Rocket Report: Next Vulcan launch slips into 2025; Starship gets a green light

Welcome to Edition 7.20 of the Rocket Report! This is a super-long version of the newsletter because we did not publish last week, and there is just a ton of launch news of late. Also, I want to note that next week's report will appear a day early, on Wednesday, due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Speaking of which, you all have our thanks for reading and sharing the Rocket Report with others.

On a completely unrelated note, Rocket Lab has had some amazing mission names over the years. But this weekend's "Ice AIS Baby" launch is probably the best. I always appreciate their effort to find non-vanilla names and find a way to stop, collaborate, and listen.

Please subscribe using the box below (the form will not appear on AMP-enabled versions of the site). Each report will include information on small-, medium-, and heavy-lift rockets as well as a quick look ahead at the next three launches on the calendar.

Firefly raises a tidy sum as its ambitions soar. Firefly announced earlier this month that it has completed a $175 million Series D fundraising round, resulting in a valuation of more than $2 billion. This follows a banner year of fundraising in 2023, when Firefly reported investors funneled approximately $300 million into the company at a valuation of $1.5 billion, Ars reports. In a statement, Firefly said the money raised in the Series D round will help the company "expand market reach with its Elytra spacecraft, move to full rate production of its Alpha launch vehicle, and accelerate hardware qualification for new vehicles in development."

A busy period ahead ... Firefly will soon ship its first Blue Ghost lunar lander to Florida for final preparations to launch to the Moon and deliver 10 NASA-sponsored scientific instruments and tech demo experiments to the lunar surface. Firefly also boasts a healthy backlog of missions on its small Alpha rocket. In June, Lockheed Martin announced a deal for as many as 25 Alpha launches through 2029. And there's the Medium Launch Vehicle, a rocket that Firefly and Northrop Grumman hope to launch as soon as 2026.

ABL departs the launch industry. At one point Firefly and ABL Space were competing to develop a credible 1-ton launcher. As Firefly soared this month, however, ABL decided to go in a different direction, turning its focus to missile defense, Ars reports. The founder and president of ABL Space Systems, Dan Piemont, announced the decision on LinkedIn, adding, "We're consolidating our operational footprint and parting ways with some talented members of our team."

Never made it to space ... ABL made its first RS1 launch attempt in January 2023 from Kodiak, Alaska, but a catastrophic fire shortly after liftoff quickly doomed the rocket. A second attempt was precluded in July of this year after an explosion during a static-fire test in Alaska. The company laid off some of its staff in August to control costs. As the company was failing in its efforts to reach orbit, the launch market was also changing, Piemont said. Although not directly mentioning SpaceX and its Falcon 9 rocket, Piemont said ABL's ability to impact the launch industry has diminished over the last seven years. (submitted by Ken the Bin)

ESA provides another funding boost. The European Space Agency has awarded Boost! contract extensions worth 44.2 million euros ($46.3 million) to HyImpulse, Isar Aerospace, Orbex, and Rocket Factory Augsburg, European Spaceflight reports. ESA member states adopted the Boost! initiative in late 2019. The primary aim of the initiative is to provide co-funding to support the development of commercial space transportation services. Each of the four companies has won awards of varying amounts in earlier Boost! competitions.

Getting across the finish line ... According to ESA, the new funding awarded through the Boost! contract extensions is aimed at alleviating the pressure in the months before an inaugural flight when costs are high and the potential to generate revenue is limited. While the ESA press release did not disclose the specific amounts awarded to each company, announcements from the companies have revealed that Orbex will receive 5.6 million euros ($5.9 million), Isar Aerospace 15 million euros ($15.7 million), and both Rocket Factory Augsburg and HyImpulse 11.8 million euros each ($12.4 million). (submitted by Ken the Bin and EllPeaTea)

Oman preparing for its debut launch. The nation on the southeastern coast of the Arabian Peninsula is developing a spaceport in the port town of Duqm, with the aim of supporting commercial operations by the year 2030. However, the country's National Aerospace Services Company will attempt an experimental rocket launch in December, The National reports. The port area will allow launches to the south and east over the Arabian Sea.

Seeking a niche in Mideast space ... The National Aerospace Services Company did not specify a date for the launch, nor name the launch vehicle. The firm also said the launch would not be "publicly accessible" and that details about it would only be shared after the fact. The project is part of Oman’s efforts to diversify its economy and secure a competitive edge in the global space industry.

Swedish site launches its 600th rocket. The Esrange Space Center, located 200 km north of the Arctic Circle in northern Sweden, recently hit a significant milestone: It launched its 600th suborbital rocket. The MAPHEUS-15 science rocket reached an altitude of 309 km carrying a payload containing 21 different experiments, the Swedish Space Corporation reports. The payloads were later recovered by helicopter.

Orbital flights coming next? ... "I am very proud of this milestone which shines a light on the many years of international collaboration at Esrange," said Lennart Poromaa, head of Esrange Space Center. "This has been instrumental in achieving hundreds of successful rocket missions, providing invaluable access to space for scientists worldwide." The site was established in 1966 and recently saw the construction of an orbital launch complex for future missions.

