[This question paper contains 32 printed pages.] Your Roll Ni Sr. No. of Question Paper : 5239 H Unique Paper Code 2272101203 Name of the Paper + Intermediate Statistics for Econoinies Name of the Course B.A. (H) Economics DSC Semester all Duration : 3 Hours ‘Maximum Marks : 90 Instructions for Candidates 1. Write your Roll No. on the top immediately on receipt of this question paper. 2, All questions within each section are to be answered in @’ contiguous manner on ‘the answer sheet. Start each question on a new page, and all subparts of a question should follow one after the other. 3, All intermediate calculations should be rounded off to 3 decimal places. The values provided in statistical tables should not be rounded off. All-final calculations should be rounded off to two decimal places. 4, “The use of a simple non-programmable’ calculator is allowed. Statistical tables are attached for your reference. 6. In all calculations, figures should be rounded to two decimal places. 7. Answers may be written either in English or Hindi; but the same medium should be used throughout. the- paper. - wri a fae fre Leer a Be aoa Free Petit ere ee Se FRET 1 eke eis Bah We SB ee ga Ue Pe ANS SA we HET AY eH AT YS TT Ate, ste wa wer S OT soe at eH Fae TH, age HA a ed moras worst a 9 carrera cart er Ge en weer afer eae erat Y wear eae ar Aha aA va re EL A iPr Ta A a ae ee FAT wer ee) PTO.$239 2 4 Reamer ota dager 3 ae A aaa A 5. aia Bae sind ek & fee eer fi 6. wo or, end a a artes earth eater Poet aT ARR 7 ROME I Te SiH oT RS Pa Gee TF Gfare, Bs et oot eS safer SECTION 1 Do.any two questions. ford QA meat ar ser Afert 1. (a) Suppose Y,, Y,, and Y, are three normally and independently distributed randoth variables with expected values 1, j1, and p,, and variances o?,, 0, =15, and and ?,, respectively. If 1, =25, 1,= 45, jt, = 50,.0%, = 10, 07, o7,= 20, calculate P(45 < ¥ < 47) where ¥ = (Y,+Y,+Y,)/3. (b) The time taken by a randomly selected job applicant to fill out a certain form has a normal distribution with mean value 12 minutes and variance 4 minutes? If six individuals fill out a form on one day and seven on another, find the probability that the sample average amount of time taken on each day is at most 13 minutes. (+5) (a) wer ating far Y,, Y,, SCY, Ge aera wr site waa Ta Rae ago ee fad aR AT y,, p, ote u, B ste WAM oF, oF, ste oF, Bi AT 20 #, at H,=25, w= 45, #,=50, o7,=10, o%,=15, at 0%, P(45.< ¥ $47) A arm aifry wet Y = (Y,+Y,+¥,)/3.5239, . 3 2. (a) we After GH a wet S fare goer er a cafe shed ater ar fer a a2 Pee S ater ae ait 4 Pee? A ae S oe we IT fasen #1 a va ft oe atta ve wi wa ook qt fer ae aie, at aftenan are attire far water fee fear ar sap: sitet wT sien A aT 13 fre arti Suppose a certain bike has four models (model 1, model 2, model 3, and model 4), If¥ denotes a randomly selected bike purchase, then the probability mass function (pmf) of Y is given as below : ¥ 1 2 3 4 Py) 02. 04 On 03 Suppose a random sample of two customers is selected: (@ Obtain the sampling distribution of Y. Gi) Calculate P(Y < 1.5) and P(2 < ¥ <3.5). (545) sar sifire fh fat area Sa aise F (steer 1, is 2, vem ae tse 4) a Y ayfes a Quah wee wie at mi 2, ay ar weet cet ‘wat (pmf) “WY fear war @: @ met B agtow at x Rar aif > 1 2 3 4 PO) 02 [04 OL 03 PTO.5239 4 @ Yar Fer fae we TTI Gi POY < 1.5) HEPC < F< 3.5) St aera wy, wee mea a ea eR sag yA wre #1 3. Tet YynXo and variance (c?) 4.2. If Y= Y, +¥; + -—— + Yas Y,, be a random sample from a distribution with mean (7.9 (a) Caloulate P (277.5 < ¥ < 279.7). (b) If the sample size changes t6 32, could the probability of part (@) be calculated from the given information. If yes, find the probability and if not, why? Will your answer change if the sample size is 25 instead of 32? Explain. (5+5) wart WARE fF Y,, Vz, > Yas 1 (HW) 7.9 ate wet (62) 4.2 we Rarer B we wiftom vam 2 a Y= ¥,+Y, +--+ Ys (8) P (277.5 $ ¥ $ 279. 