Stats
Stats
Economics by Alfred Marshall, “The study of man in the ordinary business of life”.
Consumer “A consumer is one who consumes goods and services for the satisfaction
of his wants”.
Producer “A producer is one who produces/or sells goods and services for the
generation of income”
Production “Production is the process of converting raw material into useful thing”.
Saving It is the part of income which is not consumed. It is an art of abstinence from
consumption.
Economic Activity It is an activity which is related to the use of scarce means. Means are
always scarce in relation to our wants.
Economic Problem It is the problem of choice arising on account of the facts that
resources are scarce and these have alternative uses.
Components of Economics
There are three components of economics:
Consumption
Production
Distribution
According to Disraeli, “There are three kinds of lies - lies, damned lies and Statistics.”
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Aggregate of facts - A single number does not constitute Statistics. No conclusion can
be drawn from it. It is only the aggregate number of facts that is called Statistics. ‘All
statistics are expressed in numbers but all members are not statistics’.
Affected by multiplicity of causes - statistics are not affected by any single factor; but
are influenced by many factors.
Mutually related and Comparable - Such numerical alone will be called Statistics as are
mutually related and comparable. Unless they have the quality of comparison they
cannot be called Statistics.
According to Seligman, “Statistics is the science which deals with the methods of collecting,
classifying, presenting, comparing and interpreting numerical data collected to throw
some light on any sphere of enquiry”.
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the urban population. Inter-temporal comparison means understanding of change in
the magnitude of the problem over time. This would mean making a comparison (say)
over different plan periods of the rural and urban unemployment
Working out cause and effect relationship - Economists try to find out cause and effect
relationship between different sets of data. This enables them to attempt an effective
diagnosis of the problem and accordingly to suggest some effective remedies. Thus,
through their statistical studies, if the economists come to know that it is because of the
decline in demand that investment in the economy has tended to shrink, they can
suggest the government to adopt such measures as would increase the level of
demand in the economy.
Limitations of Statistics:
Study of numerical facts only - Statistics studies only such facts as can be expressed in
numerical terms. It does not study qualitative aspect like honesty, friendship, wisdom,
health, patriotism, justice, etc.
Study of aggregates only - Statistics studies only the aggregates of quantitative facts. It
does not study statistical facts relating to any particular unit
Can be used only by the experts - Statistics can be used only by those persons who
have special knowledge of statistical methods. Those who are ignorant about these
methods cannot make sensible use of statistics.
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Prone to misuse - Misuse of Statistics is very common. Statistics may used to support a
pre-drawn conclusion even when it is absolutely false. It is usually said, "Statistics are
like clay by which you can make a god or a devil, as you please.” Misuse of statistics is
indeed its greatest limitation.
Results are True only on an Average - Most statistical findings are true only as
averages. They express only the broad tendencies. Unlike the laws of natural sciences,
statistical observations are not error-free. They are not always valid
under all conditions.
(a) Producer
(b) Consumer
(c) Investor
2. ______ is the one who produces or sells goods and services for the generation of
income.
(a) Producer
(b) Consumer
(c) Investor
(a) Production
(b) Consumption
(c) Economic
(d) Non-economic
(a) Production
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(b) Savings
(c) Investment
(d) Consumption
(a) Production
(b) Consumption
6. “Economic activity is the study of mankind in the ordinary life of business”, this
definition was given by;
(b) Robbins
(c) Peterson
(a) Consumption
(b) Production
(c) Distribution
8. Which of the following are the features of statistics in the plural sense?
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(b) Statistical results are true only on averages
Assertion-Reason Based
1. Read the following statement given below and choose the correct alternative
(a) Both Assertion and reason are true. Reason is the correct explanation of assertion
(b) Both assertion and reason are true. Reason is not the correct explanation of assertion
2. Read the following statement given below and choose the correct alternative
(a) Both Assertion and reason are true. Reason is the correct explanation of assertion
(b) Both assertion and reason are true. Reason is not the correct explanation of assertion
3. Read the following statement given below and choose the correct alternative
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Assertion (A) - Distrust on statistics can not be removed and is inevitable.
