U.S. R&D Publications Trends 2024
Topics covered
U.S. R&D Publications Trends 2024
Topics covered
R&D
NSB-2023-33
December 11, 2023
This publication is part of the 2024 edition of the Science and Engineering Indicators (Indicators) suite of
reports. Indicators is prepared under the guidance of the National Science Board by the National Science
Foundation’s National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics. The Indicators suite consists of a
summary report called The State of U.S. Science and Engineering, more-detailed thematic reports with
supporting data, and a data tool that provides state-level indicators.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 2
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary 7
Introduction 9
Conclusion 45
Glossary 46
Definitions 46
References 49
Notes 52
Acknowledgments 54
Citation 54
Technical Appendix 55
Data 55
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References 62
Contact Us 64
Report Authors 64
NCSES 64
List of Sidebars
Artificial Intelligence Publication Output and International Collaboration 36
List of Tables
PBS-1 S&E publications in all fields for 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies: 2012 and 2022 13
PBS-2 Relative citation index for 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies: 2020 42
PBS-A U.S. S&E publications, by U.S. federal funding status and field: 2018–22 22
List of Figures
PBS-1 S&E publications, by income group: 2003–22 10
PBS-3 S&E publications, by selected region, country, or economy and rest of world: 2003–22 14
PBS-4 Distribution of national S&E research portfolios across scientific fields, by selected region, country, or 15
economy: 2022
PBS-9 S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all S&E journal articles, by selected 26
region, country, or economy: 2006–20
PBS-10 S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all journal articles for selected S&E 28
fields, by selected region, country, or economy: 2020
PBS-11 S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all articles, by publication access type: 30
2006–20
PBS-12 International coauthorship of S&E publications for the 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies 32
of S&E publications: 2022
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PBS-13 Selected leading region, countries, or economies with publications with international coauthors: 2003–22 33
PBS-14 U.S. international S&E publications with coauthor(s) from the United Kingdom and Asian countries: Selected 34
years, 2004–22
PBS-15 Relative international collaboration index of selected large-producing regions, countries, or economies with 35
the United States: 2003 and 2022
PBS-A U.S. S&E publications with and without acknowledgments of U.S. federal funding: 2003–22 21
SAPBS-2 Impact of removing low-quality publications from Scopus, by selected region, country, or economy: 2008–22 57
SAPBS-3 Impact of removing low-quality publications from Scopus, by field of science: 2008–22 58
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Executive Summary
Key takeaways:
● The United States remains a highly influential nation in science and engineering (S&E) research, as measured by the
volume of peer-reviewed scholarly publications and the rate of citations to those publications.
● In 2022, China remained the largest producer of publications, followed by the United States, then by India. China’s top
scientific field in terms of number of articles produced was engineering (25% of all publications), whereas the top field
in the United States was health sciences (37%), and India’s top field was computer and information sciences (21%).
● Analysis of funding acknowledgments shows that from 2018 to 2022, the scientific fields most frequently
acknowledging federal funding are chemistry, biological and biomedical sciences, astronomy and astrophysics, and
physics.
● The United States, the European Union (EU-27), and China currently produce a high number of highly cited articles,
relative to their overall production.
● Open access (OA) has become an increasingly important feature of the publication landscape, in terms of output and
impact, as shown by the growth of fully OA articles.
● International collaborations with U.S. authors of S&E publications have increased over the last 15 years, and China is
the most frequent U.S. partner.
● International collaboration in the fast-growing field of artificial intelligence helps show an important research network
and the most important collaborations in terms of absolute and relative size.
The primary method of disseminating research findings is through publication of peer-reviewed journal articles and
conference proceedings (i.e., publication output). Data on publication output indicate a continued increase in global
research activity, a growth in the proliferation and impact of some categories of OA research, and an internationally
connected research ecosystem.
Global publication output reached 3.3 million articles in 2022, based on data from the Scopus database of S&E
publications. The regions, countries, or economies with the largest volume of S&E publications in 2022 were China, with
27% of global output, and the United States, with 14%. From 2012 to 2022, the global yearly publication total grew by 59%.
In terms of growth for these two largest producers, China and the United States had noticeably different expansion in their
levels of overall production (growing by 173% and 6%, respectively).
Beyond differences at the level of region, country, or economy, the number of OA publications has increased dramatically
in the last 10 years. In 2022, nearly 1.6 million articles were OA (classified in one of four OA categories), compared with
about 1.5 million traditional closed-access journal articles. Just 10 years prior, OA articles accounted for around a third of
all articles with a known access status. This growth is also clear with respect to impact, where OA research as a whole
has a higher proportion of highly cited articles relative to the size of OA scholarship.
When an article is cited by a high number of subsequent articles by other authors, it is deemed to have exceptional
scientific impact. Analyzing the distribution of highly cited articles based on the authors’ locations, the United States has a
long-standing record of producing a disproportionate share of such articles, although its share has decreased in recent
years. China’s share of those articles grew consistently over the past 20 years, and its scientific impact is on par with that
of the EU-27. That impact varies by scientific discipline. In 2020, publications by authors in the United States in materials
science, geosciences, and physics had relatively higher scientific impact than those in other fields. For publications by
authors in China for the same year, those in the social sciences tended to have higher scientific impact than those in any
other field.
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International collaborations continue to grow in their share of global scientific publications. From 2012 to 2022, the share
of articles from authors affiliated with institutions in multiple regions, countries, or economies increased by 19%. In 2022,
the United States was involved in a high number of international collaborations (40% of U.S. articles produced included an
international coauthor). Other top producers like China (19%), India (24%), and the United Kingdom (67%) varied in the
concentration of international collaborations among their respective total outputs.
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Introduction
Research publications and presentations at conferences represent the main mechanisms for disseminating research
findings. Presentations appear in the published research literature in conference proceedings. Published literature is an
indicator of scientific activity and global research partnerships. Additionally, analysis of how published literature is cited
provides insight into the impact of research output. Scientific publications serve as a key linkage enabling public uses of
scientific output (Yin et al. 2022).
This report presents data on research publication output by region, country, or economy and scientific field; impact
measures; and international collaboration. The first section examines comparative region, country, or economy data on
publication output across science and engineering (S&E) fields and includes a sidebar on federal funding
acknowledgments. The second section provides an analysis of scientific impact as measured by bibliographic citations in
research publications. The third section focuses on collaboration among researchers in the United States and those in
other regions, countries, or economies through examining coauthoring and citation patterns. This section also includes a
sidebar on the artificial intelligence (AI) publication output and collaboration network.
This report analyzes nearly 44 million English-language articles published from 2003 to 2022. The analysis included
papers published in conference proceedings and research articles published in peer-reviewed scientific and technical
journals (collectively referred to as articles). The analysis excluded editorials, errata, letters, and other materials that do
not typically present new scientific data, theories, methods, apparatuses, or experiments. The analysis also excluded
working papers and preprints, which typically have not yet been peer reviewed, and articles published in journals that lack
substantive peer review, sometimes referred to as predatory journals (Grudniewicz et al. 2019). Even with robust coverage
and filtering, bibliometric data may retain biases or gaps in coverage, including a bias toward English-speaking regions,
countries, or economies. In terms of interpretability, longer-term trends are the best way to view publications-related data.
Year-to-year differences may be due to the process by which the information is indexed in Scopus. Additional details
regarding document selection, limitations, and sources of bias are available in the Technical Appendix.
Information about how research was produced—such as the field; region, country, or economy of origin; and collaboration
—may also be inferred from bibliometric data. For example, author affiliation data were used for determining publication
output by region, country, or economy through fractional counting and international collaborations through whole
counting. The supplemental tables include calculations using both whole and fractional counting for the various indicators
to illustrate the difference in results. Articles were categorized by S&E fields corresponding to the 14 fields of science in
the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NCSES) Taxonomy of Disciplines (TOD) (Science-Metrix 2019).
