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Assessment Module 5: Part 1: Some Calculations and Interpretations

This document consists of a two-part assessment. Part 1 involves calculations related to normal distributions and probabilities, including drawing a normal distribution curve, finding probabilities, and identifying the middle 90% of a normal distribution. Part 2 involves defining a discrete random variable for an area of one's life, such as number of miles run per day, and calculating the expected value or mean of that variable's probability distribution. Students are then asked to reply to a classmate's random variable definition by calculating the expected value in the context of the situation provided.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
76 views2 pages

Assessment Module 5: Part 1: Some Calculations and Interpretations

This document consists of a two-part assessment. Part 1 involves calculations related to normal distributions and probabilities, including drawing a normal distribution curve, finding probabilities, and identifying the middle 90% of a normal distribution. Part 2 involves defining a discrete random variable for an area of one's life, such as number of miles run per day, and calculating the expected value or mean of that variable's probability distribution. Students are then asked to reply to a classmate's random variable definition by calculating the expected value in the context of the situation provided.

Uploaded by

brad
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Assessment Module 5

This module assessment consists of 2 parts. Part 1 is worth 14 points, and Part 2 is worth 6.

Part 1: Some calculations and interpretations.

1. One of the calculations we do this week is the “expected value” or mean of a distribution.

a. In your non-math life, what does “expected” mean to you? Answer in 1 – 5 complete sentences.

b. What does “expected value” mean in a probability/statistics situation? How is it calculated?


Answer in complete sentences, please (not math; use words).

2. Suppose we have a Normal distribution with mean 35 and standard deviation 4.

a. Take a few minutes to draw this curve very neatly and accurately. Reference the document
“How to Draw a Normal Curve” in this assessment.

Use a separate sheet of paper, or add extra space here, and use a straightedge to draw an axis.

b. Label your curve from part a with the 68-95-99.7 Rule.

c. If we randomly select a value from this Normal model and call that value x, find:

i. P(x < 30)

ii. P(x > 30.4)

iii. P(33 < x < 40)

Make a note about how you’re doing your calculations (Ti-8x, GeoGebra, Excel, etc.) and what you enter.

d. The middle 90% of the Normal curve is between what two values? (We’re looking for a
symmetric interval here, so 45% is above the mean and 45% below the mean.)

3. The amount of detergent in a box follows a Normal model with a mean of 64.1 ounces and a
standard deviation of .15 ounces.

a. What is the z-score for a box that contains 64.0 ounces?

b. A certain box has a z-score of -7 (Way off the charts! Error in production!?). How many ounces
of detergent are in the box?

Note: Be sure you find the z-score formula on page 167. Try the Guided Practice problems under that to
be sure you’re getting the answers right. =)
Part 2: Discussion

Step 1: Using an area of your life, make up a discrete random variable, X, and give it a probability
distribution.

For example, I used to run a lot. I could say the number of miles (rounded to the nearest mile) I run
every day is a discrete random variable. And then I could make up this probability distribution:

Number of Miles, X 2 3 4 5
P(X) .1 .5 .25 .15

This isn’t a real situation, of course. I could run 1 mile, or 6, or 26.2, but I’m keeping it brief.

Your post doesn’t have to be very long, just enough to give someone the info and the situation.

Step 2: Reply to someone’s post:

 Calculate the “expected value” (aka mean) of their distribution.


 Write a sentence about what that means, in the context of the situation.

For example, if you are replying, to me, you might write:

Good morning Vincent,


I have calculated the mean of your distribution as:
μ = 2(0.1) + 3(0.5) + 4(0.25) + 5(0.15)
μ = 3.45 miles
In the situation, this means that on average, you run 3.45 miles per day.
Happy running! =D

Avoid giving a generic reply, like “The mean is 3.45.” That doesn’t capture the context of the situation.

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