The Essential Guide To Chart Patterns
The Essential Guide To Chart Patterns
Yes, Give it to me
Get out of losing trades quickly and better manage your risk
That’s why I’ve created this essential guide so you know how to trade chart patterns like a professional trader.
Many traders think chart patterns can predict the future (like some kind of magic crystal ball).
For example:
You see a Head & Shoulders chart pattern and think the market is about to head lower.
Before you know it, the market reverses higher, and you got stopped out — ouch. Privacy - Terms
So here’s the deal…
Chart patterns can’t accurately predict the future, nothing or no one can.
But…
Chart patterns can help you assess market conditions and manage your risk.
Now…
After a few failed attempts at trading chart patterns, you’ll claim it doesn’t work.
Just look at the failed Head & Shoulders chart pattern earlier!
Whenever you trade chart patterns (or any form of Technical Analysis), it has to be within the context of the markets.
Example #1:
Example #2:
You spot a Bull Flag pattern in an uptrend. And on the higher timeframe, the market had broken out of resistance and is
trading at 52-week highs.
Now let me ask you, which chart pattern would you trade, #1 or #2?
Next…
Myth #3: You must know every chart pattern if you want to trade it profitably
Privacy - Terms
Here’s the thing…
Sure, you can try to memorize the shape and meaning of each pattern (and risk getting burned out).
Or, learn how to read the price action of the markets so you can understand any chart patterns that comes your way —
without memorizing a single one.
Chart patterns cheat sheet: If you know these 3 things, you NEVER need to memorize a
single chart pattern again…
This is important, so pay attention…
Privacy - Terms
If the candles are large (in an uptrend), it signals strength as the buyers are in control.
If the candles are small, it signals weakness as the buyers are exhausted.
Swing Points refer to swing highs and lows — obvious “points” on the chart where the price reverses from.
Here’s an example:
Privacy - Terms
This is important because it lets you know whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or range.
As a guideline:
If the swing highs/lows are not moving higher or lower, then the market is in a range
“What has this got to do with reading chart pattern?” Privacy - Terms
Well, that’s what I’ll cover next.
Read on…
Privacy - Terms
#1 and #2: The market is in an uptrend as the price made new swing highs (and lows).
#3: The price failed to make a new swing high. And if you notice, the Trending Move is getting weak as the range of
the candles got smaller (compared to #1 and #2).
This doesn’t look good for the buyers. But if the swing low doesn’t break, the uptrend is still intact.
#4: The price broke below the swing low and the Retracement Move is getting stronger. Notice the range of the
candles getting larger?
Privacy - Terms
Overall, the sellers are in control and the market is likely to move lower from here.
Pro Tip:
This is known as a Head & Shoulders chart pattern (and the opposite is called Inverse Head & Shoulders).
Next…
Look at this…
Privacy - Terms
#1: A strong Trending Move higher as the price made a new high.
#3: The market made another push higher but failed to break above the previous high (from #1). This is a sign of
weakness but the uptrend is still intact.
#4: The market re-tests the swing low (and consolidates for a while) before breaking lower.
Privacy - Terms
Overall, the sellers are in control and the market is likely to move lower from here.
Pro Tip: This is known as a Double Top chart pattern (and the inverse is Double Bottom)
Privacy - Terms
#1, #2, and #3: The price made higher lows into Resistance. This is a sign of strength as it tells you buyers are willing
to buy at higher prices.
#4: This is an area of Resistance (the last line of defense for sellers). Also, there’s likely stop loss orders above it from
traders who are short.
Overall, the buyers are in control and if the price breaks out, the market is likely to move higher.
Pro Tip: This is known as an Ascending Triangle chart pattern (and the inverse is Descending Triangle).
Privacy - Terms
Also, it can be a reversal chart pattern if it forms after a downtrend.
#1: A strong Trending Move higher as the price re-tests the previous high.
Privacy - Terms
#2: A weak Retracement Move with small-bodied candles. Sellers have difficulty pushing the price lower.
Overall, the buyers are in control and if the price breaks out, the market is likely to move higher.
Pro Tip: This is known as Bull Flag chart pattern (and the inverse is Bear Flag).
You’ve learned how to understand any chart patterns and you’re itching to trade them.