Additional details regarding fractional and whole counting, field categorization, and limitations are available in the
Technical Appendix.
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Figure PBS-1
2,000,000
1,500,000
Number of articles
1,000,000
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Publication year
Note(s):
Article counts refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles produced by authors from different regions, countries, or
economies, each region, country, or economy receives fractional credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). Data are not
directly comparable with data from Science and Engineering Indicators 2022; see the Technical Appendix for information on data filters. Low-income
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 11
regions, countries, or economies are not included in this figure because of their low publication output. Data by region, country, or economy and
income group are available in Table SPBS-2. Regions, countries, or economies are allocated to income groups based on World Bank data, using their
current designation. For example, all of China’s publications from 2003 to 2022 are counted as part of the upper-middle-income category because
that is China's current designation.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023; World
Bank Country and Lending Groups, accessed May 2023.
In 2022, six regions, countries, or economies each produced more than 100,000 articles: China, the United States, India,
Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan. Together, these leading regions, countries, or economies accounted for over
50% of the worldwide total in 2022 (Figure PBS-2; Table PBS-1).2 In absolute numbers, the growth in worldwide annual
publication output (from 2.0 million in 2010 to 3.3 million in 2022) was driven in particular by two countries: China (42% of
additional publications during that period) and India (11%) together accounted for more than half of that increase in
publications (Figure PBS-3). Russia, South Korea, Iran, and Brazil made notable contributions to the growth in the number
of publications from the rest of the world from 2010 to 2022 (Figure PBS-3; Table SPBS-2). Generally, the set of the top 15
producers of S&E articles was the same each year between 2010 and 2022, with the exception of Iran replacing Taiwan in
the top 15 beginning in 2014 (Table PBS-1; Table SPBS-2).
Figure PBS-2
1,000,000
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Number of articles
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Note(s):
Article counts refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles produced by authors from different regions, countries, or
economies, each region, country, or economy receives fractional credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). Data by all
countries, regions, and economies are available in Table SPBS-2.
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Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Table PBS-1
S&E publications in all fields for 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies: 2012 and 2022
(Number and percent)
Rank Region, country, or economy 2012 2022 2022 world total (%)
na World 2,105,157 3,344,037 na
1 China 329,067 898,949 26.88
2 United States 430,164 457,335 13.68
3 India 78,135 207,390 6.20
4 Germany 105,639 113,976 3.41
5 United Kingdom 98,685 105,584 3.16
6 Japan 109,040 103,723 3.10
7 Italy 64,131 90,586 2.71
8 Russia 36,532 84,252 2.52
9 South Korea 56,101 76,936 2.30
10 Canada 59,762 69,052 2.06
11 Spain 54,680 67,100 2.01
12 Brazil 48,166 67,031 2.00
13 France 72,431 65,888 1.97
14 Australia 46,728 62,305 1.86
15 Iran 31,462 60,940 1.82
na = not applicable.
Note(s):
The regions, countries, or economies are ranked based on the 2022 total. Article counts refer to publications from conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journal articles in S&E and indexed in
Scopus (see Technical Appendix for more details). Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of
the author(s) listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple regions, countries, or economies, each region, country, or economy receives fractional
credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). Detail may not add to total because of regions, countries, or economies that are not shown. Proportions are based on the world total
excluding unclassified addresses (data not presented). Details and other regions, countries, or economies are available in Table SPBS-2.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Figure PBS-3
S&E publications, by selected region, country, or economy and rest of world: 2003–22
4,000,000
3,000,000
Number of articles
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
03
04
05
06
07
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Publication year
Note(s):
Article counts refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles produced by authors from different countries, each country
receives fractional credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). Data for all regions, countries, and economies are available in
Table SPBS-2.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The U.S. trend of moderate but increasing publication output varied by state. The National Science Board’s (NSB’s) State
Data Tool ([Link] provides state-level data based on each state’s doctorate population
and research and development (R&D) funding. Indicators include academic S&E article output per 1,000 science,
engineering, and health doctorate holders in academia (NSB 2021a) and academic S&E article output per $1 million in
academic S&E R&D funding (NSB 2021b).
SPBS-2, Table SPBS-5, Table SPBS-8, and Table SPBS-16). In the United States, the European Union (EU-27), and Japan,
health sciences publication output in 2022 far exceeded that of any other field.3 Meanwhile, of the other top producers,
publications from China were most highly concentrated in engineering (25%), and publications from India were published
predominantly in computer and information sciences (21%) (Figure PBS-4).
Figure PBS-4
Distribution of national S&E research portfolios across scientific fields, by selected region, country, or economy: 2022
United States
Region, country, or economy
EU-27
Japan
China
India
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple countries, each country receives fractional credit
on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). See Table SPBS-1 for countries included in the EU; beginning in 2020, the United Kingdom
was no longer a member of the EU. See Table SPBS-3 through Table SPBS-16 for data on all regions, countries, and economies by each S&E field.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Fields within life sciences were dominant in the United States in 2022, with more than half of all U.S. publications in health
sciences (37%) or biological and biomedical sciences (14%) (Figure PBS-5). There were fewer U.S. publications in
engineering (11%), computer and information sciences (7%), and physics (5%). In comparison with the United States,
China had a stronger focus on publications in engineering and in the physical sciences and information sciences. In 2022,
25% of China’s publications were in engineering, 11% were in computer and information sciences, and 9% were in physics
(Figure PBS-6). Compared with the United States, China had a lower percentage of its publications in health sciences
(14%) and biological and biomedical sciences (12%). In 2022, China also had a much lower percentage of its publications
in social sciences (1%) when compared with the United States (8%).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 16
Figure PBS-5
Percent
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple countries, each country receives fractional credit
on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). See Table SPBS-3 through Table SPBS-16 for data on all regions, countries, and
economies by each S&E field.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Figure PBS-6
Percent
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple countries, each country receives fractional credit
on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). See Table SPBS-3 through Table SPBS-16 for data on all regions, countries, and
economies and by each S&E field.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
All the leading regions, countries, or economies saw an increase in their output of health sciences publications between
2010 and 2022. This increase is to be expected, given the context of increasing publication rates in general over that
period, with overall number of publications increasing by 71% (Table SPBS-2), while publications in health sciences
increased by 66% (Table SPBS-10). Russia had the highest relative growth rate among the 20 leading regions, countries, or
economies in health sciences, increasing its publication output by almost 450% between 2010 and 2022 (Table SPBS-10).
China and Iran each increased their output of health sciences publications by more than 250% over this period, while
India’s health sciences publication output increased by more than 180%. The United States increased its output of health
sciences publications by 32% over this period, while Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and Japan had the smallest
increases, each with less than 20%.
Leading regions, countries, or economies also saw increases in engineering publications. The fastest growing between
2010 and 2022 were India (up 378%) and Russia (up 230%) (Table SPBS-8). China increased its output of engineering
publications by 176% from 2010 to 2022, while France, the United States, and Japan all saw declines in newly published
engineering articles per year over this period (3%, 13%, and 26%, respectively).
In the United States, publication output varied from that of other regions, countries, or economies with respect to scientific
fields. Of the fields not already mentioned, the fastest growing from 2010 to 2022 were psychology (up 39% from 2010 to
2022) and the social sciences (up 38%) (Figure PBS-7). Meanwhile, fields with the largest decreases in U.S. publications
included physics (down 31% from 2010 to 2022) and materials science (down 16%).
