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Sample Forecasting Calculation

This document contains two tables summarizing demand forecasting data over multiple periods. The first table shows error metrics for 3-week and 6-week moving average forecasts, including mean forecast error (MFE) and mean absolute deviation (MAD) for each. The second table initializes an exponential smoothing forecast model with alpha=0.6 and calculates forecast errors.

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40 views4 pages

Sample Forecasting Calculation

This document contains two tables summarizing demand forecasting data over multiple periods. The first table shows error metrics for 3-week and 6-week moving average forecasts, including mean forecast error (MFE) and mean absolute deviation (MAD) for each. The second table initializes an exponential smoothing forecast model with alpha=0.6 and calculates forecast errors.

Uploaded by

Duyên Nguyễn
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
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3 period

Week Demand 3 week MA 6 Week MA Error 3MA |Error 3MA| Error 6MA |Error 6MA| WMA
1 650
2 678
3 720
4 785 683 102 102 693
5 859 728 131 131 744
6 920 788 132 132 809
7 850 855 769 -5 5 81 81 875
8 758 876 802 -118 118 -44 44 873
9 892 843 815 49 49 77 77 818
10 920 833 844 87 87 76 76 843
11 789 857 867 -68 68 -78 78 879
12 844 867 855 -23 23 -11 11 849
13 851 842 843
288 715 102 366
MFE 32 MFE 17
MAD 79 MAD 61
Alpha = 0.6
F1 = D1
Error 3WMA|Error 3WMA| ES Error ES |Error ES|

650 28 28
667 53.2 53.2
92 92 699 86.28 86.28
115 115 750 108.512 108.512
111 111 816 104.4048 104.4048
-25 25 878 -28.23808 28.23808
-115 115 861 -103.295232 103.295232
74 74 799 92.6819072 92.6819072
77 77 855 65.07276288 65.07276288
-90 90 894 -104.97089485 104.970894848
-5 5 831 13.0116420608 13.0116420608
839

MFE 25.94444444 MFE 28.6053550266


MAD 78.07777778 MAD 71.6061199081
3 period
0.5/0.3/0.2
Week Demand 3 week MA Error 3MA |Error 3MA| 6 Week MA Error 6MA |Error 6MA| WMA
1 431
2 540
3 420
4 500
5 520
6 390
7 543
8 450
9 560
10 600
11
TOTAL

MFE MFE
MAD MAD
Alpha = 0.6
F1 = D1
Error 3WMA |Error 3WMA| ES Error ES |Error ES|

MFE MFE
MAD MAD

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