Investing in Indian Stock Markets - The 5 Minute WrapUp - Equitymaster
Investing in Indian Stock Markets - The 5 Minute WrapUp - Equitymaster
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As a subscriber of The 5 Minute WrapUp, this is what you will bene t from -
In short, The 5 Minute WrapUp is all about 'views', and more so about making smarter
investment decisions based on these views.
Finally, welcome once again to The 5 Minute WrapUp. Happy reading...Start your
journey here!
In fact, allow me to share a way for you to start making high-potential investments
right away!
Here at Equitymaster we function with a simple objective: To equip you with the
information you need to make well-informed investing decisions and grow your
money safely...without falling prey to tips from brokers or even to your own gut
feeling.
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One segment of the stock market where you can make extraordinary returns is small
caps. In fact, a select group of investors have seen several triple-digit gains, and
numerous double-digit gains in the last couple of years alone!
If you would like to explore this opportunity for yourself, just keep reading...
Dear Reader,
Around the 15th of this month, you receive a recommendation from Equitymaster for
a relatively unknown small cap stock.
This stock may not be talked about much in the media, your stock broker may not
have enough information on it, and it may not be the focus of any discussion with
friends.
And then, silently the company continues to grow behind your back.
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As you grow older, the company also grows with you... moving up in value and price --
doubling, tripling, and quadrupling during this period.
Then one day in the not so distant future, when you've probably even forgotten that
you own shares of this "once unknown" company, it surfaces as one of the leaders in
its industry...
Yes, it is!
In December 2004, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. was a little known small cap stock available
for just Rs 16.4 a share.
Not many people expected it to grow the way it has, and therefore not many bothered
to invest in it.
But by cashing in on the increasing demand for stylish high-end bathroom ttings, and
coming up with a business model that set it apart from all its competitors, the
company succeeded in growing its business rapidly.
As a result, its stock price increased from Rs 16.4 in 2004 to Rs 1,779.7 in December
2014. And those who invested in Cera Sanitaryware in 2004 and held the stock till 2014
ended up making a whopping 10,785%.
So considering one had invested just Rs 10,000 in it in 2004, it could have turned into
Rs 1,088,500 by 2014!
And this is not a one-o case either. Take a look at the table below...
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Please note that none of the above small caps were recommended by Equitymaster in
2004. We are just giving them as examples to show what's possible with small cap
stocks in the long run.
And later on in this letter, I will actually share with you some small cap stocks
that WE recommended, and how well they've done.
And thus, they were much better prepared than their peers for managing their growth
in the years to come.
So when the demand for their product grew, they were able to provide a much better
service than all of their competitors and quickly established themselves as the go-to
guy in their niche.
It's true! Most of the companies you saw in the table above are pretty well known in
India today. But at one time they were not so well known.
They all started out small, established themselves as the leader in one main area
where their expertise lay, and then diversi ed into other areas.
So that is the kind of small companies you should look for and invest in as well.
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Of course, given the uncertain nature of small caps, we cannot and should not expect
every small cap stock to be an out-and-out winner.
But we know that small caps are fast movers, and that the movement quickly shows in
their stock price.
So assuming one manages to pick 5 'reliable' small cap stocks, even if just 3 out
of the 5 manage to endure the market uncertainties and turn multi-baggers, it
would be more than worth it!
And that is what our small cap recommendation service, Hidden Treasure, aims to
guide you with...
These were once-unknown-small companies that have grown rapidly in the last decade
to become household names in India today.
But there was no way you could have known that sooner... until now...
The stocks we reveal through Hidden Treasure are companies that are either under-
researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research rms.
I understand that small caps may not comprise a big portion of the portfolio. But that
doesn't mean one doesn't need to think about them at all.
This small part of the portfolio does the KEY job of maximizing overall returns...
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But "pro table" doesn't necessarily mean 300% returns in one week.
We have always said and still say that one should look at small caps from the long-
term perspective.
- Dr C V Ajmera, Rajkot
The stocks we recommend through Hidden Treasure are strong companies and
we recommend them not because we believe they will ourish in a month or
two, but over a minimum period of 3 to 5 years.