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Figure PBS-7
150
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Index [base: 2010 = 100]
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Year
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple countries, each country receives fractional credit
on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). See Table SPBS-3 through Table SPBS-16 for data on all regions, countries, and
economies by each S&E field.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
SIDEBAR USING FUNDING ACKNOWLEDGMENTS TO TRACK FEDERALLY FUNDED RESEARCH OVER TIME
Federally funded research is an important component of the research ecosystem and is often envisioned as a means
of supporting science performed for public benefit that may not otherwise be motivated by commercial interest
(Bornmann 2013; Stephan 2012; Yin et al. 2022). Federal research funding supports applied and basic research (see
Indicators 2022 report “[2022] Research and Development: U.S. Trends and International Comparisons”) and has long
been linked to successful expansions in scientific production—through the increased productivity and impact of
individual researchers and laboratories (Ebadi and Schiffauerova 2016) and the national scale (Leydesdorff and
Wagner 2009). This sidebar explores funding acknowledgments, as recorded in Scopus, as an emerging source to
help illustrate the extent to which published research is supported by federal agencies and the trends in federally
funded research. Specifically, the share of published research acknowledging support by federal funding was highest
in chemistry and smaller in other fields, such as the social sciences (Table PBS-A). These differences may be driven
by factors such as the resource costs to conduct research and by field differences, such as the overall frequency of
publication, team size, and cultural differences among the disciplines. The time period analyzed in this sidebar is
2018–22, unless otherwise indicated.
Funding acknowledgments can shed light on the ability and priorities of federal funding to support discovery as
measured by peer-reviewed journal articles and conference proceedings. However, some benefits and limitations of
this emerging data source are important to highlight so as to accurately interpret these trends. Each peer-reviewed
journal article and conference proceeding in the Scopus database includes a field for funding acknowledgments that
are extracted by algorithmic (software) means. In some cases where the acknowledgments field is incomplete,
funding information from agencies is also used to identify funded publications in Scopus. Using this field, it is
possible to observe the conversion of federal funds to published research outputs, but a direct linkage between
funding inputs and published discoveries remains challenging. First, extraction of this information into a structured
field is a relatively new effort and is most complete for the most recent 4 years. Figure SPBS-1 shows how funding
acknowledgment sections have grown in coverage since 2003 and that funding information was indexed for 68% of all
publications in 2022.* Many factors may have contributed to this growth in addition to improved extraction, including
increasing pressure and requirements from funders to include funding acknowledgments, standardization of
acknowledgment language, and incentives to demonstrate high publication output—because future funding is tied to
past conversion of funds into publications—while receiving funding.† Last, this inquiry helps explore research that
acknowledges any federal funding but does not only account for publications that source all their funding from a
single source. In practice, a publication may be generated using funding from multiple sources within the federal
government, or from additional sources in state government, local government, or the private sector.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 21
Figure PBS-A
U.S. S&E publications with and without acknowledgments of U.S. federal funding: 2003–22
700,000
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Note(s):
Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es)
of the author(s) listed in the article. Whole counting is used. An article is considered to be federally funded if the funding information tied with
the publication record in Scopus links it with one of the U.S. federal agencies. Not all Scopus publications have funding information available,
and coverage has evolved with time. For more information, see Figure SPBS-1. For a breakdown of federally funded papers by funding agency,
see Table SPBS-90.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Figure PBS-A tracks the growth of federally funded publications relative to the total research production in the United
States. Other than a small downturn from 2021 to 2022, every year has seen an increase from the previous year in the
number of publications that acknowledge funding support from federal agencies. The most comprehensive data from
the past 4 years show variation among subject areas in the percentage of publications that acknowledge federal
support. Table PBS-A shows number and share of publications appearing between 2018 and 2022 that acknowledged
funding from federal sources and those acknowledging funding from other sources. During this time, more than 50%
of publications in the following subject fields acknowledged federal funding support: chemistry (55% of publications),
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 22
biological and biomedical sciences (53%), astronomy and astrophysics (53%), and physics (52%). Only two subject
areas have less than 30% of publications with federal funding acknowledged: agricultural sciences (28%), and social
sciences (15%). Otherwise, all other fields had between 30% and 50% of their publications acknowledging federal
funding.
Table PBS-A
U.S. S&E publications, by U.S. federal funding status and field: 2018–22
(Number and percent)
U.S. Percentage of Percentage of publications
publications U.S. publications federally funded U.S. publications acknowledging funding from
Field (total) (federally funded) publications (other funding) another source
Health sciences 1,004,671 318,838 31.7 239,606 23.8
Biological and
biomedical sciences 447,843 237,472 53.0 151,511 33.8
Engineering 356,520 128,106 35.9 67,692 19.0
Computer and
information sciences 235,765 79,218 33.6 29,528 12.5
Social sciences 202,900 29,694 14.6 30,282 14.9
Physics 191,700 98,716 51.5 39,480 20.6
Geosciences,
atmospheric sciences,
and ocean sciences 109,183 49,647 45.5 31,728 29.1
Psychology 107,480 34,853 32.4 23,678 22.0
Chemistry 103,217 56,361 54.6 30,797 29.8
Mathematics and
statistics 63,733 27,634 43.4 12,644 19.8
Natural resources and
conservation 52,010 17,979 34.6 14,311 27.5
Materials science 42,610 19,859 46.6 10,046 23.6
Agricultural sciences 42,419 11,701 27.6 10,384 24.5
Astronomy and
astrophysics 34,358 18,050 52.5 8,382 24.4
Note(s):
Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es)
of the author(s) listed in the article. Whole counting is used. An article is considered to be federally funded if the funding information tied with
the publication record in Scopus links it with one of the U.S. federal agencies. Not all Scopus publications have funding information available,
and coverage has evolved with time. For more information, see Figure SPBS-1. For a breakdown of federally funded papers by funding agency,
see Table SPBS-90.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
In conclusion, federal funding plays an important role in the current research environment in the United States. Of the
606,144 articles published in journals and conference proceedings in 2022, 35% acknowledged support from federal
agencies (Figure PBS-A). Ultimately, acknowledgment of federal funding can help show trends in the conversion of
grants into published research over time and show variation at the subject or field level.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 23
* Missing data in funding fields in a Scopus entry may mean that the research did not receive funding, the authors did
not cite any funding despite receiving it, or the algorithm was unable to extract the acknowledgment. Of the articles
from 2003 that had an entry for funding acknowledgment (27% had text in the funding field in Scopus), around 76%
acknowledged a federal funding source. Comparatively, of the publications in 2022 with indexed funding information
(68%), 52% acknowledged a federal source. The growth of coverage of funding not being tied to federal funding
acknowledgments provides evidence that the data source has become more dependable over time. Data for the
percentage of publications with indexed funding sources by year and field can be found in Figure SPBS-1.
†
Table SPBS-90 displays the number of articles and conference proceedings acknowledging federal funding at the
agency level and sub-agency level. These counts represent the number of supported articles as acknowledged and
attributed in Scopus from 2003 to 2022.
There are four commonly defined types of OA: Gold, Hybrid, Bronze, and Green. Gold OA denotes articles published in
journals that are entirely OA as a matter of journal policy. Hybrid OA denotes articles for which the authors have elected to
pay a fee for publication as OA rather than as closed access. Bronze OA denotes articles that appear as OA after an
embargo period of closed access or articles that appear available as OA despite lacking license information to guarantee
OA in the long term. Green OA denotes articles that are self-archived by authors in OA repositories, which are often
maintained, curated, and administered by universities or other institutions. The Hybrid and Bronze categories have been
combined as Other Journal-Based OA in this report because of their similar structure as journal-hosted types of OA that
allow only conditional—and potentially revocable—OA.
