The Probability of Quarter 3
Compound Events Module 7 and 8
Combines at least two simple events, either
the union of two simple events or the inter-
section of two simple
events.
The probability that a coin will show head
Probability
when you toss only one coin is a simple of Compound
Events
event. However, if you toss two coins, the
probability of getting 2 heads is
a compound event because once again
it combines two simple events.
Mathematics
Grade 10
Archimedes A
Charcell A. Saagundo
When the outcome of one event does not How to find the probability of compound
Example affect the outcome of another event, the events when the events are mutually exclusive
two events are said to be independent.
In our example above, when you toss two To find the probability of compound events
Suppose you say to a friend, " I will give coins, neither coin has the power to influ- when the events are mutually exclusive, use
you 10 dollars if both coins land on ence the other coin. the formula:
head."
This compound event is independent then. probability (A or B) = probability (A) + proba-
Let's see what happens when your When two events are independent, you can bility (B)
friend toss two coins: use the following formula.
Suppose you and your brother both throw a
probability(A and B) = probability(A) × proba- die. Whoever get a 4 wins!
If heads = H and tails = T, the different bility(B)
outcomes are HH, HT, TH, or TT. These are mutually exclusive events be-
Let's use this formula to find the probability cause you cannot both win this game.
As you can see, out of 4 possibilities, of getting 2 heads when two coins are
only 1 will give you HH. tossed. Let Y = you win and B = your brother win
probability(H and H) = probability(H) × proba- probability (Y or B) = probability (Y) + proba-
bility(H) bility (B)
You:
How to find the probability of com-
pound events when two events are Probability you win is 1/6
dependent.
Your brother:
Therefore, the probability of getting 2 When two events are dependent, you can
use the following formula Probability your brother win: 1/6
heads is 1/4. Your friend has 25%
chance of getting 10 dollars since probability(A and B) = probability(A) × proba- Probability = 1/6+1/6
one-fourth = 25%. bility(B given A)
= 2/6