Module 1 Ifm
Module 1 Ifm
6 factors being the driving force determining the exchange rate of a currency
Inflation in the country
Interest rate or Repo rate
Level of current account deficit
Import and export of gold
Amount of public debt
Stability and economic growth
NATURE OF IFM
IFM is concerned with financial decisions taken in international business.
IFM is an extension of corporate finance at international level.
IFM set the standard for international tax planning and international accounting
IFM includes management of exchange rate risk
SCOPE OF IFM
Foreign exchange markets, international accounting, exchange rate risk management etc.
It also includes management of finance functions of international business.
IFM sorts out the issues relating to FDI and foreign portfolio investment.
It manages various risks such as inflation risk, interest rate risks, credit risk and exchange
rate risk.
It manages the changes in the foreign exchange market.
It deals with balance of payments in global transactions of nations.
Investment and financing across the nations widen the scope of IFM to international
accounting standards.
It widens the scope of tax laws and taxation strategy of both parent country and host
country.
It helps in taking decisions related to international business.
FEATURES OF IFM
1. Foreign exchange risk - When different national currencies are exchanged for each
other, there is a definite risk of volatility in foreign exchange rates. Variability of
exchange rates is widely regarded as the most serious international financial problem
facing corporate managers and policy makers. Exchange rate variation affect the
profitability of firms and all firms must understand foreign exchange risks in order to
anticipate increased competition from imports or to value increased opportunities for
exports. Thus, changes in the exchange rates of foreign currencies results in foreign
exchange risks.
2. Political risk - Another risk that firms may encounter in international finance is political
risk. Political risk ranges from the risk of loss (or gain) from unforeseen government
actions or other events of a political character such as acts of terrorism to outright
expropriation of assets held by foreigners. The other country may seize assets of the
company without any reimbursements by utilizing their sovereign right, and some
countries may restrict currency remittances to the parent company. MNCs must assess the
political risk not only in countries where it is currently doing business but also where it
expects to establish subsidiaries.
3. Market imperfections - The final feature of international finance that distinguishes it
from domestic finance is that world markets today are highly imperfect. There are
profound differences among nations’ laws, tax systems, business practices and general
cultural environments. Imperfections in the world financial markets tend to restrict the
extent to which investors can diversify their portfolio. Though there are risks and costs in
dealing with these market imperfections, they also offer managers of international firms
abundant opportunities.
4. Inflation- Inflation measures how much more expensive a set of goods and services has
become over a certain period, usually a year. Inflation rate differs from country to
country. Higher inflation rates in few countries denote inflation risks.
5. Tax and Legal system - Tax and legal system varies from one country to another
country and this leads to complexity in their financial implications and hence give rise to
tax and legal risks
6. Expanded opportunity sets - When firms go global, they also tend to benefit from
expanded opportunities which are available now. They can raise funds in capital markets
where cost of capital is the lowest. In addition, firms can also gain from greater
economies of scale when they operate on a global basis.
GOALS OF IFM
The main goals of IFM includes ensuring an uninterrupted supply of funds for the
business activities of the organization & its optimum utilization so as to generate the
highest possible returns for the business.
Basic Goals
Wealth Maximization of Shareholders - It is a long-term goal that a company cannot
achieve just in a few days or even months. A company can achieve this objective by an
excellent overall performance consistently year on year. The managers should manage
the funds such that it is always adequate as per the requirement of the company. Separate
budgets for separate functions within the organization need to be made and
implemented. Working capital management should be effective, production and other
allied activities should go on uninterrupted and employee welfare should also be a
priority. Effective and efficient management of the firm’s resources along with good
investment decisions will result in achieving high standards in the organization. This will
lead to an increase in revenue with higher profits. This will in turn maximize the wealth
of the shareholders by higher value generation, increasing the stock price as well as
higher dividends payout.
Secondary Objectives
First, various financial institutions including banks and institutional investors have
expanded their activities geographically. In this process, they acted as an intermediary
to channel funds from lenders to borrowers across national borders.
Second, the more mature securities markets have gained a clear cross-border
orientation. In many instances, newly issued securities are designed and offered to the
public in such a way as to maximise their appeal to international investors.