Neutron inks multi-launch contract. The launch company said earlier this month it has signed an agreement with an unnamed customer for two Neutron launches beginning in mid-2026. In a release, Rocket Lab characterized the agreement as "the beginning of a productive collaboration" that could allow Neutron to launch the commercial customer's entire constellation. Intended to be reusable, Neutron is targeted to be capable of lifting 13 metric tons to low-Earth orbit.

Competition wanted ... "Constellation companies and government satellite operators are desperate for a break in the launch monopoly," Rocket Lab founder Peter Beck said. "They need a reliable rocket from a trusted provider, and one that’s reusable to keep launch costs down and make space more frequently accessible—and Neutron is strongly positioned to be that rocket." With that said, Rocket Lab still has to deliver the booster. It's currently targeting 2025 for this, but as always, bringing new launch vehicles into the world is a difficult and time-consuming process. (submitted by Ken the Bin and Tom Nelson)

Russia is pursuing its own Grasshopper rocket. Like a lot of competitors in the global launch industry, Russia, for a long time, dismissed the prospects of a reusable first stage for a rocket. As late as 2016, an official with the Russian agency that develops strategy for the country's main space corporation, Roscosmos, concluded, "The economic feasibility of reusable launch systems is not obvious." Well, times change as the company is developing its next-generation Amur rocket, Ars reports. Then the Falcon 9 happened.

A good name, apparently ... Similar to what SpaceX did about a dozen years ago, Roscosmos is now planning to develop a prototype vehicle to test the ability to land the Amur rocket's first stage vertically. According to the state-run news agency TASS, constructing this test vehicle will enable the space corporation to solve key challenges. "Next year preparation of an experimental stage of the (Amur) rocket, which everyone is calling 'Grasshopper,' will begin," said Igor Pshenichnikov, the Roscosmos deputy director of the department of future programs. It's not entirely clear why Russia adopted the exact same nickname as SpaceX.

Don't forget Europe has a (much more expensive) hopper, too. The European Space Agency announced that it has awarded two new contracts to ArianeGroup to build a second Themis demonstrator and to refine the design of its Prometheus rocket engine, European Spaceflight reports. The two contracts have a combined value of 230 million euros ($241 million). The space agency has already spent hundreds of millions of euros on the project to develop a reusable engine and the Themis test vehicle, dating back more than six years. No tests have yet taken place.

Please build something, at some point ... According to the agency, the funding will enable the development of a second Themis demonstrator, an upgraded Prometheus engine, and the renovation of testing and ground infrastructure. “The contract extensions signed today at ESA’s headquarters in Paris, France, are to further demonstrate and test evolutions of the Prometheus engine and the Themis demonstrator with higher and more hop-tests,” explained an ESA statement. Seems like it's a good deal for ArianeGroup, at least. (submitted by EllPeaTea and Ken the Bin)

Starship completes its sixth flight test. SpaceX launched its sixth Starship rocket Tuesday, proving for the first time that the stainless steel ship can maneuver in space and paving the way for an even larger upgraded vehicle slated to debut on the next test flight, Ars reports. The only hiccup was an abortive attempt to catch the rocket's Super Heavy booster back at the launch site in South Texas, something SpaceX achieved on the previous flight on October 13.

A small burn ... One of the most important new things engineers wanted to test on this flight occurred about 38 minutes after liftoff. That's when Starship reignited one of its six Raptor engines for a brief burn to make a slight adjustment to its flight path. The burn lasted only a few seconds, and the impulse was small—just a 48 mph (77 km/hour) change in velocity, or delta-V—but it demonstrated that the ship can safely deorbit itself on future missions. With this achievement, Starship will likely soon be cleared to travel into orbit around Earth and deploy Starlink Internet satellites or conduct in-space refueling experiments, two of the near-term objectives on SpaceX's Starship development roadmap.

Vulcan's third launch slips into 2025. The Space Force is now preparing for a 2025 Vulcan national security launch debut instead of the originally planned 2024 launches, Space News reports. Lt. Gen. Philip Garrant, head of the Space Force’s Space Systems Command, made the disclosure during a conversation with reporters on Thursday. Garrant said ULA’s Vulcan remains on track for certification. The rocket’s second certification launch in October was technically successful, with the payload reaching its intended orbit. However, an anomaly with one of the solid rocket boosters continues to be reviewed.

For now the military flies on Falcons ... The anomaly itself isn’t a showstopper for certification, said Garrant. But the cumulative delays and uncertainties are a concern, he said, "as we aim to maintain assured access to space with two certified providers." Two missions—USSF-106 and USSF-87—are currently waiting in the wings, with payloads ready but no confirmed launch dates. ULA had been targeting a November launch for USSF-106. But with only six weeks left in the year, a 2024 launch window is increasingly unlikely, said Garrant. ULA chief Tory Bruno had been promising to complete two national security launches this year. (submitted by Ken the Bin and EllPeaTea)

NASA begins stacking Artemis II booster. NASA said ground teams inside the Vehicle Assembly Building at Kennedy Space Center in Florida lifted the aft assembly of the rocket's left booster onto the mobile launch platform, marking the beginning of operations to 'stack' the second Space Launch System rocket. Using an overhead crane, teams hoisted the left aft booster assembly—already filled with pre-packed solid propellant—from the VAB transfer aisle, over a catwalk dozens of stories high and then down onto mounting posts on the mobile launcher, Ars reports.