The number of articles published annually in closed-access journals increased by 112% between 2003 and 2022 (Figure
PBS-8). Over the same period, annual publishing of Green OA articles increased by 228%, while Other Journal-Based OA
articles (Hybrid and Bronze OA) increased by 198%. Gold OA articles (which are published in OA journals with no
restrictions) had the largest percentage growth, from 19,089 articles in 2003 to 991,805 articles in 2022, an increase of
over 5,000%. Hence, although the majority (77%) of S&E articles in 2003 whose access status is known were published in
closed-access journals, fewer than half (49%) were in closed-access journals in 2022.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 24
Figure PBS-8
2,000,000
1,500,000
Number of articles
1,000,000
500,000
0
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Publication year
OA = open access.
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication. OA types are mutually exclusive. For articles published under multiple OA types, the article will be counted as
part of only the first type it matches in this list: Gold OA, Other Journal-Based OA, or Green OA. Summing all OA and closed-access article counts
results in a smaller number of articles than for all S&E because the access status of some articles (e.g., those without digital object identifiers)
cannot be reliably ascertained. Green articles are published in toll-access journals but archived in an OA archive, or "repository." These repositories
may be discipline specific (like arXiv) or institutional repositories operated by universities or other institutions. Green articles may be published
versions or preprints and can have any license or no license. Bronze (Other Journal-Based OA) articles are free to read on the publisher's website,
without a license that grants any other rights. There may be a delay between publication and availability to read, and often articles can be removed
unilaterally by the publisher. Hybrid (Other Journal-Based OA) articles are free to read at the time of publication, with an open license. These are
usually published in exchange for an article processing charge. Gold articles have all the same characteristics as Hybrid articles but are published in
all-OA journals, which are in turn called "Gold journals" or just "OA journals."
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
To conclude this section, the findings of the output analysis reveal the growth in scientific publications over time, with
upper-middle-income economies exhibiting particularly large percentage increases. Meanwhile, the distribution of
publications across scientific fields shows that life sciences dominated in the United States, Europe, and Japan, whereas
publications in engineering and computer sciences dominated in China and India. In OA, the dramatic growth of Gold OA
publications and the steady growth of publications in other OA categories show an increased shift toward open science.
However, OA can impede the dissemination of some scientific research. Publishing research as OA often requires authors
to pay article processing fees, which may be prohibitive for scientists in less-developed nations or whose funders do not
subsidize those fees.4 The fees can be seen as shifting the costs of accessing research from readers and libraries to
authors (Larivière and Sugimoto 2018).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 25
In general, most of the scientific articles published garner few or no citations, whereas for a small share, each article ends
up with hundreds or thousands of citations (Van Noorden, Maher, and Nuzzo 2014). Recently published articles tend to
have fewer citations than those published many years ago because articles are referenced only after they have been
disseminated and read throughout the research community. Counting the cumulative citations earned by an article at
least 2 years after publication provides the means to normalize the measure of impact for a given year. This 2-year lag
provides sufficient time for high-impact articles to attract attention and therefore receive a distinguishing number of
citations (Wang 2012). Those in the top 1% of the articles based on this measurement of citations are designated as
highly cited articles (HCAs). Therefore, this report provides impact measures for articles up to those published in 2020,
calculated using the citation counts for those articles at the end of 2022. Note that some articles may receive a much
higher share of their citations many years after publication (Ke et al. 2015).
A method of representing scientific impact at the national level calculates the share of a specific nation’s scientific output
among the HCAs in a given year. To identify the HCAs for each year, publications in each scientific field are ranked based
on their accumulated citations, generating a list of the top 1% of that distribution. A separate list is generated for each
field to account for differences in citation practices and patterns among the various disciplines (Science-Metrix 2021b).
Aggregating the lists for all fields produces the HCA list; that list is the compilation of the top 1% of articles in each field
by citations rather than the top 1% overall. Each article on the list is attributed to a nation if at least one author on the
publication is affiliated with an institution located in that region, country, or economy (meaning that one article will be
attributed to every nation represented among its coauthors).
The estimate of scientific impact is based on the share of a specific region, country, or economy’s articles designated as
HCAs. For a region, country, or economy with impact on par with that of the entire global scientific community, 1% of that
region, country, or economy’s scientific articles would be found in the top 1%. An HCA share above 1.0 means that more
than 1% of the nation’s articles achieved HCA status, indicating that the nation’s published research has
disproportionately more impact relative to the volume of articles its researchers produce.5 A consistent increase in a
region, country, or economy’s HCA ratio over time suggests that its S&E enterprise is rising in stature as a producer of
notable research findings.
Figure PBS-9
S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all S&E journal articles, by selected region, country, or
economy: 2006–20
2.00
1.50
Percent of articles
1.00
0.50
0.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Publication year
Note(s):
Articles refer to articles from peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned
to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Citation data are based on all
citations made to articles in their publication year and all following years and are normalized by subfield and publication year to allow for
comparisons across subfields and over time, resulting in the world level standing at 1.00 for each subfield and year. A minimum 2-year citation
window is needed for a highly cited article (HCA) score to be computed. This results in scores regarding HCA not being computed after 2020
because the citation window for more recent years is not yet complete. The share of articles in the top 1% is computed as follows: Sx = HCAx / Ax,
where Sx is the share of output from country x in the top 1% most-cited articles; HCAx is the number of articles from country x that are among the
top 1% of most-cited articles (using full counting, with the exception of articles at the limit of the top 1%, which are fractioned so the world average
can stand at 1%); and Ax is the total number of articles from country x with a relative citation score, which excludes articles released after 2020 and
unclassified publications. The world average is 1.00 for each year. For more details, see Table SPBS-70. See Table SPBS-1 for countries included in
the EU; beginning in 2020, the United Kingdom was no longer a member of the EU.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
In contrast, China’s HCA share has increased in each of the past 15 years, rising from 0.4% in 2006 to 1.3% in 2020 (Figure
PBS-9). The disparity in HCA shares between the United States and China has decreased steadily since 2008. One factor
that may affect this trend is the increase in the number of publications with U.S. and Chinese coauthors, discussed in the
section International Collaboration Patterns. Any such articles in the 1% of the most highly cited publications in a given
year would be credited toward the HCA shares of both countries. Given that on a whole-count basis, China produced more
scientific articles than the United States in 2020, this convergence appears to represent a consistent increase in the
scientific impact of publications with Chinese authors (Table SPBS-17).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 27
China’s HCA share in 2020 exceeded that of the EU-27 region for the first time (Figure PBS-9). The collective HCA share
for the EU-27 has stayed at or above 1.2% since 2010. The HCA share of Japan, another major contributor to the world’s
scientific literature, has tended to lag behind the overall global HCA share. Japan’s HCA share reached 1.0% in 2019 for
the first time since at least 2006 and maintained that level in 2020. India’s HCA share matched the global HCA share in
2020 for the first time, reaching 1.0%. Note that scientists who publish predominantly in non-English-language journals
may receive lower citations in general because the language barrier could limit the readership of their articles in the
international community (Di Bitetti and Ferreras 2016).