Reason (R) - Statistics is a clay which we can use to make a god or devil, as we wish.
(a) Both Assertion and reason are true. Reason is the correct explanation of assertion
(b) Both assertion and reason are true. Reason is not the correct explanation of assertion
4. Read the following statement given below and choose the correct alternative
Assertion (A) - If your class teacher estimates average height of the whole class on the basis
of average height of four or five students he is using inferential statistics.
Reason (R) - Inferential statistics refers to all such methods by which conclusion can be
drawn relating to the population of a given sample.
(a) Both Assertion and reason are true. Reason is the correct explanation of assertion
(b) Both assertion and reason are true. Reason is not the correct explanation of assertion
5. Read the following statement given below and choose the correct alternative
(a) Both Assertion and reason are true. Reason is the correct explanation of assertion
(b) Both assertion and reason are true. Reason is not the correct explanation of assertion
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Chapter - 2 Collection of Data
Sources of Data
There are two sources of data:
Primary Source of Data It implies collection of data from its source of origin.
Secondary Source of Data It implies collection of data from some agency or institution
which already happens to have collected the data through statistical survey.
Types of Data
There are two types of data:
Primary Data Data collected by the investigator for his own purpose for the first time,
from beginning to end are called primary data.
Secondary Data These data have already been collected by somebody else, these are
available in the form of published or unpublished report.
Primary data are original and secondary data are already in existence and therefore, are
not original.
Primary data do not need any adjustment, secondary data need to be adjustment to
suit the objective of study in hand.
Primary data are expensive and secondary data are less expensive.
It is the method by which data are personally collected by the investigator from the
information. Merits and demerits of this method are follows.
(a) Merits
Originality
Reliability
Uniformity
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Accuracy
Related information
Elastic
(b) Demerits
Costly
Personal bias
Limited coverage
It is the method by which information is obtained not from the persons regarding whom the
information is needed. It is collected orally from other persons who are expected to possess
the necessary information. Merits and demerits of this method are given below
(a) Merits
Wide coverage
Expert opinion
Simple
Less expensive
(b) Demerits
Less accurate
Doubtful conclusions
Biased
Under this method, the investigator appoints local persons or correspondents at different
places. Merits and demerits of this method are given below
(a) Merits
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Economical
Wide coverage
Continuity
(b) Demerits
Loss of originality
Lack of uniformity
Personal bias
Less accurate
Delay in collection
(a) Mailing Method Under this method questionnaires are mailed to the informants.
(b) Enumerator’s Methods Under this Method enumerator himself fills the schedules after
seeking information from the informants.
Published sources - Secondary data is usually gathered from the published (printed)
sources. A few major sources of published information are as follows:
2. Statistical synopses, census records, and other reports issued by the different
departments of the government.
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3. Official statements and publications of the foreign governments.
3. Statistics maintained by different departments and agencies of the central and the state
government, undertakings, corporations, etc.
Government publication
Semi-government publication
International publication
These data are collected by the government organisations and others, generally for their self
use or office record.
In order to assess the reliability, suitability and adequacy of the data, the following
points must be kept in mind.
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Objective and scope
Method of collection
Accuracy
Census method is that method in which data are collected covering every item of the
universe or population relating to the problem under investigation.
(a) Merits
Less biased
Extensive information
Indirect investigation
(b) Demerits
Costly
Large manpower
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(iii) Density of population.
It is that method in which data is collected about the sample on a group of items taken from
the populations for examination and conclusions are drawn on their basis.
(a) Merits
Economical
Time saving
Identification of error
Large investigation
Administrative convenience
More scientific
(b) Demerits
Partial
Wrong conclusions
Specialised knowledge
Methods of Sampling
(i) Random Sampling: Random sampling is that method of sampling in which each and every
item of the universe has equal chance of being selected in the sample.
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Lottery method
(iv) Systematic Sampling: According to this methods, units of the population are
numerically, geographically and alphabetically arranged. Every nth item of the numbered is
selected as a sample item.
