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Homework II

The document contains solutions to various statistical problems involving probability calculations, including normal and Poisson distributions. It covers topics such as the probability of events, expected values, and variances, as well as specific scenarios like hurricane frequency and flight delays. Each problem is methodically solved with calculations and interpretations provided.

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prithvi19598
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17 views14 pages

Homework II

The document contains solutions to various statistical problems involving probability calculations, including normal and Poisson distributions. It covers topics such as the probability of events, expected values, and variances, as well as specific scenarios like hurricane frequency and flight delays. Each problem is methodically solved with calculations and interpretations provided.

Uploaded by

prithvi19598
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Homework II

Problem 1:
a)
b)
 P (X < 100) = P (Z < [100 – 105.52]/18.77)
= P (Z < - 0.294)
= 0.3859
 P (90 < X <110) = P (Z < [90 – 105.52]/18.77) – P (Z < [110 – 105.52]/18.77)
= P ( -0.826 < Z < 0.238)
= P (Z < -0.826) – P (Z < 0.238)
= 0.2061 – 0.5910
= 0.3849
 P (X > 120) = P (Z > [120 – 105.52]/18.77)
= P (Z > 0.771)
= 0.2006
Problem 2:

n = 25
P = 1/100 = 0.01
Let X, be the number of parts that require rework.
Therefore,
E (X) = nP
= 25 x 0.01
= 0.25

V (X) = nP (1- P)
= 25 x 0.01 (1 – 0.01)
= 0.2475
a) P( Process to be stopped) = P {X – E(X) > 2√V(X) }
= P {X > 0.25 + 2√0.2475 }
= P ( X > 1.244 )
=P(X≥2) Since, value is greater than 1.
= 1 – P ( X ≤ 1)
= 1 – 0.974
= 0. 0257

b) p = 0.05

P( more than one defective part ) = P ( X > 1)


= 1 – P(X = 0) – P (X = 1)
= 1- 0.64
= 0.3576
Problem 3:

a.
Hurricane Frequency Probability
0 5 5/68 = 0.07
1 16 16/68 = 0.24
2 19 19/68 = 0.28
3 13 13/68 = 0.19
4 3 3/68 = 0.04
5 5 5/68 = 0.07
6 4 4/68 = 0.06
7 2 2/68 = 0.03
8 1 1/68 = 0.02
Total = 36 Total = 68 Total = 1

b. Mean = [0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8]/9 = 36/9 = 4

c. As compared to results in part (b) i.e Poissons distrubution and part (a) i.e probabilities
calculated for hurricanes in a given year. The total value of probalities calculated in part (b) is an
approx. value whereas, in part (a) it is an accurate value.Therefore, Poisson distribution model
gives an approx. value for this phenomenon.
Problem 4:

Mean = 10
Standard Deviation = 1
P = 2/100 = 0.02
So,
P( X < x) = P (Z < [x – 10]/1) = 0.02
= [x – 10]/1 = -2.06
= 7.94 years
Therefore, the guarantee given for a pump would be in effect for 7.94years.
Problem 5:

a. Number of flying hours = 25 + 150 + 45 + 30 = 250


P (flight is early) = 25/250
= 0.1
P (flight is On time) =150/250
= 0.6
P (flight is Late) = 45/250
= 0.18
P (flight is Cancelled) = 30/250
= 0.12

b. Yes, these outcomes are mutually exclusive as they have no outcomes in common.

c. P ( flight is Early or On time) = 25/250 + 150/250


= 175/25 = 0.7
Problem 6:

Mean = 30 mpg Standard Deviation = 1.5 mpg

a. P (X < 28) = P (Z < [28 – 30]/1.5)


= P (Z < -1.33)
= 0.0918
b. P (28 < X <32) = P (Z < [28 – 30]/1.5) – P (Z < [30 – 32]/1.5)
= P (-1.33 < Z < -1.33)
= P (Z < -1.33) – P (Z < -1.33)
= 0.8176
c. P (X > 33) = P (Z > [33 – 30]/1.5)
= P (Z > 2)
= 0.0228
d. P (X < 31) = P (Z < [31 – 30]/1.5)
= P (Z < 0.66)
= 0.7454
e. P (X > x) = P (Z > [x - 30]/1.5) = 0.05
= [x – 30]/1.5 = 0.05
= 32.47

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