Figure PBS-10 shows the field-specific HCA shares of the five regions, countries, or economies with the largest number of
scientific publications in 2022, focusing on the fields representing the largest share of scientific articles in 2020 (Table
SPBS-3 through Table SPBS-16). This figure illustrates how national scientific impact varies by discipline. HCA shares by
whole count for all regions, countries, and economies across all fields are provided in Table SPBS-72 through Table
SPBS-85.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 28
Figure PBS-10
S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all journal articles for selected S&E fields, by selected region,
country, or economy: 2020
2.5
2.0
Percent of articles
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
United States China EU-27 Japan India
Region, country, or economy
Note(s):
Articles refer to articles from peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned
to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Articles are allocated to a region or
country on a whole count basis. Citation data are based on all citations made to articles in their publication year and all following years and are
normalized by subfield and publication year to allow for comparisons across subfields and over time, resulting in the world level standing at 1.00 for
each subfield and year. A minimum 2-year citation window is needed for a highly cited article (HCA) score to be computed. This results in scores
regarding HCA not being computed after 2020 because the citation window for more recent years is not yet complete. The share of articles in the
top 1% is computed as follows: Sx = HCAx / Ax, where Sx is the share of output from country x in the top 1% most-cited articles; HCAx is the number
of articles from country x that are among the top 1% of most-cited articles (using full counting); and Ax is the total number of articles from country x
with a relative citation score, which excludes articles released after 2020 and unclassified publications. The world average is 1.00 for each year. For
more details, see Table SPBS-70 through Table SPBS-84. See Table SPBS-1 for countries included in the EU; beginning in 2020, the United Kingdom
was no longer a member of the EU.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 29
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
In the United States, physics had the highest share of publications in 2020 designated as HCAs (Figure PBS-10). Other
fields in which the United States had a high HCA share were geosciences, atmospheric sciences, and ocean sciences and
materials science (Table SPBS-77 and Table SPBS-79). Note that physics is not a dominant field in the United States in
terms of number of publications (Figure PBS-5). For China, the social sciences had the highest share of articles
designated as HCAs in 2020 (Figure PBS-10), although that field accounts for a relatively small share of China’s total
publications (see Figure PBS-6). The EU-27 region demonstrated higher relative impact in articles in health sciences, as
well as geosciences (Figure PBS-10; Table SPBS-77). In Japan, publications in the fields of astronomy and astrophysics,
geosciences, and physics showed high HCA shares (Figure PBS-10; Table SPBS-72 and Table SPBS-77). India showed
relatively higher impact in physics than in other fields and had particularly notable impact in astronomy and astrophysics
(Figure PBS-10; Table SPBS-72).
Figure PBS-11
S&E publications in the top 1% most-cited journal articles as a share of all articles, by publication access type: 2006–20
2
Percent of articles
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Publication year
OA = open access.
Note(s):
Articles refer to articles from peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned
to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Citation data are based on all
citations made to articles in their publication year and all following years and are normalized by subfield and publication year to allow for
comparisons across subfields and over time, resulting in the world level standing at 1.00 for each subfield and year. A minimum 2-year citation
window is needed for a highly cited article (HCA) score to be computed. This results in scores regarding HCA not being computed after 2020
because the citation window for more recent years is not yet complete. The share of articles in the top 1% is computed as follows: Sx = HCAx / Ax,
where Sx is the share of output from country x in the top 1% most-cited articles; HCAx is the number of articles from country x that are among the
top 1% of most-cited articles (using full counting, with the exception of articles at the limit of the top 1%, which are fractioned so the world average
can stand at 1%); and Ax is the total number of articles from country x with a relative citation score, which excludes articles released after 2020 and
unclassified publications. The world average is 1.00 for each year. For more details, see Table SPBS-86 through Table SPBS-89.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
To conclude this section, when looking at trends in the articles with the highest citation rates per year, the United States
produces articles that gain significant recognition after publishing at a disproportionate rate compared with global
publications each year. In contrast, although China’s annual article output exceeds that of the United States, China’s
articles are not as well represented among the most highly cited articles. However, the impact of articles published by
Chinese authors has seen significant annual increases since 2006; as of 2020, China’s presence among the most highly
cited articles exceeds that of the EU-27 and Japan.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 31
This section of the report examines trends in collaborations between researchers—as measured by coauthorships and
citations—particularly among those involving international connections. In the sidebar Artificial Intelligence Publication
Output and International Collaboration, this section also explores international collaboration in greater depth in the field of
artificial intelligence using network analysis.
Researchers may collaborate for several reasons, including to develop a scientific relationship with another researcher or
to gain access to costly or shared equipment. They may also work together to meet conditions attached to research
funding that require international collaboration (Wagner 2018).
In general, national governments encourage international collaboration to achieve outcomes that exceed what they could
achieve individually (although they may perceive risks in collaborating with regions, countries, or economies they regard
as a potential threat). These positive outcomes include training a robust S&E workforce, partnering with researchers from
developing countries, advancing domestic science excellence, increasing the impact of discoveries through better
distribution of knowledge, strengthening scientific and diplomatic relations, and enhancing a sense of shared
responsibility for future action (Lyons et al. 2016). Also, international collaborations increase the impact of research, as
measured by citations (Chinchilla-Rodríguez, Sugimoto, and Larivière 2019; Narin, Stevens, and Whitlow 1991; Sugimoto et
al. 2017). Domestic collaboration among researchers in the academic, government, and industry sectors also results in
articles that receive higher citation rates when compared with articles from a single author or authors from only one
sector (see the section Business Collaborations in Published Literature in Indicators 2022 report “[2022] Invention,
Knowledge Transfer, and Innovation”).
In 2022, the global rate of international collaboration was 23%, but these rates varied by region, country, or economy.
Researchers in the United States collaborated with international partners on 40% of their articles in 2022 (Table SPBS-33).
Of the top 15 largest producers, the regions, countries, or economies that had higher international collaboration rates than
the United States included the United Kingdom (67%), Australia (63%), France (60%), and Canada (60%). Conversely,
regions, countries, or economies with rates of international collaboration lower than the U.S. rate included China (19%),
India (24%), and Russia (25%) (Figure PBS-12). Beyond the 15 largest producers of publications, the 2022 international
collaboration rates varied—Saudi Arabia (80%), Switzerland (74%), and Belgium (73%) had higher collaboration rates than
the United States, whereas Turkey (29%) and Brazil (38%) had lower collaboration rates, albeit still higher than those of
China, India, and Russia (Table SPBS-33).7
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 32
Figure PBS-12
International coauthorship of S&E publications for the 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies of S&E publications:
2022
1,000,000
750,000
Number of articles
500,000
250,000
0
a
ce
ia
n
es
ly
da
lia
il
m
an
az
in
di
re
pa
Ira
ai
Ita
ss
do
an
at
ra
na
Ch
In
Sp
Ko
Br
m
Ru
Ja
St
st
ng
Fr
Ca
er
Au
h
d
Ki
ut
te
So
ni
te
U
ni
U
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a whole count basis (i.e., each collaborating region, country, or economy is credited with one count).
Articles without international coauthorship are counts of articles with one or more institutional addresses all within a single region, country, or
economy, which include single-author articles and articles coauthored under the same institutional address. International articles are articles with
institutional addresses from more than one region, country, or economy. The numbers of articles from the international collaboration and domestic
author(s) only categories may not sum to the total article number because some coauthored publications have incomplete address information in
the Scopus database. These publications often cannot be reliably identified as international or domestic collaborations. For this reason, they are not
included in either subcategory but are still counted toward the total number of articles. For more detail, see Table SPBS-37.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The percentage of worldwide S&E articles produced with international collaboration has grown over time, increasing from
19% in 2012 to 23% in 2022 (Table SPBS-33).8 Each region, country, or economy leading in publications showed increases
in international collaboration rates (Figure PBS-13). United Kingdom researchers had international coauthors on 37% of
their articles in 2003, a percentage that had increased to 67% by 2022. Similarly, Germany’s international collaboration
rate increased from 39% to 56% over the same period. The United States and Japan both saw notable increases in
international collaborations between 2003 and 2022 (from 23% to 40% and from 19% to 32%, respectively), whereas there
was less change in the rates for China (from 15% to 19%) and India (from 19% to 24%).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 33
Figure PBS-13
Selected leading region, countries, or economies with publications with international coauthors: 2003–22
80
60
Percent of articles
40
20
0
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Year
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of journals and conference proceedings in S&E from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of
publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article.