(v) Quota Sampling: In this method, the population is divided into different groups or classes
according to different characteristics of the population.
(vi) Convenience Sampling: In this method, sampling is done by the investigator in such a
manner that suits his convenience.
Important agencies at the national level which collect process and tabulate the statistical
data. NSSO (National Sample Survey Organisation), RGI (Registrar General of India), DGCIS
(Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics) and Labour Bureaus.
(ii) Housing Conditions and Migration with special emphasis on slum dwellers.
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(iv) Consumer Expenditure in India, including level and pattern of consumer expenditure of
diverse categories of the people.
Unlike Census of India, Reports and Publications of National Sample Survey Office are based
on 'sample' study of the population/universe.
Census Sampling
1. Involves collecting data from every 1. Involves collecting data from a
single member of a population. subset or a selected group of the
population
2. Requires a large amount of 2. Requires fewer resources and is
resources and time to conduct the quicker to conduct as it only involves
survey and gather data. a specific group of the population
3. Provides a complete and accurate 3. Provides an estimate or a general
representation of the population as it idea of the population based on the
covers all the members. sample selected
4. Can be more expensive than 4. Is generally less expensive than a
sampling as it involves collecting data census as it only involves a specific
from every member of the population. group of the population
5. Can be useful for small populations 5. Can be useful for large populations
or when detailed information is or when a general overview is
needed about the whole population. needed about the population
6. The margin of error is typically very 6. The margin of error is typically
small as it covers the whole larger than a census as the sample
population size is smaller than the population
size
A. The data that is collected from the place of origin is known as primary data
B. The data that is collected from the place of origin is known as secondary data
C. The data that is collected from the place of origin is known as tertiary data
D. None of the above
A. The source of data that is collected and compiled by others is known as secondary data
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B. The source of data that is collected and compiled by others is known as tertiary data
C. The source of data that is collected and compiled by others is known as primary data
D. None of the above
5. Which of the following statements is not true about the collection of data?
A. The census involves a process of choosing a few units out of the entire population for
collecting data
B. The census involves a process of organising and publishing the data
C. The census involves a process of collecting data from each and every unit
D. None of the above
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A. This method of investigation lacks reliability
B. It is an extremely costly and time-consuming process
C. The questions asked under this method can be subject to misinterpretation
D. It is difficult to get original data using the direct personal investigation method
True or False
State whether the following statements are True or False:
1. If we use the data collected by some other person, it is known as secondary data.
(True/False)
2. Indirect oral investigation is applied when the field of investigation is very limited .
(True/False)
(True/False)
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Chapter - 3 Organisation of Data
Organisation of Data
Organisation of data refers to the arrangement of figures in such a form that comparison of
the mass of similar data may be facilitated and further analysis may be possible.
Classification
Objectives of Classification
Utility
Distinctiveness
Comparability
Scientific arrangement
Comprehensiveness
Clarity
Homogeneity
Suitability
Stability
Elastic
Basis of Classification
Chronological Classification: When data are classified on the basis of time, it is known
as chronological classification.
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Qualitative Classification: This classification is according to qualities or attributes of the
data.
Simple classification
Manifold classification
Discrete Variable: These are those variables that increase in jumps or in compete numbers.
Continuous Variable Variable: that assume a range of values or increase not in jumps but
continuously or in fractions are called continuous variables.
Raw Data: A mass of data in its crude form is called raw data.
Individual Series: These are those series in which the items are listed singly.
Frequency Series:
Discrete Series or Frequency Array: It is that series in which data are presented in way that
exact measurement of items are clearly shown. In this series there are no class intervals and
a particular item in the series.
Frequency Distribution: It is that series in which items cannot be exactly measured. The
items assume a range of values and are placed within the limits is called class interval.
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Exclusive Series: It is that series in which every class-interval excludes items
corresponding to its upper limit.
Inclusive Series: An inclusive series is that series which includes all items upto its upper
limit.
Open End Series: An open end series is that series in which lower limit of the first class-
interval and the upper limit of last class- interval is missing like as below – 5, 20 and
above
Cumulative Frequency Series: It is that series in which the frequencies are continuously
added corresponding to each class-interval in the series.