We reveal reliable small companies through Hidden Treasure as and when they're
available at a bargain... giving you the opportunity to snap them up early and set
yourself up for potentially huge gains as the company grows.
However, considering the risks that small companies carry, you should realistically not
expect each and every recommendation to be an out and out winner.
Plus, whenever the market crashes, small caps are the rst to bear the brunt of it.
So these are some things you need to understand and acknowledge when you invest
in small caps.
But despite all these drawbacks, we believe our Hidden Treasure service has actually
done quite well.
It was on 15th February, 2008... i.e. a little over 9 Years back, that we picked out our
rst Small Cap Stock.
After much deliberation, in-depth research and testing it across multiple factors... we
found it to be an excellent opportunity.
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Keeping them updated on its performance. Ensuring that our assumptions were right
and the company was strong on its growth path.
Our First Small Cap Stock recommendation generated returns of an impressive 93%
return in 2 years 6 months.
A quite satisfactory beginning to many more successful small cap picks in the years to
come.
250% In 2 Years
After that...
✓ We saw many more smart readers joining our small cap recommendation service and
bene tting from our research.
✓ We saw our research team spending many more hours scrutinizing obscure but
fundamentally strong small caps.
✓ We had teams visiting various cities across the country, meeting various management teams
and recommending even more pro table small cap picks!
And the same good trend continued in 2009 also... despite both these years witnessing
some of the biggest market crashes.
That's right!
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The year 2010, on the other hand, turned out to be tumultuous for the entire small cap
index. And possibly for our members too.
✓ From our 2011 stock recommendations, we saw returns like 139% in 7 months, 100% in 1
year 1 month, 82% in 1 year 2 months, 241% in 3 years 3 months and 140% in 4 years.
✓ Further, from 2012 recommendations, stocks generated 123% in 3 months and 166%
returns in 2 years to name a few.
✓ Coming to our 2013 recommendations, we have closed 5 positions with 4 generating triple-
digit returns and 1 at a loss of 29%. And there are 2 open positions which are currently in
pro t as well!
Talking about our 2014 recommedations. Well, 7 of them have already given returns
such as 330% in 2 years, 106% in 2 years and 3 months, 105% in 2 years and 6 months,
126% in 11 months, 79% in 4 months, 133% in 1 year 3 months and 73% in 2 years and
4 months. And we had to close 1 at a loss of 25%. One more position was closed at no
gain no loss. So the service has performed well over time and today, it's One Of Our
Most Popular Services!
In fact, one of our best recommendations, eClerx Services, has given an amazing
return of 2,661% in 8 years and 3 months... and another, Balkrishna Industries, has
given 1,058% in 6 years 11 months ...
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So with thousands of subscribers and a solid track record... we can con dently
say that our research process works!
But at the same time, we don't want you to get the wrong picture.
However, the most important thing is that even if 3 out of every 5 small caps
eventually manage to endure the market uncertainties and turn multi-baggers, it will
be well worth it!
And that is what we want to guide you towards through our Hidden Treasure service.
Take a look at some more of the returns made by our Hidden Treasure
recommendations:
It's for this reason that Hidden Treasure has been One Of Our MOST POPULAR
services over the last couple of years.
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But for the next few days, you can get Hidden Treasure at More than 50% O ... or Just
Rs 2,950 for a One Year Subscription.
And then, there's also a 30-day, 100% refund policy on this o er.
So, you can sign up at this price and test-drive Hidden Treasure for a full 30 days.
If you don't like it, get in touch with us before the 31st day, and we'll refund the entire
fee you paid. That's a promise!
This o er will close soon, and then you might have to pay the FULL price to sign up for
Hidden Treasure.
The report we send will tell why we think a stock could be a good buy at that point in
time or at a lower price later, and it will also clearly explain the pros and cons of
investing in that company.
As you will know, good reliable small companies are very scarce and it also takes
a lot of time and research to nd them.
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Equitymaster analysts have to go through many more hoops to nd the few small cap
gems that exist.
And since it's OUR reputation at stake here, we also have to meet with the
managements of di erent companies and organise trips to various cities every month
to make sure we're accurate in our predictions.