Articles are credited on a whole count basis (i.e., each collaborating region, country, or economy is credited with one count). Articles with
international institutions are counts of articles with institutional addresses from more than one region, country, or economy. For additional
countries, see Table SPBS-33.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Over time, the top collaborators of the United States have changed. In 2004, the United Kingdom accounted for 13% of
articles that the United States coauthored internationally—the highest percentage of any partner region, country, or
economy (Figure PBS-14). By 2022, China had become the largest collaborator with the United States, with 24% of
internationally coauthored U.S. articles having a Chinese coauthor, although this represents a slight decline from 26% in
2020. Meanwhile, the percentage of U.S. internationally coauthored articles with the United Kingdom increased slightly
over this period to 14% in 2022.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 34
Figure PBS-14
U.S. international S&E publications with coauthor(s) from the United Kingdom and Asian countries: Selected years, 2004–22
30
25
20
Percent of articles
15
10
0
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Publication year
Note(s):
Articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus. Articles are
classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s)
listed in the article. Articles are credited on a whole count basis (i.e., each collaborating region, country, or economy is credited with one count).
Articles with international institutions are counts of articles with institutional addresses from more than one region, country, or economy. For more
detail, see Table SPBS-36.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The U.S.-China collaboration on publications has benefited not only both countries but also global science through the
amount of published research collaborations, funding agency support from the United States and China, and roles of
collaborators on publications (Lee and Haupt 2020). The rapid growth in U.S.-China collaborations coincided with China’s
growing scientific and technological capabilities, such as rising R&D spending and university degree awards (see
Indicators 2022 report “[2022] Higher Education in Science and Engineering”)—both of which may be contributing factors
to the U.S.-China collaboration pattern.
Rates of U.S. collaboration with other Asian regions, countries, or economies have also changed over time. From 2004 to
2022, the percentage of U.S. internationally coauthored articles with Japan decreased (from 9.1% to 5.3%), whereas the
share coauthored with India increased (from 2.4% to 5.6%). The share of U.S. international collaborations involving South
Korea grew between 2004 and 2012 (from 4.5% to 5.6%), then declined through 2022 (from 5.6% to 4.7%) as South Korea
increased its partnerships with other Asian regions, countries, or economies (Figure PBS-14; Table SPBS-35). Meanwhile,
there was little change from 2003 to 2022 in the U.S. coauthorship percentages with Canada (12% in 2022) and with
European regions, countries, or economies such as the United Kingdom (14% in 2022) and Germany (11% in 2022) (Table
SPBS-35).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 35
Normalizing international collaborations by a region, country, or economy’s publication output enables comparison
independent of its size. For example, the international collaboration index (ICI), adapted from He (2009), is obtained by
dividing a region’s, country’s, or economy’s share of collaboration with a partner by the partner’s overall share of
international collaborations with all regions, countries, or economies. An ICI value of 1.0 shows that the level of
coauthorship between two regions, countries, or economies is proportional to the partners’ overall rates of international
coauthorship. ICI values above 1.0 indicate more extensive ties between two regions, countries, or economies, whereas
values below 1.0 indicate weaker ties. In 2022, the United States had ICI values above 1.0 with Canada (1.3), South Korea
(1.1), and Brazil (1.1). ICI values between the United States and most other major research-producing regions, countries,
or economies increased between 2003 and 2022, except for South Korea (from 1.3 to 1.1), India (from 0.9 to 0.7), and
Saudi Arabia (from 0.6 to 0.4) (Figure PBS-15).
Figure PBS-15
Relative international collaboration index of selected large-producing regions, countries, or economies with the United States: 2003
and 2022
1.5
Relative international collaboration index
1.0
0.5
0.0
da
ce
a
il
ly
nd
lia
a
m
a
nd
an
az
re
in
di
bi
pa
ai
Ita
do
an
ra
na
la
Ch
In
Sp
ra
Ko
Br
m
rla
Ja
st
er
ng
Fr
Ca
iA
er
Au
he
h
itz
Ki
ud
G
ut
Sw
et
d
So
Sa
N
te
ni
U
2003 2022
Note(s):
Article counts for computing the index refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields
from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional
address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Articles are credited on a whole count basis (i.e., each collaborating region, country, or economy is
credited with one count). Regions, countries, or economies that have contributed to less than 1% of all internationally coauthored articles in 2022
are omitted. The index of collaboration is calculated as follows: ICxy = (Cxy / Cx) / (Cy / Cw), where ICxy is the index of collaboration between
country x and country y, Cxy is the number of publications coauthored between country x and country y, Cx is the total number of international
coauthorships by country x, Cy is the total number of international coauthorships by country y, and Cw is the total number of international
coauthorships in the database. For additional regions, countries, or economies, see Table SPBS-38.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The initial step to explore the state of international collaboration in the field of AI is determining the inclusion of
articles from scientific journals and conference proceedings relevant for a network analysis of AI international
collaboration.* Scopus has a series of classification groups that help isolate relevant AI work; this subset of the
Scopus data set was used to produce two network figures. The first represents the global collaboration network of AI
and displays the number of coauthored articles between regions, countries, or economies to highlight the most
prolific collaborations and collaborators. The second network focuses on the relative importance of collaborations by
normalizing for overall publication output in AI. This helps highlight smaller, but relatively important, collaborative
relationships. Together, the two figures allow for a more complete snapshot of the global collaboration network of
AI.†
Figure PBS-B shows the network of AI research collaboration. The largest contributors from 2003 to 2022, in terms of
total documents produced and the largest collaborative hubs, were China (274,096 total articles as a whole count)
and the United States (133,601) (Table SPBS-91). Indeed, this country pairing was responsible for the most
coauthored articles of any pair (13,631 articles) (Figure PBS-B). Further, of the top 10 most prolific pairs, all feature
the United States or China. The first pairing that does not is the 11th most prolific pair of the United Kingdom and
Germany (2,166). Other important contributors in the network include Australia, Japan, Canada, and Singapore. The
centrality of the United States and China may follow from their high publication output (see the section Output by
Region, Country, or Economy), which enables a greater number of network connections and echoes previously
observed patterns of collaboration at the region, country, or economy level (Leydesdorff and Wagner 2008).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 37
Figure PBS-B
AI collaboration network, by region, country, or economy: 2003–2022
AI = artificial intelligence.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 38
Note(s):
This network diagram shows the number of cowritten articles by all pairs of regions, countries, or economies within the top 60 producers of AI-
related research based on whole counting for those pairs that cowrote 400 articles or more. AI article counts refer to publications from a
selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields from Scopus that were classified as AI in the All Science Journal
Classification. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the
institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Links are only shown in a single direction, dictated by alphabetical order. The size
of the nodes is proportional to the total number of AI-related articles written by each region, country, or economy. The width of the links
between nodes is proportional to the quantity of articles both regions, countries, or economies have cowritten. Positioning of nodes is defined
using the Kamada-Kawai algorithm. For the list of regions, countries, and economies and their respective geographic regions in this figure, see
Table SPBS-91.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Although whole-counted documents produced by region, country, or economy pairs is an effective way to describe the
overall hub-centered structure of collaboration in the field of AI, in Figure PBS-C, the focus on relationships relative to
overall output highlights more regional collaboration patterns and partnerships. Instead of line thickness representing
the number of coauthored documents, it now shows the index of collaboration. This index is best interpreted as the
propensity of a region, country, or economy to collaborate with another, given their total collaborations. The baseline
of this measure is equal to 1.00, where values greater than 1.00 show a preferential collaborative relationship. This
helps highlight important relationships of regions, countries, or economies not significantly featured in Figure PBS-B.