7) at aor, afore (a) ae aan ore 92H aca er BB eA af wed Bot (@) ceo arr a aT wens 1 a, ater ar ae ote ae ov, a ea? aft eT rere 92S aoa 25 8S aT ore THC wee TET? arent afer!5239 go 1 SECTION II 4. Attempt any three questions. Poedt Sta weit or see Ste) Let the fracture strengths (MPa) of ceramic bars be normally distributed with average fracture strength 1 and standard deviation o. A sample of 10 ceramic bars is found to have an average strength of 70 MPa and standard deviation (s) 2.3 MPa, . (a) Obtain a two-sided confidence interval for true average fracture strength, when the level of significance is 1%. Which distribution would you use to obtain the critical values ‘for the confidence interval and why? (b) Calculate a two-sided confidence interval for the population standard deviation when the significance level is 5%. (5+5) ier were St Berwe aT (eathe) SY aa ee a ate ew wre ate are Reet o Sa afte fear er aie 10 fates oat So eH aA FH stat wre 70 wre sk are fear (s) 23 wate wr wa # (a) 3h star tare sera Sf cee fee sieret wer are, Te ATT Be eA an Ren fey Weert ree YS Ae fea Ren at Ser Ae wat? (3) vere aren Reet fore a ceo eae sierra aise wa ABT wR 5% BH PTO.$239 6 5. 6. @ LetY,, Y,, - interval (0-1, 6+1), where @ can be any finite real number. Find the moment Y, be a random sample from a uniform distribution on the estimator of 6. If sample size is 4 and Y,=2.7, Y," 1, find the moment estimate of 0. (b) Let Y,, Y,, and Y, be 4 random sample from a normal distribution where both population mean 1 and standard deviation o are unknown, Which of the following is an unbiased and more efficient estimator for .? Se pat eT +h +i% BaMt +i 645) (a1) art fet Y,, Y,, ---, Y, seer (0-1, O+1) we ver war fae J ve uaghoer spr 8, oat O aE thea areater een A wet #1 Oo aT amt Se via safe ae aE see 4 Fai Y,=2.7, Y,=1.2, Y,=3.9, Y,=23 3, a 0 ot ampt sept ma afer (@) we aif Y,, Y,, site Y, arn fae S aghos aan F wet ore ster a att ame feet o at ona #1 Rafer Fa ae pS Ae we fror sie after emer spr #7 doe Ati +i¥% (@) Suppose that X,, X,,....... X, be a random sample with the following pdf Serv xe) for x20 6p* Find out the Maximum Likelihood Estimators for B if a random sample of size 3 yielded the measurements 2.3, 1.9, and 4.6. £(x; B) =4 5239 : a : () The mean of a random sample of 64 observations is 160. Assuming a | population standard deviation of 10, how many additional observations are | | required so that the half width of the confidence interval for true population mean (11) is 1,4 assuming a confidence level of 95%? (545) (at) er ARIE PX, Xp on X, PAAR Aer Bae eR aR AT 2 gat f(x 8) =" for x20 pS Re afters deren sya MA ae aa 3 Fen aghen a Fa 23, 19. ate 46 are fa (): 64 seat See agRee aaa at awe 160 #1 10 Benker ae flat at art eg, Beet after oeetert o omen & ae areata } veweat me (yu) Sagar A gle we meme 14 Bt, eH Aare wat Ee | ‘ (95%. AT RR? i 7. (@)° A random sample of 700 units from a large consignment showed that 200 were damaged. Estimate the true average proportion of damaged units in the consignment in a way that conveys information about precision and reliability. | (Assumte 95% level of confidence) (b) A random sample of 10 bags of nitrogen fertilizers gives a sample mean of 40 kg and sample standard deviation of 6 kg. If the investigator surveying these bags wants to be 99% confident that