All this takes time, and therefore just the one new recommendation per month.
But in addition, every month we will also publish the Top Small cap stocks you could
consider buying at that point.
Today we have over 1,764,790 readers from 72 countries worldwide who trust us!
But at the same time, we are NOT stock brokers. We don't gain anything even if
you buy the stocks we recommend.
However, almost all of our income comes from the subscription fee we charge on our
stock recommendation services. And so it's extremely important to us that the stocks
we recommended make our subscribers money.
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That's why...
All our recommendations are supported by thorough research - we list out the reasons to buy and
also the investment concerns that we foresee.
We travel far and wide to meet companies before we put out reports on them
For each stock, we clearly state the rationale behind selecting that stock, the maximum buy price,
the target price and also the time horizon for achieving the same.
And nally, because we meet various companies, ask tough questions and continuously
track our recommendations... we reduce the risk of a Satyam like situation emerging in
stocks that we recommend.
But legendary investors like Benjamin Graham and Warren Bu ett have always
maintained that 'evaluation of risks' should be given as much importance as
'estimation of returns'.
It is in this direction that our research team has developed the Equitymaster
Risk Matrix® or ERM® which helps quantify the risk attached to a stock. The ERM®
is an integral part of our stock selection process.
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Look, we all know that no two large, mid or small cap companies have exactly the
same degree of risk. Even if they operate in the same sector, their business dynamics,
managements and valuations are di erent.
That's why it is important to evaluate the risk involved in each case separately.
Now the ERM® is a matrix designed to evaluate the key risks attached to a business, its
nancial history and its management. It ranks not just the company but also the sector
in which it operates based on its relative risk pro le.
When markets were at their nervous best in late 2008 and early 2009, our Buy
recommendations on Page Industries, eClerx, and KPIT Cummins were backed by
our con dence in the low risk pro le of these companies as shown by our risk matrix.
Over the years, this original risk matrix has been re ned further into the ERM® we have
today.
Many a time, the ERM® helped us identify the best stocks to recommend to our
subscribers when several of them were looking attractive.
It did so by acting as one of the tools used for eliminating the 'bad stocks', so that we
recommend only the 'good stocks'.
Again, it is the same ERM® that we rely on to quantify the risks we believe
subscribers need to be cautioned about while recommending a 'Sell'.
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Given the complex operating environment that Indian businesses are aspiring to be a
part of, we believe the ERM® can o er immense value to our subscribers who are
seeking to maximize their long term returns without taking on too much risk.
The key reason for our belief in the company was its prominent presence in the fast
growing LED lighting space, where it is a market leader in India. The company had
grown strongly in the past and its balance sheet also appeared good.
However, despite our good expectations, the company failed to capitalise on the
growth opportunity. In fact, it lost a major order from one of its key clients.
Then, we also had some issues with the company's disclosure levels.
Over that, the management's silence on the several issues facing the company had
been deafening.
And apart from MIC Electronics, there were some other companies also that did not do
as per our expectations and closed at a loss like:
But what these incidents have done is that they have made us even more careful now
with respect to our Hidden Treasure recommendations.
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So like I said initially, you can't expect every small cap stock you invest in to be a
winner. But even if a few of them succeed in enduring the ups and downs and
turn multi-baggers, you could potentially make back whatever you lost in the
other stocks... plus a lot more!
Okay?
Latest Edition of
Equitymaster's Stock Market Yearbook
Every year, we publish the latest and exhaustive data on Top 300 companies. Plus, a
wealth of information on over 20 sectors, the Indian economy, mutual funds... all, in
one place.
Available in an easy-access PDF version, this Yearbook provides the latest data that
could guide you towards making smarter investment decisions.
Priced at Rs 750 normally, you will get latest Edition right away... Absolutely Free!
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Now there is a very important thing you need to know while investing in stocks... And
that is asset allocation.
Asset allocation is the key to having a well diversi ed portfolio. It is what protects your
investments and could lead to their growth irrespective of the changes in the market.
A well diversi ed portfolio is one where your stocks are properly spread out across
di erent market caps and di erent sectors.