Specifically, the values of collaborative pairs Slovakia and Czechia (30.42), Serbia and Hungary (15.79), and the United
Arab Emirates and Jordan (15.03) were notably large, given the number of coauthored publications that these
countries produced. Unsurprisingly, geography and shared history play significant roles in these relationships, but they
help illustrate smaller, and yet important, collaborative relationships in AI.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 39
Figure PBS-C
AI index of collaboration, by region, country, or economy pairs: 2003–2022
AI = artificial intelligence.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 40
Note(s):
The index of collaboration is calculated as follows: ICxy = (Cxy / Cx) / (Cy / Cw), where ICxy = index of collaboration between country x and
country y, Cxy = number of publications coauthored between country x and country y in the relevant field, Cx = total number of international
coauthorships by country x in the relevant field, Cy = total number of international coauthorships by country y in the relevant field, and Cw =
total number of international coauthorships in the relevant field overall. This network diagram shows indices of collaboration between all pairs
of regions, countries, or economies within the top 60 producers of AI-related research, based on whole counting, for pairs having an index of
collaboration higher than 1.00. AI articles refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E
fields from Scopus that were classified as AI in the All Science Journal Classification. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are
assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Links are only shown
in a single direction, dictated by alphabetical order. The size of the nodes is proportional to the total number of AI-related articles written by
each region, country, or economy. The width of the links between nodes is proportional to the index of collaboration between both regions,
countries, or economies. Positioning of nodes is defined using the Fruchterman-Reingold algorithm. For the list of regions, countries, and
economies and their respective geographic regions in this figure, see Table SPBS-91.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
In conclusion, looking at international collaboration in the field of AI through a network analysis provides some helpful
conclusions about the current state of an increasingly important field. Although the United States and China were the
most prominent actors in the global collaboration network, looking at relative relationships provides additional
perspective for important partnerships like that of Slovakia and Czechia, which would be otherwise obscured. Going
forward, AI research will likely remain an influential field affecting multiple facets of society in the coming years. The
nature of the networks producing forthcoming research will be just as important in shaping new advancements as the
international partnerships that produce them.
* Network analysis refers to a broad range of visualization, mathematical, and statistical techniques centered around
the conceptualization and depiction of entities and the relationships between them as nodes and edges (linkages
between nodes). The analyses here are descriptive.
†
Although these figures display work on AI specifically, they also show general trends in international collaboration.
For example, the large collaboration between the United States and China is not unique to AI but is true for most
subject areas. Further, the relative collaborative relationships and propensity scores are also likely true of other areas
as they highlight geographically or culturally close ties where AI research is one part of the larger collaborative
relationship. The focus on AI as an important area of study serves as a useful lens to look at these relationships and
is not shared with the purpose of distinguishing AI networks from other fields of study.
An RCI value above 1.00 shows that the citation rate between two regions, countries, or economies is higher than the
baseline (and a value below 1.00 shows a citation rate lower than the baseline), taking into account their relative
publication outputs.9 U.S. authors tended to cite English-speaking regions, countries, or economies disproportionately,
with RCI values above 1.00 for the United Kingdom (1.37), Canada (1.29), and Australia (1.07) (Table PBS-2). This finding
may also be a function of the many scientific journals being published in English (Di Bitetti and Ferreras 2016). Some
other notable European countries with high research activity had moderate RCI values based on citations from the United
States, such as Germany (0.96), France (0.93), and Italy (0.87). U.S. authors cite China (0.48), Iran (0.32), and India (0.25)
less frequently than the baseline, given the number of articles produced by those countries.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 42
Table PBS-2
Relative citation index for 15 largest producing regions, countries, or economies: 2020
(Index)
Cited region, country, or economy
Citing region, country, or economy China United States India United Kingdom Germany Italy Japan Canada France Australia Spain Russia South Korea Brazil Iran
China 2.43 0.74 0.48 0.69 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.69 0.54 0.95 0.52 0.13 0.96 0.32 0.73
United States 0.48 3.24 0.25 1.37 0.96 0.87 0.52 1.29 0.93 1.07 0.64 0.11 0.56 0.34 0.32
India 0.90 0.62 5.43 0.78 0.53 0.79 0.39 0.68 0.57 0.82 0.65 0.17 0.93 0.58 1.52
United Kingdom 0.52 1.34 0.35 6.52 1.19 1.15 0.51 1.29 1.14 1.60 0.91 0.13 0.54 0.42 0.41
Germany 0.46 1.27 0.26 1.65 6.80 1.20 0.62 1.05 1.31 1.06 0.92 0.21 0.56 0.37 0.31
Italy 0.56 1.08 0.36 1.44 1.05 8.69 0.51 0.96 1.29 0.92 1.36 0.15 0.60 0.55 0.60
Japan 0.64 1.13 0.33 1.14 1.04 0.92 8.64 0.86 1.01 0.93 0.70 0.16 0.94 0.32 0.33
Canada 0.60 1.55 0.36 1.61 0.93 0.95 0.47 8.91 1.00 1.47 0.77 0.12 0.62 0.46 0.65
France 0.53 1.26 0.33 1.63 1.37 1.47 0.66 1.16 8.66 1.08 1.13 0.20 0.57 0.51 0.40
Australia 0.67 1.21 0.40 1.83 0.88 0.83 0.46 1.39 0.82 11.02 0.77 0.11 0.63 0.45 0.61
Spain 0.58 1.03 0.42 1.49 1.04 1.78 0.48 1.04 1.21 1.16 8.84 0.16 0.63 0.75 0.66
Russia 0.61 0.75 0.50 0.90 0.96 1.01 0.55 0.70 0.91 0.73 0.79 10.15 0.60 0.47 0.70
South Korea 1.02 0.97 0.63 0.89 0.74 0.84 0.76 0.84 0.67 0.95 0.67 0.14 8.99 0.38 0.78
Brazil 0.62 0.86 0.68 1.10 0.71 1.23 0.39 0.94 0.89 1.03 1.23 0.15 0.59 10.51 1.00
Iran 1.04 0.62 1.06 0.70 0.46 1.00 0.33 0.78 0.56 0.85 0.74 0.17 0.80 0.63 11.93
Note(s):
Citations refer to publications from a selection of journals, books, and conference proceedings in S&E from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or
economy on the basis of the institutional address(es) listed in the article. Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles with collaborating institutions from multiple regions, countries, or
economies, each region, country, or economy receives fractional credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating institutions). Citation counts are based on all citations made to articles in their
publication year and in the following 2 years (i.e., 3-year citation window; scores in 2020 are based on citations to articles published in 2020 that were made in articles published in 2020–22). The relative
citation index (RCI) normalizes cross-national citation data for variations in relative size of publication output. RCI is computed by dividing the share of the citing region, country, or economy's outgoing
citations attributed to the cited region, country, or economy, then dividing that amount by the share of publications attributed to the cited region, country, or economy. An RCI of 1.00 means that the citing
region, country, or economy cites publications from the cited region, country, or economy as much as would be expected to happen randomly, showing no particular affinity between the regions, countries, or
economies. Scores higher than 1.00 mean that the citing region, country, or economy has a higher-than-expected tendency to cite the cited region, country, or economy’s S&E literature. For more detail, see
Table SPBS-39. Cells in which the region, country, or economy collaborates at or above the world average for that year are shaded green.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The RCI also provides a view into the international nature of the scientific research in each region, country, or economy by
determining the number of other regions, countries, or economies from which the region, country, or economy draws its
research (i.e., citations). For example, authors from China predominantly cited articles from China (2.43) and cite articles
from only South Korea and Australia (among the leading publication producers) near the baseline rate (Table PBS-2). Iran
(11.93) and Russia (10.15) tended to cite their own publications extensively. Conversely, France frequently cited research
from numerous other regions, countries, or economies, such as the United Kingdom (1.63), Italy (1.47), Germany (1.37),
and the United States (1.26). Many other European regions, countries, or economies displayed a similar pattern of
extensive cross-national citations.