You’re thinking:
“Time to look for a Head & Shoulders pattern and short the market.”
But wait!
Not so fast.
Why?
You can have two identical chart patterns but one has a higher probability of success.
So the question is, how do you tilt the odds in your favor? Privacy - Terms
Well, here are three things to look for…
Trend
Area of value
Buildup
Let me explain…
Yes, I know you heard this a gazillion times, and it’s true (the trend is your friend).
So if you’re trading chart patterns, you’d want to be trading in the direction of the trend.
Privacy - Terms
Or selling Bear Flag in a downtrend…
Privacy - Terms
Next…
When you go to the supermarket to buy Apples, what’s the price you’re willing to pay?
Well, you’d think it’s ridiculous and won’t even touch it.
You want to buy when the price is at an area of value — when it’s “cheap”.
Simple.
You can use tools like Support and Resistance, Moving Average, Trend line, etc.
Privacy - Terms
Now, you know Support is an area where potential buying pressure could come in.
And when you get an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, it means buyers are stepping in and could push the price
higher (if it breaks the Neckline).
Moving on…
Now…
When you trade breakouts of a chart pattern (like Double Bottom), you don’t want to “blindly” trade every breakout —
especially when the price has made a big move prior to the breakout.
Why?
Because buyers would look to take profit at Resistance plus, sellers would step in to short the markets.
Privacy - Terms
You’re probably wondering:
Well, you look for a buildup to form at the horizontal boundaries (like Support and Resistance).
Here’s why…
Privacy - Terms
You have a logical place to set your stop loss (below the low of the build-up), and this offers a more favorable risk to
reward.
Because it tells you the buyers are willing to buy at higher prices (even in front of Resistance).
Imagine…
And the longer the price hovers at Resistance, the more traders will short and buy stop orders would cluster above
Resistance.
This cluster of buy stop orders gets triggered which fuel more buying pressure (and this increases the odds of a
successful breakout).
You’ve learned how to trade chart patterns and identify high probability trading setups.
Next, you’ll discover how you can use it to manage your risk.
Read on…
This means you set your stop loss at a level where if the price reaches it, it would “destroy” the chart pattern.
Example #1
You know the Head & Shoulders is a bearish reversal chart pattern and traders might go short on the break of the
Neckline.
Well, you can set your stop loss above the highs of the right shoulder.
Because if the price were to reach the level, it would invalidate the Head & Shoulders chart pattern (and you want to
get out of the trade).
Privacy - Terms
Make sense?
Example #2
The Bull Flag is a bullish continuation chart pattern and traders might go long on the break of the highs.
Remember…
Privacy - Terms
You want to place it at a level where if the price reaches it, it would “destroy” the chart pattern.
So, one way is to set your stop loss below the low of the Bull Flag pattern.
Why?
Because market conditions triumph any chart patterns you know of.
For example:
If the market is in a downtrend, then any bullish chart patterns won’t do well because the trend is down.
And if the market is in an uptrend, then any bearish chart patterns won’t do well because the trend is up.
Agree?
Forget trying to find the most profitable trader patterns — it doesn’t exist.
Instead, identify the current market condition and then trade the appropriate chart pattern — you’ll do much better this
way.
#2: Should I wait for a buildup to form before shorting the head & shoulders chart pattern in a downtrend? Privacy - Terms
Ideally, you want to wait for a buildup to form as it tells you that there’s a volatility contraction at that moment which
could expand in your favour thereafter.
Sometimes if you don’t get a buildup, you can also reference the previous swing high to set your stop loss if the risk-
to-reward makes sense.
#3: Is there an easy way for me to know if the chart patterns work in the long run, or not?
No, there is no way to know for sure if something will work in the long run. That’s why you’ve got to put in the hard
work to validate your findings.
Ideally, when you’re trading chart patterns, you want to have sound logic behind those patterns.
Conclusion
So here’s what you’ve learned today:
Chart patterns cannot accurately “predict” what the markets will do ( nothing and no one can)
You don’t need to know every chart patterns out there to trade it profitably
If you want to understand any chart patterns, just analyze the Trending Move, Retracement Move, and swing
highs/lows — that’s all you need
Chart patterns work best when you trade with the trend, trade from an area of value, and trade breakouts with a
buildup