithmically calculated social credit, and the demise of most forms of community life outside the lens of the state and its corporate subcontractors.”

In short, even if you are not leaving your house and scanning your QR codes at cafés and museums, you are still furnishing data about yourself near-constantly. There are no immediate signs that this data is going to be used for anything other than inane microtargeted advertising, but once the technological structure is in place to make social credit scoring possible, it does not seem far-fetched to imagine a world where our standing as citizens is determined, say, by the eco-rating of our online purchases.

I have read before how the current pandemic is a political one, but looking at it the way Smith does, I guess all pandemics are political (or biopolitical) as he suggests. I am just left wondering what the actual solution is if as Smith suggests that he is ‘broken’ by it all?

Listened https://terpodcast.com/2022/05/12/ter-196-zombie-data-with-j-clutterbuck-and-r-daliri-ngamatua-11-may-2022/ from terpodcast.com
Cameron, I really enjoyed your discussion of education not in the news. Really intrigued by the promise of an eight episode podcast series.

Also enjoyed Steven Kolber’s discussion of zombie data with Jennifer Clutterbuck and Rafaan Daliri-Ngametua.

We found excessive, purposeless and redundant data – ‘zombie data’. Those in the technology, economics, business, and “regtech” fields indicate an awareness that zombie data, while considered dead, ‘lurks around…waiting to be called to life again” (Datastreams, 2017). Such data has also been referred to as “huge waves of numbers without meaning or relevance” (Balleny, 2013) that create datasets “without any purpose or clear use case in mind” (Kaufmann, 2014 in D‘Ignazio & Klein, 2020).

Bookmarked Why the WHO took two years to say COVID is airborne (nature.com)

Early in the pandemic, the World Health Organization stated that SARS-CoV-2 was not transmitted through the air. That mistake and the prolonged process of correcting it sowed confusion and raises questions about what will happen in the next pandemic.

This lengthy piece unpacking why it took the World Health Organisation so long to recognise that COVID is airborne is a demonstration of how this is very much a political pandemic.
Liked How Putin’s Oligarchs Bought London by Patrick Radden Keefe (The New Yorker)

Invoking Dean Acheson’s famous observation, in 1962, that Britain had “lost an empire but not yet found a role,” Bullough suggests that it did find a role, as a no-questions-asked service provider to the crooked élite, offering access to capital markets, prime real estate, shopping at Harrods, and illustrious private schools, along with accountants for tax tricks, attorneys for legal squabbles, and “reputation managers” for inconvenient backstories. It starts with visas; any foreigner with adequate funds can buy one, by investing two million pounds in the U.K. (Ten million can buy you permanent residency.)

London property is always an option for such investments. After King Constantine II was ousted in the wake of a military coup in Greece, in 1967, he moved into a mansion overlooking Hampstead Heath; ever since, global plutocrats have sought safe harbor in the city’s leafy precincts. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian buyers raced into London’s housing market. One real-estate agent described his Russian clients “gleefully plonking saddlebags of cash on the desk.” According to new figures from Transparency International, Russians who have been accused of corruption or of having links to the Kremlin have bought at least 1.5 billion pounds’ worth of property in Great Britain. The real number is no doubt higher, but it is virtually impossible to ascertain, because so many of these transactions are obscured by layers of secrecy. The Economist describes London as “a slop-bucket for dodgy Russian wealth.”

Bookmarked What does the fuel excise cut mean? What happened to the beer excise cut? Five quick questions about the federal budget by Peta Fuller (ABC News)

Want a shortcut guide to the federal budget? Here are the answers to five quick questions from tonight’s announcement.

Listening to or reading discussions on the budget always intrigues me. I am not sure if I have become too cynical, but I always wonder why each decision might be made. I can understand the decision to cut the fuel excise, however this does not actually solve the situation and takes money out of revenue. Overall, it would seem that I am not the only person cynical about the decisions:

And look, even if all the measures announced were fair dinkum and definitely going to happen, this budget is elaborate and messy. It looks like an economic theory having a nervous breakdown in the street.

Josh Frydenberg says this is “a plan” for a strong economy and a stronger future. But it looks more like a weather forecast.

Bookmarked The Party Room (abc.net.au)

Want to know what’s really going on in Parliament House? Fran Kelly and Patricia Karvelas give you the political analysis that matters and explain what it means for you.

Along with Annabel Crabb’s politics newsletter, I find The Party Room a refreshing take on politics. Never sure if I am being played by marketing, I prefer to consume my content through a trusted lens.
Bookmarked Monday 14 March, 2022 | Memex 1.1 (memex.naughtons.org)

There’s clearly no Russian Plan B for Ukraine. If that is indeed the case, then we know what’s likely to happen.

When Chechnya was being obliterated in 1999, most of us paid little attention. After all, it wasn’t a European country. But Ukraine is.

Our complacent post-1946 holiday has really come to an end.

John Naughton wonders if the situation in Ukraine is history repeating and whether our post-1946 holiday is over.
Bookmarked Why the West May Have to Offer Putin a Way Out by Tom McTague (theatlantic.com)

The question for world leaders is how to ensure the Russian president is defeated while nevertheless providing him a route out of the crisis.

Tom McTague discusses the challenges associated with resolving the situation in Ukraine. This includes giving Putin a means of getting out with a win.

Unlike Khrushchev, Putin has not simply walked up to a line, but crossed it, unleashing a terror for which he should be held accountable. The horrible reality, though, is that the best option for the West might involve finding a way for him to not be held as accountable as he should be—but then to never forget what he has done.

This is also something Ezra Klein and Fiona Hill discuss on The Daily podcast.

Alternatively, Stan Grant touches on the wider political implications in regards to China and Taiwan.

Xi Jinping is the puzzle. He says he is a champion of globalisation and multilateralism. But he sounds and acts increasingly despotic.

Who is the true Xi? If it is the authoritarian who believes his time has come — if he will not talk Putin down — then we face the prospect of an even more deadly conflict in the near future.

In that case, we must accept that Vladimir Putin has not only invaded Ukraine, he has invaded Taiwan as well.

Liked We Should Not Endure a King by Cory Doctorow (marker.medium.com)

The point of antitrust isn’t to make companies work better. It’s to make them fail better. It’s to ensure that abusive employers can’t buy off the NLRB, that payday lenders can’t buy off the CFPB, that polluting industrialists can’t buy off the EPA, that murderously reckless aerospace companies can’t buy off the FAA, that intergenerational pharma crime families can’t buy off the FDA.

It doesn’t matter if a monopoly is efficient. If we let rich people structure our lives — if we yield to the right’s eugenic insistence that some are born to rule, the rest to be ruled —we pay a price so high that it erases any “efficiency” gains.

In the short term, it’s “efficient” to build an apartment complex with no fire doors; to toss your waste into the street; to drive drunk rather than paying for a taxi.

“Cory Doctorow” in Pluralistic: 28 Feb 2022 – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow ()