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Introduction

The document discusses the increasing focus on renewable energy sources, particularly solar PV, which is projected to become the leading energy capacity in Europe by 2025. It highlights the challenges posed by the variability of solar power generation due to environmental factors and emphasizes the need for accurate forecasting methods. The paper proposes a fuzzy logic approach for predicting solar power output, utilizing influential variables such as hours of the day, cloud cover, and tilt angle to enhance prediction accuracy.

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kesh.albania2023
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19 views1 page

Introduction

The document discusses the increasing focus on renewable energy sources, particularly solar PV, which is projected to become the leading energy capacity in Europe by 2025. It highlights the challenges posed by the variability of solar power generation due to environmental factors and emphasizes the need for accurate forecasting methods. The paper proposes a fuzzy logic approach for predicting solar power output, utilizing influential variables such as hours of the day, cloud cover, and tilt angle to enhance prediction accuracy.

Uploaded by

kesh.albania2023
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

In recent years, a growing attention had been dedicated to energy production from

renewable
energy sources. The wind and solar energy is assumed to have more favourable
technical and economic
perspectives. Solar PV penetration in the grid is accelerating faster than ever.
According to the IEA, by
2025, solar PV will be the leading installed energy capacity in Europe, due to its
advantages of being a
clean, inexhaustible, abundant and environmentally friendly energy. PV generation
depends on several
factors, one of which is the fluctuation of the output power of PV systems due to
changes in the intensity
of solar radiation caused by the movement of clouds as well as fog, snow and rain.
They inject variable
power into the electrical system, which causes the change of system parameters,
such as voltage, current,
etc. This will represent a challenge for the grid. Therefore, for the efficient planning
and operation of a
PV system, the most accurate forecast of PV energy production is essential.
In recent years, many studies have been done for the implementation of methods of
forecasting
the PV generation. Since Artificial Intelligence methods have a greater advantage
than other methods,
in this paper it has been considered the construction of a PV energy predictive
model of using Fuzzy
Logic Approach.
In this paper, a fuzzy reasoning approach is used for prediction of solar power. In
the proposed
method, the fuzzy inferences knowledge-based IF-THEN rule is developed using
Matlab Fuzzy
software. Using fuzzy logic, the mathematical representation of influential variables
on the prediction
of solar power is defined. Three variables influencing the prediction of solar power
are taken in
consideration as fuzzy logic inputs. These variables are: Hours of the day, Clouds,
tilt angle. The detailed
analysis of the fuzzy system surfaces shows that the factors taken in consideration
are connected to each
other. A set of different values of inputs are define and then prediction the forecast
of PV energy
production of solar power through the Fuzzy approach is applied. The constructed
rules based in
engineering experience accurately represent the prediction of solar power.
Keywords: Fuzzy reasoning, physical approach, statistical approach, influential
variables, PV
generation.

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