Economists use two versions of Purchasing Power Parity: Absolute PPP and Relative
PPP.
a) Absolute PPP - The basis for PPP is the "law of one price". In the absence of
transportation and other transaction costs, competitive markets will equalize the price
of an identical good in two countries when the prices are expressed in the same
currency.
For example, a particular TV set that sells for 750 Canadian Dollars [CAD] in
Vancouver should cost 500 US Dollars [USD] in Seattle when the exchange rate
between Canada and the US is 1.50 CAD/USD. If the price of the TV in Vancouver
was only 700 CAD, consumers in Seattle would prefer buying the TV set in
Vancouver. If this process (called "arbitrage") is carried out at a large scale, the US
consumers buying Canadian goods will bid up the value of the Canadian Dollar, thus
making Canadian goods more costly to them. This process continues until the goods
have again the same price. There are three caveats with this law of one price.
• There must be competitive markets for the goods and services in both countries.
• The law of one price only applies to tradeable goods; immobile goods such as houses,
and many services that are local, are of course not traded between countries.
b) Relative PPP - Relative PPP refers to rates of changes of price levels, that is,
inflation rates. This proposition states that the rate of appreciation of a currency is
equal to the difference in inflation rates between the foreign and the home country.
For example, if Canada has an inflation rate of 1% and the US has an inflation rate of 3%,
the US Dollar will depreciate against the Canadian Dollar by 2% per year.
2. Fisher Effect
• The Fisher Effect is an economic theory created by economist Irving Fisher that describes
the relationship between inflation and both real and nominal interest rates. The Fisher
Effect states that the real interest rate equals the nominal interest rate minus the expected
inflation rate. Therefore, real interest rates fall as inflation increases, unless nominal rates
increase at the same rate as inflation.
• The Fisher Effect can be seen each time you go to the bank; the interest rate an investor
has on a savings account is really the nominal interest rate. For example, if the nominal
interest rate on a savings account is 4% and the expected rate of inflation is 3%, then the
money in the savings account is really growing at 1%. The smaller the real interest rate,
the longer it will take for savings deposits to grow substantially when observed from a
purchasing power perspective.
• Nominal interest rates reflect the financial return an individual gets when he deposits
money. For example, a nominal interest rate of 10% per year means that an individual
will receive an additional 10% of his deposited money in the bank.
• Unlike the nominal interest rate, the real interest rate considers purchasing power in the
equation.
• In the Fisher Effect, the nominal interest rate is the provided actual interest rate that
reflects the monetary growth padded over time to a particular amount of money or
currency owed to a financial lender. Real interest rate is the amount that mirrors the
purchasing power of the borrowed money as it grows over time.
• The International Fisher Effect (IFE) is an economic theory stating that the expected
disparity between the exchange rate of two currencies is approximately equal to the
difference between their countries' nominal interest rates.
• According to the IFE, countries with higher nominal interest rates experience higher rates
of inflation, which will result in currency depreciation against other currencies.
• IFE uses interest rates rather than inflation rate to explain why exchange rate changes
overtime.
• E=i1 – i2 / 1 + i2
• Where, E=the percent change in the exchange rate
• i1=country A’s interest rate
• i2=country B’s interest rate
For example, if country A's interest rate is 10% and country B's interest rate is 5%,
country B's currency should appreciate roughly 5% compared to country A's currency.
The rationale for the IFE is that a country with a higher interest rate will also tend to have
a higher inflation rate. This increased amount of inflation should cause the currency in
the country with a higher interest rate to depreciate against a country with lower interest
rates.
• As per Interest Rate Parity, exchange rate between two countries currency depends on
rate of interest of two countries.
• For example Ram is having Rs.1, 00,000 with him. He has two options: either to invest in
Bank of India at 12% rate of interest or to invest in the bank of USA at 8% rate of interest
for 1 year. If current spot rate is $1= ₹50.
• If he invest in India he will get a return of ₹1, 12,000(1, 00,000+12,000). But if he invest
in USA he has to first convert the ₹1,00,000 in terms of dollars (1,00,000/50 = $2000).
He will get a return of $2,160 ($2000+160) after one year. Suppose the forward rate after
1year is $1= ₹51. The investor will get the return in terms of rupees = ₹1,
10,160($2160×51). It means it is beneficial to invest in India.
• Interest Rate Parity is a theory in which the interest rate differential between two
countries is equal to the differential between the forward exchange rate and spot
exchange rate.
