ESSENTIAL POKER MATH REFERENCE CHARTS
COMMON PRE-FLOP EQUITY SCENARIOS
Scenario Hand Equity Favorite?
Over Pair vs. Under Pair AA vs. QQ AA with 81.6% Equity
Over Cards vs. Pair AK vs. TT TT with 56.2% Equity
Dominated Hand KQ vs. KJ KQ with 73.2% Equity
Over Cards vs. Under Cards JT vs. 68 JT with 65.7% Equity
ODDS-TO-PERCENTAGE TABLE
Odds Ratios Odds Percentages
2:1 33.3%
3:1 25%
4:1 20%
5:1 16.7%
6:1 14.3%
7:1 12.5%
SPR GUIDELINE TABLE
SPR SPR Size Hands to Commit
Low 0 to 2 Over Pair, Top Pair, Bottom 2 Pair
Medium 3 to 6 Top 2 Pair, Sets, Non-Nutted Flushes & Straights
High 7+ Sets, Nutted Hands
1
COMMON DRAWING HAND EQUITIES
Drawing Hands Outs Flop Not All-In & Turn Equity
Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 4 x 2 = 8%
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 6 x 2 = 12%
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 8 x 2 = 16%
Flush Draw 9 9 x 2 = 18%
Flush + Gut Shot Straight Draw 12 12 x 2 = 24%
Flush + OESD 15 15 x 2 = 30%
STARTING HAND PROBABILITIES
Starting Hand Probabilities Percentage
AA or KK 0.90%
AK Suited or Off-Suit 1.21%
AA, KK, QQ, JJ or TT 2.3%
2 Suited Cards: 10+ 3.2%
Any Suited Connector 3.9%
Any Pair 6.3%
COMMON DRAWING HANDS EQUITY SCENARIOS
Draw Outs Flop Not All-In Flop All-In Turn
Flush Draw 9 9 x 2 = 18% 9 x 4 = 36% 9 x 2 = 18%
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 8 x 2 = 16% 8 x 4 = 32% 8 x 2 = 16%
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 6 x 2 = 12% 6 x 4 = 24% 6 x 2 = 12%
Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 4 x 2 = 8% 4 x 4 = 16% 4 x 2 = 8%
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2
COMMON PRE-FLOP ALL-IN SCENARIOS
Common All-In Scenarios Example Equity Favorite Equity Underdog
Over Pair vs. Under Pair AA vs. KK AA (82%) KK (18%)
Over Cards vs. Pair AK vs. QQ QQ (56%) AK (44%)
One Over Card vs. Pair AJ vs. QQ QQ (71%) AJ (29%)
Over Cards vs. Under Cards AK vs. JT AK (63%) JT (37%)
Dominated Hand AK vs. AQ AK (74%) AQ (26%)
OUTS TO EQUITY CHART
# of Outs % Flop Not All-In % Flop All-In Flop All-In Odds % Turn Turn Odds
1 2.1% 4.3% 22.5:1 2.2% 45:1
2 4.3% 8.5% 10.8:1 4.4% 22:1
3 6.4% 12.5% 7:1 6.5% 14.3:1
4 8.5% 16.5% 5.1:1 8.7% 10.5:1
5 10.6% 20.3% 3.9:1 10.9% 8.2:1
6 12.8% 24% 3.1:1 13% 6.7:1
7 14.9% 27.8% 2.6:1 15.2% 5.6:1
8 17% 31.5% 2.2:1 17.4% 4.8:1
9 19.1% 35% 1.9:1 19.6% 4.1:1
10 21.3% 38.4% 1.6:1 21.7% 3.6:1
11 23.4% 41.7% 1.4:1 23.9% 3.2:1
12 25.5% 45% 1.2:1 26.1% 2.9:1
13 27.7% 48.1% 1.1:1 28.3% 2.6:1
14 29.8% 51.2% 0.95:1 30.4% 2.3:1
15 31.9% 54.1% 0.8:1 32.6% 2.1:1
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3
STEAL BREAK-EVEN POINT
Steal Sizing Break-Even Point
3bb Steal Sizing 3bb / (3bb + 1.5bb) = 66.7% Break-Even Point
2.5bb Steal Sizing 2.5bb / (2.5bb + 1.5bb) = 62.5% Break-Even Point
2bb Steal Sizing 2bb / (2bb + 1.5bb) = 57.1% Break-Even Point
PRE-FLOP 3-BET BLUFF BREAK-EVEN POINT
3-Bet Bluff Sizing Break-Even Point