Say goodbye to September ... The Artemis II mission is slated to send NASA astronauts Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Canadian astronaut Jeremy Hansen on a 10-day flight around the far side of the Moon. A NASA spokesperson told Ars it should take around four months to fully stack the SLS rocket for Artemis II. Officially, Artemis II is projected to launch in September of next year, but there's little chance of meeting that schedule due to an issue with Orion's heat shield. It's possible that, within the next month or two, NASA could announce a new target launch date for Artemis II at the end of 2025 or, more likely, in 2026.

Shotwell predicts rapid increase in Starship launches. As SpaceX made its final preparations for the sixth launch of its Starship rocket last week, the company's chief operating officer and president spoke at a financial conference on Friday about various topics, including the future of the massive rocket and the Starlink satellite system. The Starship launch system is about to reach a tipping point, Gwynne Shotwell said, as it moves from an experimental rocket toward operational missions, Ars reports.

Those are lofty goals ... "We just passed 400 launches on Falcon, and I would not be surprised if we fly 400 Starship launches in the next four years," Shotwell said at the Baron Investment Conference in New York City. "We want to fly it a lot." That lofty goal seems aspirational, not just because of the hardware challenges but also due to the ground systems (SpaceX currently has just one operational launch tower) as well as the difficulty of supplying that much liquid oxygen and methane for such a high flight rate. However, it's worth noting that SpaceX will launch Starship four times this year, twice the number of Falcon Heavy missions. An acceleration of Starship is highly likely.

AST signs launch deals for its BlueBird constellation. During a third-quarter earnings call, AST SpaceMobile revealed new launch agreements with Blue Origin, the Indian Space Research Organization, and SpaceX to launch its large satellites over the course of 2025 and 2026, Spaceflight Now reports. Andrew Johnson, chief financial officer and chief legal officer at AST SpaceMobile, said that the launches "enable us to launch up to approximately 45 Block 2 BlueBird satellites, with options for additional launch vehicles for approximately 60 Block 2 BlueBird satellites."

Glenns and Falcons ... The company's next launch will use India's Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle. After that, the company will shift its focus to launching with Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket and SpaceX’s Falcon 9, which are capable of carrying eight and four Block 2 BlueBird satellites, respectively. The company said its Block 2 constellation will be capable of delivering "peak data transmission speeds up to 120Mbps, supporting voice, full data, and video applications." AST will be competing with SpaceX's Starlink constellation in providing direct-to-cell communications. (submitted by EllPeaTea)

FAA gives SpaceX a green light for South Texas launches. A day after SpaceX launched its Starship rocket for the sixth time, the company received good news from the Federal Aviation Administration regarding future launch operations from its Starbase facility in South Texas. In a draft version of what is known as an "Environmental Assessment," the FAA indicated that it will grant SpaceX permission to increase the number of Starship launches in South Texas to 25 per year from the current limit of five. Additionally, the company will likely be allowed to continue increasing the size and power of the Super Heavy booster stage and Starship upper stage, Ars reports.

A final decision is coming next year ... The FAA regulates the launch of rockets from the United States and is responsible for the safety of people and property on the ground. The ongoing environmental review stems from SpaceX's desire to increase the scope of its operations from South Texas and is not yet finalized. Beginning today, the FAA will open a public comment period that will close on January 17. In addition, the FAA will hold five public meetings to solicit feedback from the local community and other stakeholders. A final assessment will likely be issued sometime early next year.

ESA wants a reusable super heavy lift rocket. The European Space Agency has announced that it will commission a study to detail the development of a reusable rocket capable of delivering 60 tons to low-Earth orbit, European Spaceflight reports. The space agency believes it is necessary to have a launch system of this kind to fulfill "critical European space exploration needs beyond LEO, while providing wider space exploitation potentials to answer the growing market opportunities (e.g. mega constellations)."

Studies of studies ... The agency launched its PROTEIN (Preparatory Activities for European Heavy Lift Launcher) initiative in June 2022, aiming to explore the feasibility of developing a European super heavy-lift rocket with a focus on reducing launch costs. ArianeGroup and Rocket Factory Augsburg were selected to lead studies. The European 60T LEO Reusable Launch System Pathfinder initiative seems to build upon the agency’s PROTEIN studies, even though this link is not explicitly stated. (submitted by EllPeaTea)

Next three launches

Nov. 22: New Shepard | NS-28 | Launch Site One, Texas | 15:30 UTC

Nov. 24: Falcon 9 | Starlink 9-13 | Vandenberg Space Force Base, California | 03:26 UTC

Nov. 24: Electron | Ice AIS Baby | Māhia Peninsula, New Zealand | 03:55 UTC