• Forward exchange rate (Forward Rate) – Exchange rate fixed today for exchanging
currency at a future date.
• Spot exchange rate (Spot Rate) – Exchange rate on currency for immediate delivery.
• The theory establishes the break even condition where the return on a domestic currency
investment is identical with the return on a foreign currency investment covered against
exchange risk.
• Since emerging in the late 19th century during the first modern wave of economic
globalization, its evolution is marked by the establishment of central
banks, multilateral treaties, and intergovernmental organizations aimed at improving
the transparency, regulation, and effectiveness of international markets.
• A series of currency devaluations and oil crises in the 1970s led most countries to float
their currencies. The world economy became increasingly financially integrated in the
1980s and 1990s due to capital account liberalization and financial deregulation.
• A series of financial crises in Europe, Asia, and Latin America followed with contagious
effects due to greater exposure to volatile capital flows. The global financial crisis, which
originated in the United States in 2007, quickly propagated among other nations and is
recognized as the catalyst for the worldwide Great Recession. A market adjustment to
Greece's noncompliance with its monetary union in 2009 ignited a sovereign debt crisis
among European nations known as the Eurozone crisis. The history of international
finance shows a U-shaped pattern in international capital flows: high prior to 1914 after
1989, but lower in between. The volatility of capital flows has been greater since the
1970s than in previous periods.
• Both individuals and groups may participate in the global financial system. Consumers
and international businesses undertake consumption, production, and investment.
Governments and intergovernmental bodies act as purveyors of international trade,
economic development, and crisis management. Regulatory bodies establish financial
regulations and legal procedures, while independent bodies facilitate industry
supervision. Research institutes and other associations analyze data, publish reports and
policy briefs, and host public discourse on global financial affairs.
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS (IFIs)
• An international financial institution (IFI) is a financial institution that has been
established (or chartered) by more than one country, and hence is subject to international
law. Its owners or shareholders are generally national governments, although
other international institutions and other organizations occasionally figure as
shareholders. The most prominent IFIs are creations of multiple nations, although some
bilateral financial institutions (created by two countries) exist and are technically IFIs.
• Immediately following World War II, the major capitalist powers, dominated by the U.S.
and Britain, met at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire to establish multilateral institutions
to manage the postwar restructuring and expansion of the global capitalist economy. Two
international financial institutions (IFIs) emerged from the July 1944 meeting: the
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (World Bank) and the
International Monetary Fund (IMF).
• The principal function of the World Bank is to provide development loans for projects
that are too large or too risky for private banks to finance. Four regional multilateral
development banks (MDBs) complement the work of the World Bank: the African
Development Bank (AFDB, founded 1963), the Asian Development Bank (ADB-1966),
the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD-1991), and the Inter-
American Development Bank (IDB-1959).
• The MDBs obtain 80 percent of their funds by tapping world capital markets and the
remaining 20 percent by assessing member governments. Most of their loans are near
commercial interest rates, although the poorest nations are eligible for low- or no-interest
development loans from the World Bank and the regional MDBs. Unlike the MDBs, the
IMF depends solely on quota payments from member nations.
EUROBANKS
• A eurobank is a financial institution that accepts deposits and makes loans in foreign
currencies.
• Eurobanks may operate in their own country, such as the American bank in the example
above, or they may operate in a country outside their home.
• The emergence of eurobanks has done much to facilitate trade and investment between
countries. In the past, cross-border trade was hampered by a lack of
international intermediaries capable of accommodating transactions involving multiple
foreign currencies. This is especially true because, despite the growing importance of
these economies, some of the currencies of these nations are still not widely traded
on global currency markets. As such, emerging economies often find it necessary to
conduct international trade using foreign currencies.
Benefits of Eurobanks
• One important benefit of euro banking is that these institutions can often offer lower
interest rates for foreign borrowers of U.S. dollars. That is mostly because euro currency
markets are less regulated than U.S. banks and American bank deposits.
• Another benefit is that euro banking helps to facilitate cross-border transactions, with
transactors needing access to deposits of both dollars and local currency in different
regions throughout the world.
• Bank for International Settlements is the oldest global financial institution and operates
under the auspices of international law. But from its inception to the present day, the role
of the BIS has been ever-changing as it adapts to the dynamic global financial community
and its needs.