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Assignment

Maryam Murtaza

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Hammad Shahzad
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170 views

Assignment

Maryam Murtaza

Uploaded by

Hammad Shahzad
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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COMSATS University Islamabad

Wah Campus

ASSIGNMENT

Course Code: MTH 262 Due Date: Nov, 13, 2020

Program: BS – Civil Eng Total Marks: 10

Course: Statistics and Probability Theory Instructor: Maryam Murtaza

Date: Nov, 8, 2020

QUESTION: Report the probability for the given scenario.

[C2, CLO1, PLO1]

Q1: Among 10 laptop computers, five are good and five have defects. Unaware of this, a
customer buys 6 laptops.
a) What is the probability of exactly 2 defective laptops among them?
b) Given that at least 2 purchased laptops are defective, what is the probability that exactly 2
are defective?
Q2: Suppose that after 10 years of service, 40% of computers have problems with motherboards,
30% have problems with hard discs and 15% have problems with both motherboard and hard
disc. What is the probability that 10 year old computer has fully functioning motherboard and
hard disc?
Q3: A new computer virus can enter the system through email or through the internet. There is a
30 % chance of receiving this virus through email. There is a 40 % chance of receiving it through
the internet. Also, the virus enters the system simultaneously through email and the internet with
probability 0.15. What is the probability the virus does not enter the system at all?
Q4: There are 10 teaching assistants available for grading papers in a calculus course at a large
university. The first exam consist of four questions, and the professor wishes to select a different
assistant to grade each question (only one assistant per question). In how many ways can the
assistance be chosen for grading?
Q5: There are 1% probability for a hard drive to crash. Therefore, it has two backups and each
having 2% probability to crash, and all three components are independent of each other. The
stored information is lost only in an unfortunate situation when all three devices crash. What is
the probability that information is saved?
Q6: Suppose that a shuttle’s launch depends on three key devices that operate independently of
each other and malfunction with probabilities 0.01, 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. If any of the key
devices malfunctions, the launch will be postponed. Compute the probability for the shuttle to be
launched on time, according to its schedule?
Q7: 90% of flights depart on time. 80% of flights arrive on time. 75% of flights depart on time
and arrive on time.
 You are meeting a flight that departed on time. What is the probability that it will arrive
on time?
 You have met a flight, and it arrived on time. What is the probability that it departed on
time?
 Are the events, departing on time and arriving on time, independent?

Q8: A computer program is tested by 3 independent tests. When there is an error, these tests will
discover it with probabilities 0.2, 0.3 and 0.5, respectively. Suppose that the program contains an
error. What is the probability that it will be found by at least one test.
Q9: A system may become infected by some spyware through the internet or email. 70% of the
time the spyware arrives via the internet, 30 % of the time via email. If it enters via the internet,
the system detects it immediately with probability 0.6. If via email, it is detected with probability
0.8. What percentage of times is this spyware detected?
Q10: A computer program consists of two blocks written independently by two different
programmers. The block has an error with probability 0.2. The second block has an error with
probability 0.3. If the program returns an error, what is the probability that there is an error in
both blocks?
Q11: It is estimated that 50% of emails are spam emails. Some software has been applied to
filter these spam emails before they reach your inbox. A certain brand of software claims that it
can detect 99% of spam emails, and the probability for a false positive (a non-spam email
detected as spam) is 5%. Now if an email is detected as spam, then what is the probability that it
is in fact a non-spam email?
Q12: On a midterm exam, students X, Y and Z forgot to sign their papers. Professor knows that
they can write a good exam with probabilities 0.8, 0.7, and 0.5, respectively. After the grading,
he notices that two unsigned exams are good and one is bad. Given this information, and
assuming that students worked independently of each other, what is the probability that the bad
exam belongs to student Z?

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