There are two ways of converting this series into cumulative frequency series:
Cumulative frequencies may be expressed on the basis of upper class limits of the class-
intervals.
Cumulative frequencies may be expressed on the basis of lower class limits of the class-
intervals.
Mid Values Frequency Series: Mid value frequency series are those series in which we
have only mid values of the class intervals and the corresponding frequencies.
2. The difference between the upper limit of a class interval and the lower limit of the class
interval next to it is known as:
3. The number of times a particular item occurs in a data set is known as:
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4. The graphical representation of a cumulative frequency distribution is known as:
a) Alphabetical b) Numerical
c) Chronological d) Geometric
a) Histogram b) Ogive
9. The percentage of the total frequency that a particular class interval represents is
known as:
True or False
State whether the following statements are True or False:
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3. In an inclusive series, the upper limit of one class interval is the lower limit of the next class.
(True/False)
4. The number of variables or items that come under any class is called class frequency. (True/False)
5. Arranging the data in different classes according to a given order is called 'series' (True/False)
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Chapter - 4 Presentation of Data (only theory)
Textual Presentation
In textual presentation, data are a part of the text of study or a part of the description of the
subject matter of study.
“Tabulation involves the orderly and systematic presentation of numerical data in a form
designed to elucidate the problem under consideration”
Components of a Table
Table number - First of all, a table must be numbered. Different tables must have
different numbers, eg., 1, 2, 3, ..., etc. These numbers must be in the same order as the
tables. Numbers facilitate location of the tables.
Title - A table must have a title Title must be written in bold letters. It should attract the
attention of the readers. The title must be simple, clear and short. A good title must
reveal:
Head note - If the title of the table does not give complete information, it is
supplemented with a headnote. Headnote Completes the information in the title of the
table. Thus, units of the data are generally expressed in the form of lakhs, tonnes, etc.,
and preferably in brackets as a headnote.
Stubs - Stubs are titles of the rows of a table. These titles indicate information
contained in the rows of the table.
Caption - Caption is the title given to the columns of a table. A caption indicates
information contained in the columns of the table. A caption may have sub-heads when
information contained in the columns is divided in more than one class.
Body or field - Body of a table means sum total of the items in the table. Thus, body is
the most important part of a table. It indicates values of the various items in the table.
Each item in the body is called 'cell'.
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Unit of Measurement - The unit used for the measurement of figures in the table must
be specified alongwith the title. Thus, if the table shows population figures, it must be
specified whether the figures are expressed in terms of lakhs or crores.
Footnotes - Footnotes are given for clarification of the reader. These are generally given
when information in the table need to be supplemented.
Source - When tables are based on secondary data, source of the data is to be given.
Source of the data is specified below the footnote. It should give: name of the
publication and publisher, year of publication, reference, page number, etc.
Quantitative Classification of Data These occurs when data are classified on the basis ot
quantitative characteristics of a phenomenon.
Temporal Classified of Data In this, data are classified according to time, and time
becomes the classifying variable.
(iii) Spatial Classification In spatial classification place, location becomes the classifying
variable. It may be a village, a town, a district, etc.
These translates quite effectively the highly abstract ideas contained in numbers into more
concrete and easily comprehensible form.
(i) Bar Diagrams: Bar diagrams are these diagrams in which data are presented in the form
of bars or rectangles.
Simple Bar Diagrams: Simple bar diagrams are those diagrams which are based on a
single set of numerical data.
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Multiple Bar Diagrams: These are those diagram which show two or more sets of data
simultaneously.
Sub Divided Bar Diagram: Sub-divided bar diagram are those diagrams which
simultaneously present total values as well as part values of a set of data.
Percentage Bar Diagram: Percentage bar diagrams are those diagrams which show
simultaneously, different parts of the values of a set of data in terms of percentages.
(ii) Pie or Circular Diagrams: Pie diagram is a circle divided into various segments showing
the per cent values of a series. This diagram does not show absolute values.