2.8x Sizing 8.4bb / (8.4bb + 4.5bb) = 65.1% Break-Even Point
3x Steal Sizing 9bb / (9bb + 4.5bb) = 66.7% Break-Even Point
3.5x Steal Sizing 10.5bb / (10.5bb + 4.5bb) = 70% Break-Even Point
IMPLIED ODDS REQUIREMENTS TABLE
Bet Size OESD + Flush Gutshot + Flush Flush OESD Over Cards Gutshot Straight Set
(% of Pot) (15 Outs) (12 Outs) (9 Outs) (8 Outs) (6 Outs) (4 Outs) (2 Outs)
Full Pot-Sized 17% 59% 125% 163% 267% 475% 1100%
3/4 Pot-Sized 1% 37% 94% 126% 216% 394% 930%
2/3 Pot-Sized -7% 27% 80% 110% 194% 361% 863%
1/2 Pot-Sized -22% 6% 50% 75% 144% 283% 700%
1/3 Pot-Sized -41% -21% 12% 31% 83% 186% 496%
1/4 Pot-Sized -53% -37% -10% 5% 47% 130% 380%
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4
POT ODDS OFFERRED BY BET SIZE
Bet Size Pot Odds Ratio Pot Odds Percentage
1/4 Pot Sized Bet 5:1 Pot Odds 16.7% Pot Odds
1/3 Pot Sized Bet 4:1 Pot Odds 20% Pot Odds
1/2 Pot Sized Bet 3:1 Pot Odds 25% Pot Odds
2/3 Pot Sized Bet 2.5:1 Pot Odds 28.6% Pot Odds
3/4 Pot Sized Bet 2.3:1 Pot Odds 30.3% Pot Odds
Pot Sized Bet 2:1 Pot Odds 33.3% Pot Odds
RECOMMENDED BET SIZING WITH MADE HANDS
Drawing Hands Flop Not All-In & Turn Equity Minimum Bet Size Pot Odds We Offer
Set Draw 2 x 2 = 4% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
2-Pair Draw 3 x 2 = 6% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 x 2 = 8% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 x 2 = 12% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 x 2 = 16% 1/3 Pot-Sized 20% or more
Flush Draw 9 x 2 = 18% 1/2 Pot-Sized 25% or more
Flush + Gut Shot Straight Draw 12 x 2 = 24% 2/3 Pot-Sized 28.6% or more
Flush + OESD 15 x 2 = 30% Slightly Overbet Pot Greater than 33.3%
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5
POST-FLOP BLUFF BREAK-EVEN TABLE
Bluff Size Reward: Risk Ratio using $100 Pot Size Break-Even Percentage
1/4 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$25 = 4:1 = 1/5 20%
1/3 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$33 = 3:1 = 1/4 25%
1/2 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$50 = 2:1 = 1/3 33%
2/3 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$67 = 1.5:1 = 1/2.5 40%
3/4 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$75 = 1.3:1 = 1/2.3 43%
Pot-Sized Bet $100:$100 = 1:1 = 1/2 50%
1.25x Pot-Sized Bet $100:$125 = 0.8:1 = 1/1.8 55%
1.5x Pot-Sized Bet $100:$150 = 0.67:1 = 1/1.67 60%
HERO CALL BREAK-EVEN TABLE
Villain Bet Size Hero Pot Odds Hero Call Break-Even %
1/4 Pot-Sized Bet $25/($125 + $25) = 25/150 = 16.7% 17%
1/3 Pot-Sized Bet $33/($133 + $33) = 33/166 = 19.9% 20%
1/2 Pot-Sized Bet $50/($150 + $50) = 50/200 = 25% 25%
2/3 Pot-Sized Bet $67/($167 + $67) = 67/234 = 28.7% 29%
3/4 Pot-Sized Bet $75/($175 + $75) = 75/250 = 30% 30%
Pot-Sized Bet $100/($200 + $100) = 100/300 = 33.3% 33%
1.25x Pot-Sized Bet $125/($225 + $125) = 125/350 = 35.7% 36%
1.5x Pot-Sized Bet $150/($250 + $150) = 150/400 = 37.5% 38%
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