the population mean weight (11) does not exceed “d”, what would “d” be? (Assume population distribution to be normal). (545) PTO.5239 8 8. (a) we ah Bo @ 700 earat ar we agken apr fern # fF 200 eareat afar fof ao % afar gare S aeifie ster. aqua a7 ee TE 2 ae wy wh adeat sit feat SF ak FH at tar 2 (95% arrafieara ar eR ar eer) (a) anger séeat B10 At aT eH afte eT 40 fro aT age aT site 6 fem or aaa wre fat Be 81 ae et A ar eae Gt ae SITE 99% seat Ba et @ fe ve ae AK (1) “d” @ aftr adi @, A Sa? wen Ban? (seen fre A arIT ar aif): Section IIT Attempt any four questions. fd oe wet ar ser arts (a) Ima certain type of discolourant, itis very important that a particular solution that is to be used as a reactant have a pH of exactly 8.20. A method for determining pH that is available for solutions of this type is known to give measurements that are normally distributed with a mean equal to the actual pH and with a standard deviation of .02. Suppose 10 independent measurements yielded the following pH values : 8.18 | 8.17 [8.16 [8.15 [8.17 [8.21 [8.22 [8.16 [8.9 | 8.18 () Which test statistic would be used and why? (i) What-conclusion can be drawn at the a = .10 level of significance using the p-value approach?5239 9 4 | (b) Using the 90% confidence interval, for the mean labour time (1), following information is obtained : Sample Standard | 90% Confidence N Sample Mean Deviation Interval | 32 1,86462 1.24992 (1.574, 2.158) @ Decide whether ornot to reject H,: 1 = 1.6-in fayour of Hy: # 1.6 at a = 0.10. i) What is your decision in part (i) if level of significance a =0.05? (ii) Based on the example what is the relationship between tests for two- sided alternatives and confidence intervals? (5+5) (3) we Rites vere & feiss 3, ar age arent BR ew Re wre RA sittener a et % aod Rear amr @, sear pH ficqA 920 Fer aC we ver Seams & fae suo pH at Pelee wa Pe ew AY | aw 8S fe wer rer 8 ot wera aT a weer pH SF wom aE Ste 02 Barrer Peet Bare Reser ron aren Bi wer aie fs 10 er ant & Prater pH ae are AEH: 8.18] 8.17 [8.16] 8.15] 8.17 [8.21 [8.22 | 8.16] 8.9 [8.18 (i) Fer & ater sitet er sear fear stem sik zt? Ate gest ar ova aed a = 10 SS ae & aT Pent ‘Peet ot wera 2? i) PTO.9. 7 Sample Standard |: . leans Deviation 32 1.86462 & ay aa wy #7 (a) Itis desired to test the null hypothesis = 30 minutes against ft hypothesis jt < 30 minutes on the basis of the timé taken by’ 1 error is to be a = 0.05? (b) Environment experts need to be able to detect small am: in the environment which usually shows average lead cont be 2.25 (ug/L). However, experts express concern concentration of lead in the water, As a check on current! measurements of lead content are taken from twelve water sped2.41 2912.7] 2.62.9] 2.0[2.8 [2.2 [24] 24] 20] 25. Is there strong enough evidence to support the concern of the experts? Conduct the test at 0.025 level-of significance. . (+5) (a) ae Weer j= 30 Rae S Rare Safe vRarer p< 30 Pa a “onde a's fae va ae Renter ster eR n = 50 aa ae fae TT * amt we F ee o=5 fre 2 aff oem dae. a seis Lipegees= ASH OS ae sr we ae at aE it | W025 = em BK sree at 10, (a) Breakthroughs by one research group result in the summary statistics for the stress (MPa) of synthetic silk fibers, where X and ¥ are the sample means for small and large diameter respectively and s, and s, are’ the respective sample standard deviations. PLO.5239 12 Small diameter n = 7 Large diameter n = 6 Use the 0.05 level of significance to test the claim that mean stress is largest for the small diameter fibers. Assume that both sampled populations have normal distributions with the same variance. (b) Data indicates that