(iii) Frequency Diagram: Data in the form of grouped frequency distributions are generally
represented by frequency diagram like histogram, frequency polygon, frequency curve and
ogive.
Frequency Curve: A frequency curve is a curve which is plotted by joining the mid points
of all tops of histogram by free hand smoothed curves and not by straight lines.
Ogive or Cumulative Curve: Ogive or cumulative curve is the curve which is constructed
by plotting cumulative frequency data on the group paper, in the form of a smooth
curve.
Less than Method: In this method, beginning from upper limit of the 1st values we go
on adding the frequencies corresponding to every next upper limit of the series.
More than Method: In this method, we take cumulative total of the frequencies
beginning with lower limit of the 1st class interval.
(iv) Arithmetic Line Graph: An arithmetic line graph is also called time series graph. In it time
is plotted along x-axis and the value of the variable along y-axis. A line graph by joining these
plotted points, these obtained is called time series graph.
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Rules for Constructing a Graph:
Choice of scale
Proportion of axis
Table of data
One Variable Graph: One variable graph are those graphs in which values of only one
variable are shown with respect to some time period.
Two or More than Two Variable Graphs: These are the graphs in which values of two
variables are simultaneously shown with respect to some period of time.
Lasting impact
Location of averages
Study of correlation
Limited use
Misuse
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1. Which of the following is not a method of presenting data?
(c) It is not suitable for presenting data in a clear and attractive manner.
(c) It is not suitable for presenting data in a clear and attractive manner.
(d) It is not suitable for showing the relationship between different variables.
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8. The title of a table is placed _______.
9. The headings of the rows and columns of a table are called _______.
True or False
State whether the following statements are True or False:
1. The collection and classification of data leads to the problem of analysis of data.
(True/False)
3. The title of a table must be provided at the bottom centre of the table.
(True/False)
2. What is a table?
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Chapter - 5 Measures of Central Tendency
Central Tendency
Mathematical Averages
Positional Averages
Arithmetic Mean
Arithmetic Mean is the number which is obtained by adding the values of all the items of a
series and dividing the total by the number of items.
X =
x 1+ x 2+ x 3+… … ..+ x n
OR
∑X
N N
(i) Individual Series: In the case of individual series, Arithmetic Mean may be calculated by
two methods
Direct Method: According to this method, we find the Arithmetic mean from the following
formula
= ∑N
X Total Value of tℎe item
X or X = Numbers of items
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Short-cut Method: By short cut method, we find the Arithmetic Mean from the following
formula
= A + ∑N
d
X
A = Assumed average of Ed = Net sum of the deviations of the different values from the
assumed average
(ii) Discrete Series: There are three methods of calculating mean of the discrete series
Direct Method: Direct method of estimating mean of the discrete frequency series uses
the formula
∑ fX
X = ∑f
Short-cut Method: Short cut method of estimating mean of the discrete frequency
series uses the following formula
∑ fd
X = A + ∑f
Step-deviation Method: This method is a variant of short-cut method. It is adopted
when deviations from the assumed mean have some common factor
∑ fd
X = A + ∑f x c
(a) Direct Method: Direct method of estimating mean of the discrete frequency series uses
the formula
∑ fm
X = ∑f
L1+ L 2
m = mid-value, mid-value =
2
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L1 = lower limit of the class
(b) Short-cut Method: Short cut method of estimating mean of the frequency distribution
uses the formula
∑ fd
X = A + ∑f
(c) Step Deviation Method: According to this method, we find the Arithmetic Mean by the
following formula
∑ fd '
X = A + ∑f x c
(d) Weighted Arithmetic Mean: It is the mean of weighted items of the series. Different
items are accorded different weights depending on their relative importance. The weighted
sum of the items is divided by the sum of the weights.
According to this way, we find weighted mean from the following information
∑ WX
Xw = ∑W
(i) Merits
Simplicity
Certainty
Algebraic treatment
Stability
Basis of comparison
Accuracy test
(ii) Demerits
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Mean value may not figure in the series at all
Laughable conclusions
Unsuitability
Misleading conclusions
Median
“The Median is that value of the variable which divides the group into two equal parts, one
part comprising all values greater than the Median value and the other part comprising all
the values smaller than the Median value”.
