THE
RIGHT
FINANCING
The
perfect
nancing
for
you.
Yes,
It
exists!
Set Up and Objective
1: What is corporate finance
2: The Objective: Utopia and Let Down
3: The Objective: Reality and Reaction
The Investment Decision
Invest in assets that earn a return
greater than the minimum acceptable
hurdle rate
Hurdle Rate
4. Define & Measure Risk
5. The Risk free Rate
6. Equity Risk Premiums
7. Country Risk Premiums
8. Regression Betas
9. Beta Fundamentals
10. Bottom-up Betas
11. The "Right" Beta
12. Debt: Measure & Cost
13. Financing Weights
The Financing Decision
Find the right kind of debt for your
firm and the right mix of debt and
equity to fund your operations
Financing Mix
17. The Trade off
18. Cost of Capital Approach
19. Cost of Capital: Follow up
20. Cost of Capital: Wrap up
21. Alternative Approaches
22. Moving to the optimal
Financing Type
23. The Right Financing
Investment Return
14. Earnings and Cash flows
15. Time Weighting Cash flows
16. Loose Ends
36. Closing Thoughts
The Dividend Decision
If you cannot find investments that make
your minimum acceptable rate, return the
cash to owners of your business
Dividend Policy
24. Trends & Measures
25. The trade off
26. Assessment
27. Action & Follow up
28. The End Game
Valuation
29. First steps
30. Cash flows
31. Growth
32. Terminal Value
33. To value per share
34. The value of control
35. Relative Valuation
Designing
Debt:
The
Fundamental
Principle
The
objecIve
in
designing
debt
is
to
make
the
cash
ows
on
debt
match
up
as
closely
as
possible
with
the
cash
ows
that
the
rm
makes
on
its
assets.
By
doing
so,
we
reduce
our
risk
of
default,
increase
debt
capacity
and
increase
rm
value.
Unmatched Debt
Matched Debt
Firm Value
Firm Value
Value of Debt
Value of Debt
Design
the
perfect
nancing
instrument
The
perfect
nancing
instrument
will
Have
all
of
the
tax
advantages
of
debt
While
preserving
the
exibility
oered
by
equity
Start with the
Cash Flows
on Assets/
Projects
Define Debt
Characteristics
Duration
Duration/
Maturity
Currency
Effect of Inflation
Uncertainty about Future
Currency
Mix
Fixed vs. Floating Rate
* More floating rate
- if CF move with
inflation
- with greater uncertainty
on future
Growth Patterns
Straight versus
Convertible
- Convertible if
cash flows low
now but high
exp. growth
Cyclicality &
Other Effects
Special Features
on Debt
- Options to make
cash flows on debt
match cash flows
on assets
Commodity Bonds
Catastrophe Notes
Design debt to have cash flows that match up to cash flows on the assets financed
Ensuring
that
you
have
not
crossed
the
line
drawn
by
the
tax
code
All
of
this
design
work
is
lost,
however,
if
the
security
that
you
have
designed
does
not
deliver
the
tax
benets.
In
addiIon,
there
may
be
a
trade
o
between
mismatching
debt
and
geRng
greater
tax
benets.
Overlay tax
preferences
Deductibility of cash flows
for tax purposes
Differences in tax rates
across different locales
Zero Coupons
If tax advantages are large enough, you might override results of previous step
While
keeping
equity
research
analysts,
raIngs
agencies
and
regulators
applauding
RaIngs
agencies
want
companies
to
issue
equity,
since
it
makes
them
safer.
Equity
research
analysts
want
them
not
to
issue
equity
because
it
dilutes
earnings
per
share.
Regulatory
authoriIes
want
to
ensure
that
you
meet
their
requirements
in
terms
of
capital
raIos
(usually
book
value).
Financing
that
leaves
all
three
groups
happy
is
nirvana.
Consider
ratings agency
& analyst concerns
Analyst Concerns
- Effect on EPS
- Value relative to comparables
Ratings Agency
- Effect on Ratios
- Ratios relative to comparables
Regulatory Concerns
- Measures used
Operating Leases
MIPs
Surplus Notes
Can securities be designed that can make these different entities happy?
Debt
or
Equity:
The
Strange
Case
of
Trust
Preferred
Trust
preferred
stock
has
A
xed
dividend
payment,
specied
at
the
Ime
of
the
issue
That
is
tax
deducIble
And
failing
to
make
the
payment
can
give
preferred
stockholders
voIng
rights.
When
trust
preferred
was
rst
created,
raIngs
agencies
treated
it
as
equity.
As
they
have
become
more
savvy,
raIngs
agencies
have
started
giving
rms
only
parIal
equity
credit
for
trust
preferred.
