ARGUMENTS OF RESEARCH REPORT

MALAYSIAN AIRLINE FLIGHT M370

NO DEDUCTIVE ARGEMENTS NO INDUCTIVE ARGUMENTS

01 Premises:- The lack of evidence 01 Premises:- the route followed by the

includes the information recorded aircraft, the height at which it flew,
on the fly data recorder, and did not suggest any mechanical
other recording devices on the problem with the aircraft’s control
aircraft that could indicate why is system, fuel or engines.
aircraft had flown to the southern Conclusion:- It is possible that the
Indian Ocean. absence of communications prior to
Conclusion:- the team is unable flight path diversion was due to the
to determine the real cause for systems being manually turned off,
the disappearance of MH370. whether with intent or otherwise …

(Valid deductive argument, (Casual inference , strong argument ,

sound) uncogent )

02 Premises:- as the technology was 02 Premises:- there was no evidence of

not implemented on commercial a rapid change in the altitude and the
aircraft. speed to indicate that MH-370 was
Conclusion:- there is no evidence deliberately evading radar.
to support the belief that control Conclusion:- We can also not exclude
of the aircraft 9M-MRO the possibility that there’s unlawful
(operating as MH370) could have interference by a third party. And
been or was taken over remotely. based on the military record.

(Valid argument, sound (Casual inference , weak argument ,

argument) uncogent)

03 03 Premises:- We examined the pilot

(Zaharia) … He has no conflict issues
with friends or family and had shown
no signs of social isolation, self-
neglect, no abuse of alcohol or drugs,
no change of habit or interest, no
stress or anxiety was detected in his
 audio recordings and no signs of
significant behavioural changes as
observed in the CCTV footage. We
examined his competency. He was a
very competent pilot, almost flawless
in the records, ability to handle work
stress very well.”
The seven 'waypoints' found plotted
on a flight simulator found on Captain
Zaharia's personal home
computer Source: Supplied
Analysis of what was considered
suspicious flight simulator tracks on
his home computer were found to be
too confused and limited to provide
any real detail, he said.
Conclusion:- in the forensic report of
the Royal Malaysian Police there was
no unusual activities other than the
flight simulations,

(Casual inference , strong argument ,

uncogent)

04 04 Premises:- The position of the

flaperon helps explain investigators’
theory that nobody was conscious
when the plane crashed.
Captain Shah was unconscious, and
researchers assumed MH370 dived,
ran out of fuel, and landed in the
ocean close to its final satellite
position.
If someone was flying the plane, they
could have glided the plane. But
given the flaperon was not deployed,
they
Conclusion:- nobody was in control.

(Casual inference, strong , cogent)

05 05 Premises:- “It’s interesting to note
that through the same period there
were 99 shipments of lithium iron
batteries to China,” he said. “There
were 36 occasions were both lithium
iron batteries and mangostine (fresh
fruit) were shipped together to China
between the period of January to
May. And we have not found any
irregularity in the packing
assessment.”
Conclusion:- He confirmed that the
aircraft was carrying Motorola
lithium-ion batteries, but these had
been classified as not being
dangerous.

(Argument from analogy, strong,

cogent)

06 Premises:- Damage examination

indicates that the right outboard flap
was most likely in the retracted
position and the right flaperon was
probably at, or close to, the neutral
position, at the time they separated
from the wing.
Conclusion:- All this gives us the
indication and belief that the aircraft
at that time was not configured to
land”.

(Casual inference, weak, uncogent)

FALLACIES FROM RESEARCH REPORT

NO FORMAL FALLACIES NO INFORMAL FALLACIES

01 01 Premises:- the route followed by the

aircraft, the height at which it flew,
did not suggest any mechanical
problem with the aircraft’s control
system, fuel or engines.
Conclusion:- It is possible that the
absence of communications prior to
flight path diversion was due to the
systems being manually turned off,
whether with intent or otherwise …

(Fallacy of relevance)

02 02 Premises:- there was no evidence of

a rapid change in the altitude and the
speed to indicate that MH-370 was
deliberately evading radar.
Conclusion:- We can also not exclude
the possibility that there’s unlawful
interference by a third party. And
based on the military record.

(Fallacy of weak induction)

03 03 Premises:- Damage examination

indicates that the right outboard flap
was most likely in the retracted
position and the right flaperon was
probably at, or close to, the neutral
position, at the time they separated
from the wing.

Conclusion:- All this gives us the

indication and belief that the aircraft
at that time was not configured to
land”
(Fallacy of weak induction)