the variance of measurements made through stampings by experienced quality- control inspectors is 0.18 (inch)*. Such measurements made by an inexperienced inspector could have too large a variance (perhaps because of inability to read instruments properly) or too small a variance (perhaps because unusually high or low measurements are discarded). If a new inspector measures 31 stampings with a variance of 0.13 (inch)?, test at the 0.05 level of significance whether the inspector is making satisfactory measurements. Assume normality. (5+5) (a) fetter tt wer SB aaa (wry) F fae aae sweet Foye ger aye are morn ar oir 2, wet x ok 7 wae Te oh a are S fee ET aot % ait s, sit s, daft aT ame free 21 wa ea ar ater met S fae 005 eK FS ee aT sad afare fH Ie ae aigait eB fore sitar wera wae ae 81 art aioe fa aT ET araret Fert Peat & ae ara fast tat 25239 13 Cae Fe et eo oe ier er ae ae wey ar site 018 (fa)? Bi vee aquada Aten ae fe ae Bat Hage ag eer Aaa # (sae Senet at Sew Beta sari S eet) a age Bet aT: (Mas galery fe geT TS ser ot et at Lat diy ea wrat 8) a ver aa Atters ons (ga)? FS aT S we 31 eft at avat 2, a aos we Swe we ve we Be er Ree Sar AT a TET BI ATTA AT etfsreL A research group is making great advances using a new type of anode and they claim that the mean life is greater than 1600 recharge cycles. To support this claim, they create 50 new batteries and subject them to recharge cycles until they fail, The claim will bé established if the sémple meaa lifetime is greater than 1660\cyeles. Otherwise, the claim will not be established and LL. @) further improvements are neéded. Let standard deviation o = 192, and level of significance @ = 0.03. Find the dividing line of the test criterion. Find the probability of Type II errors for the values of true population mean = 1620, 1660 1700; 1740-and 1760. Also find the power of test in each ase. Do you observe a.relationship between alternative mean and probability ()! of type Il error? (5+5) (a) we ate ee ea we Boe a ora EP are wa a TTP ste seet-crat @ fee stat stor 1600 ftant wat @ afte #1 ge wa aT unit eet @ foe, 3 so a8 act aa # ok wa we a aaa aH a wa ae Se tah ae FH ote wer wer 21 ale ae sitet sitar 1660 wat Satter 8 at car afte fear orem sree, car eats at ahr ste amt qa St sare Bi aM eae ae aT o = 192 @, sie aT weet = 0.03 8 nt wake wt Ae ter me APE PTO.5239 14 (%) areafter erro aT AAT = 1620, 1660 1700, 1740 aie 1760 & art fee ces 0 geal at aera ay ger Tel weer aS H ade wh afer met war ong terior wer site wee I gfe at wftenar Sate dae Fee ia 12. (a), Incidence of Pneumonia statistics reported that 35 of 80 randomly selected cases test positive for bacterial pneumonia, whereas 66 of 80 cases tested positive for viral pneumonia, Does it appear that the true proportion of bacterial pneumonia cases differs from that for the viral pneumonia? Carry out a test of hypotheses using a significance level .01 by obtaining a p-value. (©) It is observed that municipal sewer pipeline networks across the country is deteriorating. One technology is proposed for pipeline rehabilitation through a tougher and flexible liner through use of chemical in the existing pipe. The following data on tensile strength (psi) of liner specimens both when a certain chemical was used and when this chemical was not used is given where x and ¥ are the sample means for and s, and s, are the respective sample standard deviations. No chemical: m = 10 277.3 Chemical Used: n'= 8 205.9 Does the data suggest that the standard deviation of the chemical used sample is smaller than that for no chemical sample? Carry out a test at significance level .01. (545)