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Essential Poker Math Reference Charts

The document provides essential poker math reference charts covering pre-flop equity scenarios, odds-to-percentage conversions, and SPR guidelines. It includes common drawing hand equities, starting hand probabilities, and all-in scenarios, as well as calculations for outs to equity and recommended bet sizing. Additionally, it features break-even points for steals, bluffs, and hero calls based on various pot sizes.

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Adrian Sifuentes
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© © All Rights Reserved
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
13 views6 pages

Essential Poker Math Reference Charts

The document provides essential poker math reference charts covering pre-flop equity scenarios, odds-to-percentage conversions, and SPR guidelines. It includes common drawing hand equities, starting hand probabilities, and all-in scenarios, as well as calculations for outs to equity and recommended bet sizing. Additionally, it features break-even points for steals, bluffs, and hero calls based on various pot sizes.

Uploaded by

Adrian Sifuentes
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

ESSENTIAL POKER MATH REFERENCE CHARTS

COMMON PRE-FLOP EQUITY SCENARIOS

Scenario Hand Equity Favorite?


Over Pair vs. Under Pair AA vs. QQ AA with 81.6% Equity
Over Cards vs. Pair AK vs. TT TT with 56.2% Equity
Dominated Hand KQ vs. KJ KQ with 73.2% Equity
Over Cards vs. Under Cards JT vs. 68 JT with 65.7% Equity

ODDS-TO-PERCENTAGE TABLE

Odds Ratios Odds Percentages


2:1 33.3%
3:1 25%
4:1 20%
5:1 16.7%
6:1 14.3%
7:1 12.5%

SPR GUIDELINE TABLE


SPR SPR Size Hands to Commit
Low 0 to 2 Over Pair, Top Pair, Bottom 2 Pair
Medium 3 to 6 Top 2 Pair, Sets, Non-Nutted Flushes & Straights
High 7+ Sets, Nutted Hands
1

COMMON DRAWING HAND EQUITIES

Drawing Hands Outs Flop Not All-In & Turn Equity


Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 4 x 2 = 8%
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 6 x 2 = 12%
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 8 x 2 = 16%
Flush Draw 9 9 x 2 = 18%
Flush + Gut Shot Straight Draw 12 12 x 2 = 24%
Flush + OESD 15 15 x 2 = 30%

STARTING HAND PROBABILITIES

Starting Hand Probabilities Percentage


AA or KK 0.90%
AK Suited or Off-Suit 1.21%
AA, KK, QQ, JJ or TT 2.3%
2 Suited Cards: 10+ 3.2%
Any Suited Connector 3.9%
Any Pair 6.3%

COMMON DRAWING HANDS EQUITY SCENARIOS

Draw Outs Flop Not All-In Flop All-In Turn


Flush Draw 9 9 x 2 = 18% 9 x 4 = 36% 9 x 2 = 18%
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 8 x 2 = 16% 8 x 4 = 32% 8 x 2 = 16%
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 6 x 2 = 12% 6 x 4 = 24% 6 x 2 = 12%
Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 4 x 2 = 8% 4 x 4 = 16% 4 x 2 = 8%

Copyright © 2025 Alton Teaches LLC. All Rights Reserved. [Link]


2

COMMON PRE-FLOP ALL-IN SCENARIOS


Common All-In Scenarios Example Equity Favorite Equity Underdog
Over Pair vs. Under Pair AA vs. KK AA (82%) KK (18%)
Over Cards vs. Pair AK vs. QQ QQ (56%) AK (44%)
One Over Card vs. Pair AJ vs. QQ QQ (71%) AJ (29%)
Over Cards vs. Under Cards AK vs. JT AK (63%) JT (37%)
Dominated Hand AK vs. AQ AK (74%) AQ (26%)

OUTS TO EQUITY CHART

# of Outs % Flop Not All-In % Flop All-In Flop All-In Odds % Turn Turn Odds
1 2.1% 4.3% 22.5:1 2.2% 45:1
2 4.3% 8.5% 10.8:1 4.4% 22:1
3 6.4% 12.5% 7:1 6.5% 14.3:1
4 8.5% 16.5% 5.1:1 8.7% 10.5:1
5 10.6% 20.3% 3.9:1 10.9% 8.2:1
6 12.8% 24% 3.1:1 13% 6.7:1
7 14.9% 27.8% 2.6:1 15.2% 5.6:1
8 17% 31.5% 2.2:1 17.4% 4.8:1
9 19.1% 35% 1.9:1 19.6% 4.1:1
10 21.3% 38.4% 1.6:1 21.7% 3.6:1
11 23.4% 41.7% 1.4:1 23.9% 3.2:1
12 25.5% 45% 1.2:1 26.1% 2.9:1
13 27.7% 48.1% 1.1:1 28.3% 2.6:1
14 29.8% 51.2% 0.95:1 30.4% 2.3:1
15 31.9% 54.1% 0.8:1 32.6% 2.1:1

Copyright © 2025 Alton Teaches LLC. All Rights Reserved. [Link]