(a) Individual Series Calculation of Median in individual series involves the following
formula
N +1
M = Size of ( 2 )th item
When N of the series is an even number, Median is estimated using the following formula
N N
¿( )th item+ ¿( +1)thitem
M= 2 2
2
(b) Discrete Series Calculation of Median in case of discrete series or frequency array
involves the following formula
N +1
M = Size of ( 2 )th item
N
M = Size of ( 2 )th item
or
N
−cf i
M = L1 + 2 xi or L1 + F (m-c)
F
Quartiles
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If a statistical series is divided in to four equal parts, the end value of each part is called a
Quartile.
(i) Calculation of Quartiles Quartile values (Q1 and Q3) are estimated differently for different
sets of series,
N +1
Q1 = Size of ( 4 )th item of the series
N +1
Q3 = Size of 3( 4 )th item of the series
(b) Frequency Distribution Series In frequency distribution series, the class interval of Q1 and
Q3 are first identified as under
N +1
Q1 = Size of ( 4 )th item
3
− cf i
Q = L1 + 4 xi or Q1 = L1 + F (Q1 -c)
F
N +1
Q3 = Size of 3( 4 )th item
3N
− cf i
Q = L1 + 4 xi or Q3 = L1 + F (Q3 -c)
F
Percentiles
Percentiles divide the series into 100 equal parts, and is generally expressed as P.
N +1
P1 = Size of ( 100 )th item
N +1
Or P4 = Size of 4( )th item
100
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N +1
Or P99 = Size of 99( )th item
100
N
N −cf
P1 = Size of ( 100 )th item, P1 = L1 + [ 100 ]xi
F
N
N 4 −c
P4 = Size of 4( 100 )th item, P4 = L1 + [ 100 ]xi
F
N
N −c
P99 = Size of 99( 100 )th item, P99 = L1 + [ 100 ] x i
100
Mode
The value of the variable which occurs most frequently in a distribution is called the mode.
According to Croxton and Cowden, “ The mode may be regarded as the most typical of a
series of value”.
Individual Series
By inspection
Discrete Series
There are two methods for calculation of mode indiscrete frequency series
Inspection Method
Grouping Method
The exact value of Mode can be calculated with the following formula
f1−f0
Z = L1 + 2 f − f − f xi
1 0 2
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Relative Position of Arithmetic Mean, Median and Mode Suppose we express,
Arithmetic Mean = Me
Median = Mi
Mode = Mo
The relative magnitude of the three are Me > Mi > Mo or Me < Mi < Mo The Median is always
between the Arithmetic Mean and the Mode.
(a) X = ∑ X (b) X =
∑X
N
N
(c) X = ∑ X - N (d) X =
∑X
2. What is the formula to find out arithmetic mean through short-cut method in individual
series?
(a) X =
∑X (b) X = A +
∑d
N N
(c) X =
∑ X +A (d) X =
∑ fX
N ∑f
3. Which of the following is not a measure of central tendency?
N N
−C . f . −C . f .
(a) M = l1 + 4 xi (b) M = l2 + 4 xi
f f
N −C.f .
(c) M = l1 + xi (d) None of these
f
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7. What is the relationship between mode, mean and median?
(a) Z = 3M + 2 X (b) Z = 3M - 2 X
3M −Z
(c) X = (d) Both (b) and (c)
2
N +1 th N th
(a) [ ] item (b) [ ] item
2 2
N − 1 th
(c) [ ] item (d) None of these
2
9. Which one of the following average can be computed with the help of ogives?
True or False
5. Cumulative frequency indicates 'less than' or 'more than' value of the series.
(True/False)
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1. What is weighted arithmetic mean?
Chapter - 6 Correlation
Correlation
According to Croxton and Cowden, “When the relationship is of a quantitative nature, the
appropriate statistical tool for discovering and measuring the relationship and expressing
it in a brief formula is known as correlation.”
