Session 7: Aggregate Planning
Big Picture
Strategic Decisions
• Facility location 5 – 10 years
• Product mix
Aggregate Planning
• Inventory level 3 – 18
months
• Production level
• Capacity utilization
• Subcontracting level
Operational Decisions
• Scheduling 1 – 15 days
• Resource allocation
Aggregation
• Group of similar products or services
– Aggregate planning (product family)
• Forecast of LCD TVs
• Forecast of sedan cars
– Disaggregate planning (SKU level)
• Forecast of 21”LCD, 23”LCD, …
• Forecast of black cars, red cars,….
• Aggregate planning is relevant for Family of
products (not SKU level)
Capacity Planning Hierarchy
Our Focus
Executional Tactical Strategic
Capacity Planning Capacity Planning Capacity Planning
Time
0-30 days 1-18 months 1-5+ years
Horizon
Planning
Hours or days Weeks or months Quarters or years
Buckets
Capacity expansion
Optimal allocation
(contraction) of hard-
of existing capacity
to-flex resources
Schedule for
Decisions
existing resources Capacity levels of
Capacity technology
easy-to-flex
resources
Capacity location
Overview of Aggregate Planning
• Starts with a forecast
• Objective of aggregate planning
– Minimizing cost, Maximizing contribution
• Relevant costs
– Inventory costs
– Shortage costs
– Outsourcing/subcontracting costs
– Resource acquisition/liberating costs
• Hiring of workforce
• Firing of workforce
Basic Terms
• Aggregate time unit
• Planning horizon
• Rolling horizon
Level Production
Demand
Production
Units
Time
Chase Demand
Demand
Production
Units
Time
Strategies of aggregate planning
• Chase demand
– Flexible strategy, produce according to the demand
– Demand more than capacity
• Add resources (hiring, subcontracting, overtime, etc.)
– Demand less than capacity
• Remove resources (firing, use of outsourcing,, etc,)
– No demand - supply mismatch (no inventory costs, no
shortage costs)
– High cost of flexibility
Strategies of aggregate planning
• Level demand
– Produce at a constant rate
– Smooth operations, uniform level of resources
– Vulnerable to inventory costs and shortage costs
• Demand exceeds supply rate – shortage
• Demand less than supply rate – inventory
How to develop aggregate plans
Consider the example described in the Assignment
Develop alternative production plans for the firm. Investigate the following
three different plans with the objective of finding one with the lowest cost.
Plan 1: Produce to meet exact monthly production requirements using a
regular eight-hour day by varying workforce.
Plan 2: Produce to meet expected average demand over the next six months
by maintaining a constant workforce.
Plan 3: Produce to meet the minimum demand expected using a constant
workforce on regular time. Use sub-contracting to meet additional output
requirements.