Assuming
that
trust
preferred
stock
gets
treated
as
equity
by
raIngs
agencies,
which
of
the
following
rms
is
the
most
appropriate
rm
to
be
issuing
it?
a.
b.
A
rm
that
is
under
levered,
but
has
a
raIng
constraint
that
would
be
violated
if
it
moved
to
its
opImal
A
rm
that
is
over
levered
that
is
unable
to
issue
debt
because
of
the
raIng
agency
concerns.
7
Soothe
bondholder
fears
There
are
some
rms
that
face
skepIcism
from
bondholders
when
they
go
out
to
raise
debt,
because
Of
their
past
history
of
defaults
or
other
acIons
They
are
small
rms
without
any
borrowing
history
Bondholders
tend
to
demand
much
higher
interest
rates
from
these
rms
to
reect
these
concerns.
Factor in agency
conflicts between stock
and bond holders
Observability of Cash Flows
by Lenders
- Less observable cash flows
lead to more conflicts
Type of Assets financed
- Tangible and liquid assets
create less agency problems
Existing Debt covenants
- Restrictions on Financing
If agency problems are substantial, consider issuing convertible bonds
Convertibiles
Puttable Bonds
Rating Sensitive
Notes
LYONs
And
do
not
lock
in
market
mistakes
that
work
against
you
RaIngs
agencies
can
someImes
under
rate
a
rm,
and
markets
can
underprice
a
rms
stock
or
bonds.
If
this
occurs,
rms
should
not
lock
in
these
mistakes
by
issuing
securiIes
for
the
long
term.
In
parIcular,
Issuing
equity
or
equity
based
products
(including
converIbles),
when
equity
is
under
priced
transfers
wealth
from
exisIng
stockholders
to
the
new
stockholders
Issuing
long
term
debt
when
a
rm
is
under
rated
locks
in
rates
at
levels
that
are
far
too
high,
given
the
rms
default
risk.
What
is
the
soluIon
if
you
need
to
use
equity?
if
you
need
to
use
debt?
Designing
Disneys
Debt
Business
Project Cash Flow Characteristics
Movie projects are likely to
Be short-term
Have cash outflows primarily in dollars (because Disney makes most of its
movies in the U.S.), but cash inflows could have a substantial foreign currency
component (because of overseas revenues)
Have net cash flows that are heavily driven by whether the movie is a hit, which
is often difficult to predict
Type of Financing
Debt should be
Studio
1. Short-term
2. Primarily dollar
entertainment
[Link] currency
debt, reflecting audience
make-up.
3. If possible, tied to the
success of movies.
Media networks Projects are likely to be
Debt should be
1. Short-term
1. Short-term
2. Primarily in dollars, though foreign component is growing, especially for ESPN. 2. Primarily dollar debt
3. Driven by advertising revenues and show success (Nielsen ratings)
3. If possible, linked to
network ratings
Park resorts
Projects are likely to be
Debt should be
1. Very long-term
1. Long-term
2. Currency will be a function of the region (rather than country) where park is 2. Mix of currencies, based
located.
on tourist makeup at the
3. Affected by success of studio entertainment and media networks divisions
park.
Consumer
products
Projects are likely to be short- to medium-term and linked to the success of the
movie division; most of Disneys product offerings and licensing revenues are
derived from their movie productions
Projects are likely to be short-term, with high growth potential and significant risk.
While cash flows will initially be primarily in US dollars, the mix of currencies will
shift as the business ages.
Interactive
Debt should be
1. Medium-term
2. Dollar debt
Debt should be short-term,
convertible US dollar debt.
10
RecommendaIons
for
Disney
The
debt
issued
should
be
long
term
and
should
have
duraIon
of
about
4
to
5
years.
A
signicant
porIon
of
the
debt
should
be
oaIng
rate
debt,
reecIng
Disneys
capacity
to
pass
inaIon
through
to
its
customers
and
the
fact
that
operaIng
income
tends
to
increase
as
interest
rates
go
up.
Given
Disneys
sensiIvity
to
a
stronger
dollar,
a
porIon
of
the
debt
should
be
in
foreign
currencies.
The
specic
currency
used
and
the
magnitude
of
the
foreign
currency
debt
should
reect
where
Disney
makes
its
revenues.
Based
upon
2013
numbers
at
least,
this
would
indicate
that
about
18%
of
its
debt
should
be
foreign
currency
debt.
As
its
broadcasIng
businesses
expand
into
LaIn
America,
it
may
want
to
consider
using
either
Mexican
Peso
or
Brazilian
Real
debt
as
well.
11
Analyzing
Disneys
Current
Debt
Disney
has
$14.3
billion
in
interest-bearing
debt
with
a
face-value
weighted
average
maturity
of
7.92
years.