Our extremely popular asset allocation guide will guide you in understanding
what is the right diversi cation for one's portfolio, so that losses can be
minimized and small cap returns can be maximized. The allocation suggested will
of course vary from person to person and is merely indicative in nature. For something
that works best for you, we recommend you talk to your investment advisor.
And you can get this guide absolutely FREE when you subscribe to Hidden Treasure
now.
Portfolio Tracker
The Portfolio Tracker is an online utility that helps you track all your equity and mutual
fund investments in one place! It's online, and is available to you 24 hrs a day.
You just have to enter the details of stocks or mutual funds owned by you ONCE... and
Portfolio Tracker will show you what your entire portfolio is worth AT THAT MOMENT
anytime you log into it.
Furthermore...
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You can set your account to send you automatic end-of-week and end-of-month
performance updates for all your portfolios.
You can set up priced based alerts for all the stocks that you own (and also the stocks that
don't own but only wish to track).
Plus, now you can also track your short-term equity or derivative trades, SIPs and even get
NAV alerts for the mutual fund schemes with Portfolio Tracker
But what makes the Portfolio Tracker the indispensable tool that it is are the
"intelligent reports" that come along with it.
And it is the relevant learnings from this exercise that we have translated into reports.
So you can now also generate automated customized intelligent reports for your
stocks or portfolio, to understand how a certain market event could a ect them.
We believe this feature is what sets Equitymaster's Portfolio Tracker apart from all the
other trackers out there.
Please Note: : Equitymaster's Portfolio Tracker is an online stock and mutual fund tracking tool. It is
NEITHER a Portfolio Management Service NOR does if o er any personalized opinions whatsoever.
Additionally, all the user data is strictly private and in no way used for making recommendations.
Equitymaster does not o er portfolio management service and is not registered as a portfolio manager
or investment advisor
And the Portfolio Tracker usually costs Rs 330 for a year. But by subscribing to Hidden
Treasure, you get it absolutely FREE.
What's more, the Portfolio Tracker can also be accessed on your mobile now.
Yes! And you don't need to install anything on your mobile too. Just go to our website
or App and access the Portfolio Tracker with ease.
Free subscription to
Vivek Kaul's Diary . .
Now you can read what knowledgeable investors read every single day for a broad
perspective on the market and the economy...
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Yes, we are delighted to bring you 'The Vivek Kaul Diary', a daily nancial e-
column by
Vivek Kaul is a noted columnist and writer who has been studying the Indian Economy,
and particularly the evolution of money, for more than 10 years now. He has written a
trilogy on the history of money and the evolution of the global nancial system titled
Easy Money.
Vivek has traversed the length and breadth of India, giving lectures to students at IIM
Bangalore, IIM Indore, TA Pai Institute of Management and the Alliance University
(Bangalore. He has also taught at the ICFAI Business School in Hyderabad.
Vivek's writings have appeared in the Daily News and Analysis(DNA), The Economic
Times, The Times of India, Business Standard, Business Today, Business World, The
Hindu , The Hindu Business Line and several other publications. And also on
Redi .com and Firstpost.com regularly.
What's more, over 135,000 readers receive his e-letter every single day.
We believe you will bene t greatly from listening to Vivek's perspective on di erent
things and his style of explaining complex topics in an incredibly simple manner. And
that's why The Vivek Kaul Diary is something you just shouldn't miss!
Private Brie ng is direct line of communication between our premium members, and
Rahul Goel, CEO, Equitymaster.
Private Brie ng o ers an honest, transparent, and unbiased insight into what's
happening in the Indian economy and the markets.
It will provide a wealth of insights into what's happening within Equitymaster and the
big macro themes from India and the world that could help you make potentially
pro table decisions.
Through Private Brie ng, we will connect the big picture to the impact it could have on
your wallet.
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E ectively, Private Brie ng will be the platform for an ongoing conversation with an aim
to empower readers with honest and credible opinions.
The primary goal of Private Brie ng is to connect the macro big picture to the aam
investor's wallet. It will carry the house view of Equitymaster.
We willunearth facts behind the stories pedaled in the mainstream media. It will bust
myths, expose vested interests, and o er ideas for creating wealth.