3

STEAL BREAK-EVEN POINT


Steal Sizing Break-Even Point
3bb Steal Sizing 3bb / (3bb + 1.5bb) = 66.7% Break-Even Point
2.5bb Steal Sizing 2.5bb / (2.5bb + 1.5bb) = 62.5% Break-Even Point
2bb Steal Sizing 2bb / (2bb + 1.5bb) = 57.1% Break-Even Point

PRE-FLOP 3-BET BLUFF BREAK-EVEN POINT


3-Bet Bluff Sizing Break-Even Point
2.8x Sizing 8.4bb / (8.4bb + 4.5bb) = 65.1% Break-Even Point
3x Steal Sizing 9bb / (9bb + 4.5bb) = 66.7% Break-Even Point
3.5x Steal Sizing 10.5bb / (10.5bb + 4.5bb) = 70% Break-Even Point

IMPLIED ODDS REQUIREMENTS TABLE


Bet Size OESD + Flush Gutshot + Flush Flush OESD Over Cards Gutshot Straight Set
(% of Pot) (15 Outs) (12 Outs) (9 Outs) (8 Outs) (6 Outs) (4 Outs) (2 Outs)

Full Pot-Sized 17% 59% 125% 163% 267% 475% 1100%

3/4 Pot-Sized 1% 37% 94% 126% 216% 394% 930%

2/3 Pot-Sized -7% 27% 80% 110% 194% 361% 863%

1/2 Pot-Sized -22% 6% 50% 75% 144% 283% 700%

1/3 Pot-Sized -41% -21% 12% 31% 83% 186% 496%

1/4 Pot-Sized -53% -37% -10% 5% 47% 130% 380%

Copyright © 2025 Alton Teaches LLC. All Rights Reserved. [Link]


4

POT ODDS OFFERRED BY BET SIZE

Bet Size Pot Odds Ratio Pot Odds Percentage


1/4 Pot Sized Bet 5:1 Pot Odds 16.7% Pot Odds
1/3 Pot Sized Bet 4:1 Pot Odds 20% Pot Odds
1/2 Pot Sized Bet 3:1 Pot Odds 25% Pot Odds
2/3 Pot Sized Bet 2.5:1 Pot Odds 28.6% Pot Odds
3/4 Pot Sized Bet 2.3:1 Pot Odds 30.3% Pot Odds
Pot Sized Bet 2:1 Pot Odds 33.3% Pot Odds

RECOMMENDED BET SIZING WITH MADE HANDS


Drawing Hands Flop Not All-In & Turn Equity Minimum Bet Size Pot Odds We Offer
Set Draw 2 x 2 = 4% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
2-Pair Draw 3 x 2 = 6% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Gut Shot Straight Draw 4 x 2 = 8% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Over Cards 2-Pair Draw 6 x 2 = 12% 1/4 Pot-Sized 16.7% or more
Open-Ended Straight Draw 8 x 2 = 16% 1/3 Pot-Sized 20% or more
Flush Draw 9 x 2 = 18% 1/2 Pot-Sized 25% or more
Flush + Gut Shot Straight Draw 12 x 2 = 24% 2/3 Pot-Sized 28.6% or more
Flush + OESD 15 x 2 = 30% Slightly Overbet Pot Greater than 33.3%

Copyright © 2025 Alton Teaches LLC. All Rights Reserved. [Link]


5

POST-FLOP BLUFF BREAK-EVEN TABLE


Bluff Size Reward: Risk Ratio using $100 Pot Size Break-Even Percentage
1/4 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$25 = 4:1 = 1/5 20%
1/3 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$33 = 3:1 = 1/4 25%
1/2 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$50 = 2:1 = 1/3 33%
2/3 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$67 = 1.5:1 = 1/2.5 40%
3/4 Pot-Sized Bet $100:$75 = 1.3:1 = 1/2.3 43%
Pot-Sized Bet $100:$100 = 1:1 = 1/2 50%
1.25x Pot-Sized Bet $100:$125 = 0.8:1 = 1/1.8 55%
1.5x Pot-Sized Bet $100:$150 = 0.67:1 = 1/1.67 60%

HERO CALL BREAK-EVEN TABLE


Villain Bet Size Hero Pot Odds Hero Call Break-Even %
1/4 Pot-Sized Bet $25/($125 + $25) = 25/150 = 16.7% 17%
1/3 Pot-Sized Bet $33/($133 + $33) = 33/166 = 19.9% 20%
1/2 Pot-Sized Bet $50/($150 + $50) = 50/200 = 25% 25%
2/3 Pot-Sized Bet $67/($167 + $67) = 67/234 = 28.7% 29%
3/4 Pot-Sized Bet $75/($175 + $75) = 75/250 = 30% 30%
Pot-Sized Bet $100/($200 + $100) = 100/300 = 33.3% 33%
1.25x Pot-Sized Bet $125/($225 + $125) = 125/350 = 35.7% 36%
1.5x Pot-Sized Bet $150/($250 + $150) = 150/400 = 37.5% 38%

Copyright © 2025 Alton Teaches LLC. All Rights Reserved. [Link]

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