Allowing
for
the
fact
that
the
maturity
of
debt
is
higher
than
the
duraIon,
this
would
indicate
that
Disneys
debt
may
be
a
lihle
longer
than
would
be
opImal,
but
not
by
much.
Of
the
debt,
about
5.49%
of
the
debt
is
in
non-US
dollar
currencies
(Indian
rupees
and
Hong
Kong
dollars),
but
the
rest
is
in
US
dollars
and
the
company
has
no
Euro
debt.
Based
on
our
analysis,
we
would
suggest
that
Disney
increase
its
proporIon
of
Euro
debt
to
about
12%
and
Ie
the
choice
of
currency
on
future
debt
issues
to
its
expansion
plans.
Disney
has
no
converIble
debt
and
about
5.67%
of
its
debt
is
oaIng
rate
debt,
which
looks
low,
given
the
companys
pricing
power.
While
the
mix
of
debt
in
2013
may
be
reecIve
of
a
desire
to
lock
in
low
long-term
interest
rates
on
debt,
as
rates
rise,
the
company
should
consider
expanding
its
use
of
foreign
currency
debt.
12
AdjusIng
Debt
at
Disney
It
can
swap
some
of
its
exisIng
xed
rate,
dollar
debt
for
oaIng
rate,
foreign
currency
debt.
Given
Disneys
standing
in
nancial
markets
and
its
large
market
capitalizaIon,
this
should
not
be
dicult
to
do.
If
Disney
is
planning
new
debt
issues,
either
to
get
to
a
higher
debt
raIo
or
to
fund
new
investments,
it
can
use
primarily
oaIng
rate,
foreign
currency
debt
to
fund
these
new
investments.
Although
it
may
be
mismatching
the
funding
on
these
investments,
its
debt
matching
will
become
beher
at
the
company
level.
13
Debt
Design
for
Bookscape
&
Vale
Bookscape:
Given
Bookscapes
dependence
on
revenues
at
its
New
York
bookstore,
we
would
design
the
debt
to
be
RecommendaIon:
Long-term,
dollar
denominated,
xed
rate
debt
Actual:
Long
term
operaIng
lease
on
the
store
Vale:
Vales
mines
are
spread
around
the
world,
and
it
generates
a
large
porIon
of
its
revenues
in
China
(37%).
Its
mines
typically
have
very
long
lives
and
require
large
up-front
investments,
and
the
costs
are
usually
in
the
local
currencies
but
its
revenues
are
in
US
dollars.
RecommendaIon:
Long
term,
dollar-denominated
debt
(with
hedging
of
local
currency
risk
exposure)
and
if
possible,
Ied
to
commodity
prices.
Actual:
The
exisIng
debt
at
Vale
is
primarily
US
dollar
debt
(65.48%),
with
an
average
maturity
of
14.70
years.
All
of
the
debt,
as
far
as
we
can
assess,
is
xed
rate
and
there
is
no
commodity-linked
debt.
14
And
for
Tata
Motors
and
Baidu
Tata
Motors:
As
an
manufacturing
rm,
with
big
chunks
of
its
of
its
revenues
coming
from
India
and
China
(about
24%
apiece)
and
the
rest
spread
across
developed
markets.
RecommendaIon:
Medium
to
long
term,
xed
rate
debt
in
a
mix
of
currencies
reecIng
operaIons.
Actual:
The
exisIng
debt
at
Tata
Motors
is
a
mix
of
Indian
rupee
debt
(about
71%)
and
Euro
debt
(about
29%),
with
an
average
maturity
of
5.33
years
and
it
is
almost
enIrely
xed
rate
debt.
Baidu:
Baidu
has
relaIvely
lihle
debt
at
the
moment,
reecIng
its
status
as
a
young,
technology
company.
RecommendaIon:
ConverIble,
Chinese
Yuan
debt.
Actual:
About
82%
of
Baidus
debt
is
in
US
dollars
and
Euros
currently,
with
an
average
maturity
of
5.80
years.
A
small
porIon
is
oaIng
rate
debt,
but
very
lihle
of
the
debt
is
converIble.
15
6
ApplicaIon
Test:
Choosing
your
Financing
Type
Based
upon
the
business
that
your
rm
is
in,
and
the
typical
investments
that
it
makes,
what
kind
of
nancing
would
you
expect
your
rm
to
use
in
terms
of
a.
b.
c.
d.
DuraIon
(long
term
or
short
term)
Currency
Fixed
or
FloaIng
rate
Straight
or
ConverIble
16
Task
Determine
the
right
type
of
nancing
for
your
rm,
given
its
characterisIcs
17
Read
Chapter
9