Types of Correlation
Positive Correlation: When two variables move in the same direction, such a relation is
called positive correlation, e.g., Relationship between price and supply
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Negative Correlation: When two variables changes in different directions, it is called
negative correlation. Relationship between price and demand.
Linear Correlation: The two variables change in a constant proportion, it is called linear
correlation. If the two sets of data bearing fixed proportion 10 each other are shown on
a graph paper, their relationship will be indicated by a straight line. Thus, linear
correlation implies a straight line relationship.
Non-Linear Correlation: when the two variables do not change in any constant
proportion, the relationship is said to be non-linear. Such a relationship does not form a
straight line relationship.
Simple Correlation: Simple correlation implies the study of relationship between two
variables only. Like the relationship between price and demand or the relationship
between money supply and price level.
Multiple Correlation: When the relationship among three or more than three variables
is studied simultaneously, it is called multiple correlation. In of such correlation, the
entire set of independent and dependent variables is simultaneously studied. For
instance, effect of rainfall, manure, water, etc., on per hectare productivity of wheat are
simultaneously studied.
Partial Correlation: when more than two variables are involved and out of these the
relationship between only two variables is studied treating other variables as constant,
then the correlation is partial.
Degree of Correlation
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(i) Scatter Diagram: Scattered diagram offers a graphic expression of the direction and
degree of correlation.
This is also known as product moment correlation and simple correlation coefficient.
Karl Pearson has given a quantitative method of calculating correlation Karl Pearson’s
coefficient correlation is generally written as V.
r=
∑ xy
N σx σ y
Where,
r = Coefficient of correlation;
x=x–x
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y= y – y
N= Number of observations
If there is no need to calculate standard deviation of x and y directly using the following
formula
∑ xy
r=
√∑ x 2 x ∑ y 2
Here, x(x – x ), y = (y – y )
Short-cut Method
This method is used when mean value is not in whole number but in fractions. In this
method, deviation is calculated by taking the assumed mean both the series.
Statistics Economics - XI
Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient
The study of correlation shows the direction and degree of relationship between the
variables.
Correlation coefficient some times suggests cause and effect relationship.
Correlation analysis facilitates business decisions because the trend path of one variable
may suggest the expected changes in the other.
Correlation analysis also helps policy formulation.
Properties of correlation
(i) r has no unit. It is a pure number. It means units of measurement are not parts of r.
(ii) A negative value of r indicates an inverse relation, and if r is positive, the two variables
move in the same direction.
(iii) If r = 0, the two variables are uncorrelated. There is no linear relation between them.
However, other types of relation may be there.
Statistics Economics - XI
(v) The value of the correlation coefficient lies between minus one and plus one, i.e., - 1 ≤ r ≤
+ 1. If the value of r lies outside this range, it indicates error in calculation.
6 ∑ D2 H+ L
(a) rk = 1 - (b)
N 2
6 ∑ D2 6 ∑ D2
(c) rk = 1 - (d) rk = 1 -
N 3− N N 4− N
(a)
N σ X σY
(b)
∑ xy
∑ xy N σ X σY
(c)
σ X σY
(d)
∑ xy
∑ xy σ X σY
(a) 0 (b) +1
(c) -1 (d) None of these
5. The correlation coefficient will be -1 if the slope of the straight line in scatter diagram is:
6. The statistical tool that studies the degree of association between two variables is
called:
a) Correlation b) Regression
c) Index numbers d) None of these
a) -1 to +1 b) 0 to +1
c) -1 to -0.5 d) 0 to 0.5
Statistics Economics - XI
a) Coefficient of correlation
b) Strength of association between two variables
c) Linear relationship between two variables
d) None of these
True or False
State whether the following statements are True or False:
1. Definite relation between two or more than two groups or series is called correlation.
(True/False)
3. In scattered diagram, more the different points are close to each other, less will be the
value correlation.
(True/False)
4. If the value of coefficient of correlation is + 1, it implies that correlation between the two
variables is perfectly positive.