The letter will stay true to the core principles of sensible investing but will also o er
insights into the latest trends and ideas from the world of money.
And You Can Get All This At More Than 50% Off. . .
For Just Rs 2,950!
A year's subscription to Hidden Treasure usually costs Rs 6,000. But if you act
now, we will give you your Hidden Treasure subscription for Rs 2,950 only.
Seriously, Rs 2,950 is probably way less than what you spend on all the phone calls to
your broker, the money you pay to watch the noise on your television, and all the
newspapers and magazines you buy hoping to nd good investment opportunities.
And we strongly believe that none of these other things can provide you unbiased and
reliable small cap recommendations like Hidden Treasure.
Yes, with a subscription to Hidden Treasure, you can rest assured that whenever we
come across little known, high potential small companies, we will notify you of them
right away.
Here's what two of our subscribers had to say about Hidden Treasure...
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"I have been investing in the market since the last 5 years and
have been a lifetime member of Equitymaster since the last three
years. I have found their advice to be quite unbiased. One good
thing about them is that they are constantly trying to bring in
new services via research and analysis which is helping me to get
an objective view on the market. I hope that they bring about
more expertise in the mutual fund market also. I trust them
because they have the transparency to go back and review the
performance of their recommendations."
If you remember, I told you before how uncovering hidden and reliable small caps is a
very di cult task.
You are rst required to do back-breaking research on various companies in the small
cap sphere. And then, also traverse the length and breadth of the country to meet with
the people in charge personally.
Richa Agarwal, one of our senior most Research Analysts, has been heading the
Hidden Treasure since 2013.
She and her team meet dozens of managements face to face every year.
And this is after pouring through the data and details of hundreds of small companies.
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Having degrees in both nance as well as engineering has helped Richa greatly in
identifying the most deserving candidates for Hidden Treasure and analyzing their
business models and associated risks.
Coming to small businesses, Richa believes that paying a slight premium for wide-moat
companies is better than looking for cheap bargains that sometimes turn out to be
value-traps.
So it is this thinking that has helped Richa, the editors before her and the entire
Hidden Treasure team zero in on companies like Page Industries and e-Clerx much
before they became well-known entities.
And it has also made Hidden Treasure an extremely popular service with our
subscribers.
Small caps are for those who are ready to take some risk.
While one could potentially make a lot of money from small caps, one could also lose a
lot of it very quickly.
Just one good small cap stock could be enough to create solid wealth. But to nd
that one small cap stock, you might have to go through a few duds as well.
Therefore, you need to understand this and plan your small cap investments wisely.
» List of Top small cap stocks you could consider buying every month
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» Free access to our "Intelligent" Portfolio Tracker worth Rs 330 per year
Plus, there's another good thing we can o er you if you sign up through this o er
today...
At the end of every year, acting on your standing instructions, we'll charge your card
the discounted price of Rs 2,950 (instead of the normal price of Rs 6,000 or more) and
automatically renew your subscription for another year.
But you will always be in complete control of your Hidden Treasure subscription.
We will send you a reminder email before renewing your subscription every year. If
you don't wish to continue, you can just reply to it and let us know and we'll cancel
your subscription right away.
Or you can also reach out to our Customer Service at any time via email or phone and
ask them to cancel.
So don't hesitate...
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So if one had invested just Rs 10,000 in this stock when we recommended it, the
investment would be worth Rs 545,600 now and still going strong!
This is the money-making potential of small caps that the Hidden Treasure
wants to guide our subscribers towards!
So the price of Hidden Treasure should not be an issue anymore. And like I already
said, you can try Hidden Treasure without any risk for a full 30 days.
If it turns out that you don't like it, just let us know before the 31st day and we'll refund
the entire fee you paid. No questions asked!
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Sounds good?
1. The volume of small cap shares traded is usually very low, so getting in early can make a
di erence. By subscribing to Hidden Treasure now, you get that advantage.
2. Through this o er you can get 1 Year of Hidden Treasure for just Rs 2,950 instead of the
usual Rs 6,000... which will be the case till for the next few days only.
Regards,
Rahul Goel
CEO, Equitymaster
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