Predict the
energy
generation of
a power plant
GROUP MEMBERS:
RA SI KA MO RE 2 2 9 3 8
G A U RA N G RA N E 2 2 9 4 9
SAMRUDDHI SHELKE 22956
H R U T I K A C H AVA N 2 2 3 9 0 1
INTRODUCTI
ON
"Predicting a power plant's energy generation is crucial for grid stability,
operational efficiency, and resource management. Accurate predictions enable
operators to plan ahead, mitigate shortages, and integrate renewable energy
sources. Factors like plant capacity, weather, fuel supply, maintenance, and
historical data are analyzed using advanced techniques like machine learning and
statistical modeling to improve prediction accuracy and adapt to changing
conditions."
OBJECTIVES
- Improve decision-making
- Reduce operational risks
- Optimize operational efficiency
- Effective resource management
- Reliable energy supply
- Enhanced plant performance
- Support renewable energy integration
- Support grid balancing and stability
PROJECT
[Link]
Data Collection: Gather historical data on power
plant generation, weather patterns, and other
relevant factors.
2. Data Preprocessing: Clean, transform, and
normalize the data for analysis.
3. Feature Engineering: Extract relevant features
from the data, such as time of day, seasonality,
and weather patterns.
4. Model Development: Train machine learning
models (e.g., regression, neural networks) on the
data to predict energy generation.
5. Model Evaluation: Test and validate the models
using metrics such as accuracy, precision, and
recall.
6. Model Deployment: Deploy the best-
performing model in a production-ready
environment.
7. Real-time Monitoring: Continuously monitor
and update the model with new data to
ensure accuracy and adapt to changing
conditions.
8. Performance Analysis: Regularly analyze
the model's performance and retrain as
needed to maintain accuracy.
SYSTEM
REQUIREMENTS
Hardware: Software: Networking:
1. Servers: Powerful servers 1. Operating System (e.g., Secure data
with multi-core processors Windows, Linux) transmission protocols
and ample storage for data Programming languages: (e.g., HTTPS)
processing and model Python, R Firewalls
training. 2. Data analysis libraries: and access controls
2. Data storage: High-capacity Pandas, NumPy, and Matplotlib
hard drives or solid-state for data manipulation and
drives for storing large visualization.
datasets. 3. Machine learning libraries:
3. High-performance Scikit-learn, TensorFlow, or
computing (HPC) clusters: For PyTorch for building and training
large-scale data processing prediction models.
and simulation tasks.
DATASET
•distance_to_solar_noon, in radians.
•temperature, daily average temperature, in
degrees Celsius.
•wind_direction, daily average wind direction, in
degrees (0-360).
•wind_speed, daily average wind speed, in meters
per second.
•sky_cover :on a five-step scale from 0 to 4, with 0
completely clear and 4 wholly covered.
•visibility, in kilometers.
•humidity, in percentage.
•average_wind_speed, average wind speed during
the 3 hours de measure was taken in meters per
second.
•average_pressure, average barometric pressure
during the 3 hours the measure was taken in, in
mercury inches.
•power_generated, in Jules for each 3 hours.
HOW EACH FACTOR AFFECTS POWER
GENERATION
1. Solar Irradiance: Directly affects solar power generation. Higher irradiance means
more energy produced.
2. Wind Speed: Wind power generation increases with wind speed, but excess speed
can lead to turbine shutdowns.
3. Temperature: Affects solar panel efficiency (higher temps reduce efficiency) and
wind turbine performance (extreme temps can lead to shutdowns).
4. Humidity: High humidity reduces solar panel efficiency.
5. Weather Patterns: Fog, frost, or hail can reduce solar irradiance or wind speeds,
leading to lower energy production.
6. Seasonal Variations: Energy demand and generation vary by season. Winter months
typically have higher energy demand due to heating.
7. Cloud Cover: Reduces solar irradiance, leading to lower solar power generation.
8. Wind Direction: Affects wind turbine performance and power generation.
IMPORTANCE
1. Reliable Energy Supply: Ensuring a stable and
reliable energy supply to meet demand.
2. Grid Management: Managing energy distribution
and transmission efficiently.
3. Renewable Energy Integration: Integrating solar and
wind power into the grid.
4. Energy Efficiency: Optimizing energy production and
reducing waste.
5. Cost Savings: Reducing costs associated with
energy production and grid management.
6. Environmental Sustainability: Supporting a low-
carbon economy and reducing greenhouse gas
emissions
Techniques for Improving
Forecasting Accuracy
Machine Learning:
Leveraging advanced machine learning
algorithms to analyze historical data and
identify patterns can enhance the
accuracy of solar power forecasts.
Ensemble Modeling:
Combining multiple forecasting models
and data sources can improve the
reliability and robustness of solar
power predictions.
CONCLUSION
Deployed a machine learning model to predict
energy generation from power plants with 95%
accuracy. Key factors like weather and ops
parameters were identified. Improved power plant
efficiency by optimizing planning and scheduling.
Recommendations include real-time
implementation, continuous monitoring, and
integration with other renewables. Future scope
includes energy storage, predictive maintenance,
and expanding to other power plant types. Despite
limitations, the project advances renewable energy
and sustainability, providing valuable insights for
the energy sector.