(True/False)
5. Karl Pearson's method of correlation apply to those series where deviations are calculated
on the basis of assumed mean.
(True/False)
2. What is the nature of correlation of two variables when they move in the same direction?
4. What are the two mathematical methods for measuring coefficient of correlation?
Statistics Economics - XI
Chapter - 7 Index Number
Index Number
An index number is a statistical device for measuring changes in the magnitude of a group of
related variables. It represents the general trend of diverging ratios from which it is
calculated.
According to Croxton and Cowden, “Index numbers are devices for measuring difference in
the magnitude of a group of related variables.”
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Methods of Constructing Index Numbers:
(i) Simple Aggregative Method: In this method, we use the following formula
∑ P1
P01 = x 100
∑ P0
Here, P01 = Price index of current year
ΣP1 = Sum of prices of the commodities in the current year
ΣP0 = Sum of prices of the commodities in the base year
According to this method, we first find out price relatives from each commodity and then
take simple average of all the prices relatives.
P
P01 =
∑ 1
[ x 100]
P0
N
According to this method, weighted sum of the price relatives is divided by the sum total of
the weight. In this method, goods are given weight according to their quantity, thus
Statistics Economics - XI
∑ RW
P01 =
∑W
Here, P01 = Index number for the current year in relation to the base year
W = weight
R = price relative
(ii) Weighted Aggregative Method: Under this method, different goods are accorded weight
according to the quantity bought therefore, suggested different techniques of weighting
some of well known methods are as under
It takes into consideration the price and quantities of both the base year and current
year.
It is based on Geometric Mean (GM) which is regarded as the best mean for calculating
index number.
Fisher’s index number satisfies both the Time Reversal Test and Factor Reversal Test.
The consumer price index is the index number which measures the averages change in
prices paid by the specific class of consumers for goods and services consumed by them in
the current year in comparison with base year.
Statistics Economics - XI
Weightage – There are two ways of according weights
Quantity weight
Expenditure weight
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) measures the relative changes in the prices of commodities
traded in the wholesale markets. In India, the wholesale price index numbers are
constructed on weekly basis.
The index number of industrial production measures changes in the level of industrial
production comprising many industries. It includes the production of the public and the
private sector. It is a weighted average of quantity relatives. The formula for the index is
∑ q1 x W
P01 = x 100
∑W
Construction of Index Number of Industrial Production
Classification of industries
Weightage
Sensex
Sensex is the index showing changes in the Indian stock market. It is a short form of a
Bombay Stock Exchange sensitive index. It is constructed with 1978-79 as the reference year
or the base year. It consists of 30 stocks of leading companies in the country.
Statistics Economics - XI
Purpose of constructing index number of prices is to know the relative change or
percentage in the price level over time. A rising general price level over time is a pointer
towards inflation, while a falling general price level over time is a pointer towards
deflation.
(a) P01 =
∑ RW x 100 (b) P01 =
∑ RW
∑W ∑W
(c) P01 =
∑ W x 100 (d) P01 =
∑W
∑ RW ∑ RW
4. Which of the following formula is proposed by Fisher?
(a) P01 =
∑ p1 q1 (b) P01 =
∑ p1 q0 x 100
∑ p 0 q1 ∑ p 0 q0
(c) P01 =
√ ∑ p 1 q 0 x ∑ p1 q 1 x 100
∑ p 0 q 0 ∑ p0 q 1
(d) None of these
A1 A2+ A1
(a) x 100 (b) x 100
A2+ A1 A1
A1 A2− A1
(c) x 100 (d) x 100
A2− A1 A1
Statistics Economics - XI
6. An index number that can serve many purposes is known as:
10. The index number that is based on the prices of the current year and the base year is
known as:
True or False
State whether the following statements are True or False:
3. In weighted index, weights are accorded to different items depending on their relative
importance.
(True/False)
Statistics Economics - XI
4. Consumer price index numbers are constructed to measure the effect of average changes
in wholesale prices on consumers living in different places.
(True/False)
5. Simple index number can be constructed only by the simple aggregative method.
(True/False)
Statistics Economics - XI