RCI results at the scientific field level provide insights into the extent to which regions, countries, or economies build on
their own research within a given field rather than on research gleaned from elsewhere (Table SPBS-40 through Table
SPBS-53). These results are thus a proxy measure for the degree to which researchers in a given field are insular or
international in their citation behavior. For example, in 2022, the United States had an overall domestic RCI of 3.24 (Table
PBS-2). This means that U.S. articles had more than three times as many citations to earlier U.S. publications than the
baseline, given the number of these earlier U.S. publications. In materials science, the United States had a domestic RCI of
6.68 in 2022 (Figure PBS-16), which means that there are more than six times as many citations to U.S. articles as the
baseline. This suggests that U.S. materials science researchers built particularly extensively on earlier U.S. research. The
same holds true in agricultural sciences (4.92), natural resources and conservation (4.86), and chemistry (4.60).
Meanwhile, the United States had a lower domestic RCI in astronomy and astrophysics (1.89), psychology (2.00), and
health sciences (2.37), suggesting that U.S. researchers in these fields had a relatively stronger connection to
international research. That said, these RCIs remain above 1.00 because researchers tend to cite domestic publications
disproportionately.
Figure PBS-16
Psychology
Health sciences
Social sciences
Engineering
Field
Physics
Chemistry
Agricultural sciences
Materials science
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Note(s):
Article counts for computing the index refer to publications from a selection of conference proceedings and peer-reviewed journals in S&E fields
from Scopus. Articles are classified by their year of publication and are assigned to a region, country, or economy on the basis of the institutional
address(es) of the author(s) listed in the article. Articles are credited on a whole count basis (i.e., each collaborating region, country, or economy is
credited with one count). Regions, countries, or economies that have contributed to less than 1% of all internationally coauthored articles in 2022
are omitted. The domestic relative citation index is calculated as follows: ICxy = (Cxy / Cx) / (Cy / Cw), where ICxy is the index of collaboration
between country x and country y, Cxy is the number of publications coauthored between country x and country y, Cx is the total number of
international coauthorships by country x, Cy is the total number of international coauthorships by country y, and Cw is the total number of
international coauthorships in the database.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
To conclude this section, the findings from the analysis of international collaborations and citations reveal that regions,
countries, or economies had wide variations in their propensity to collaborate with international partners, although all
major regions, countries, or economies increased their collaboration rate over time. Researchers in the United States
collaborated increasingly with Asian partners—most notably from China. Meanwhile, international citation patterns reveal
that the United States disproportionately cited publications from established research communities, including its own,
with its international connections varying widely across scientific fields.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 45
Conclusion
Based on the overall size of the U.S. contribution to S&E research publication output and its relative impact, as measured
by citations to its S&E publications, the United States remains a highly influential nation. The publication outputs of the
United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the EU-27 are concentrated in health sciences, whereas publications from
China and India focused more on engineering and computer and information sciences, respectively. In terms of S&E
publication quantity, China’s output has grown rapidly and is now nearly double that of the United States. In terms of
impact among S&E publications, China has increased rapidly in the last decade. The high-income economies (including
the United States, the EU-27, and Japan) have slowly increased their large base of S&E publications, whereas middle-
income and upper-middle-income economies have rapidly increased their production, collaboration, and impact despite
beginning from a smaller S&E publications base.
International research collaboration is increasing, reflecting traditional ties across regions, countries, or economies and
new relationships that stem from growing capabilities in the middle-income economies. Greater publication output—with
greater and more diverse collaborations—means more regions, countries, or economies are contributing, and many are
doing so with U.S. authors. Finally, OA articles showed considerable growth in terms of output and impact. The growth of
open science should continue to impact the way research is produced, consumed, and cited in coming years.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 46
Glossary
Definitions
Citations: Citations, generally at the end of each article, provide researchers with the list of the prior research relied on for
the article. Citations of S&E publications by other S&E publications provide an indication of the impact of publications and
of the flow of knowledge or linkage between sectors or geographic locations.
Coauthorship: Coauthorship refers to cases in which more than one author is listed on a publication. Data on
coauthorship can be used to measure collaboration across regions, countries, economies, and institutional sectors.
Publication counts of coauthorship use whole counting, so each region, country, or economy contributing to the article
receives credit for that article. An article is considered to contain an international coauthorship when institutional
addresses for its authors are located in two or more different regions, countries, or economies. Table SPBS-36 shows
international coauthorship from 2003 to 2022.
European Union (EU-27): The EU comprises 27 member nations: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the
Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden. Bulgaria and Romania joined the EU in
2007, and Croatia joined in 2013—these nations are included in the EU grouping for all years analyzed in this report. In
2020, the United Kingdom left the EU, and data covering the United Kingdom are excluded from the EU-27 in the text of the
report but are available in the supplemental tables as “EU-27 and United Kingdom.”
Fractional counting: A method of counting S&E publications in which credit for coauthored publications is divided among
the collaborating institutions or regions, countries, or economies based on the proportion of their participating authors.
Fractional counting allocates the publication count based on the proportion of the coauthors named on the article with
institutional addresses from each region, country, or economy. Fractional counting enables the counts to sum up to the
number of total articles. For example, if a publication were authored by two researchers from the University of Oslo, one
from University College London, and one from the University of Washington, half of the publication would be attributed to
Norway, and a quarter each to the United Kingdom and the United States when the fractions are calculated at the level of
researchers. For this report, fractions were calculated at the level of researchers. If an author provides multiple
institutions, and those institutions are in different regions, countries, or economies, then each region, country, or economy
receives an appropriate fraction of the count.
Highly cited article (HCA): An HCA ratio provides an indication of scientific impact (Waltman, van Eck, and Wouters
2013). The HCA ratio for a region, country, or economy is calculated as the share of all articles published in a given year by
authors with institutional addresses within that region, country, or economy that fall within the top 1% by citation count of
all articles published that year, measured for each research field. The HCA ratio is indexed to 1.00, so a region, country, or
economy whose authors produce highly cited articles at the expected (i.e., global average) rate has an HCA ratio of 1.00—
that is, 1% of the region’s, country’s, or economy’s articles are among the top 1% of the world’s highly cited articles. A
region, country, or economy with an HCA ratio greater than 1.00 is producing a disproportionately high level of articles
with exceptional scientific impact, whereas a region, country, or economy whose authors produce relatively fewer
influential articles will have an HCA ratio below 1.00.
International collaboration index (ICI): The ICI helps identify the propensity of collaboration between two regions,
countries, or economies. The ICI is calculated as follows: Icxy = (Cxy / Cx) / (Cy / Cw), where Icxy is the index of
collaboration between country x and country y, Cxy is the number of publications coauthored between country x and
country y, Cx is the total number of international coauthorships by country x, Cy is the total number of international
coauthorships by country y, and Cw is the total number of international coauthorships in the database. An index greater
than 1.0 means that a country-country pair has a stronger-than-expected tendency to collaborate; an index less than 1.0
indicates a weaker-than-expected tendency to collaborate (Table SPBS-38).
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 47
Open access (OA): OA refers to peer-reviewed publications that are accessible online to any reader without requiring a
journal subscription or other fees from readers (Piwowar et al. 2018). Several commonly defined types of OA have been
adopted for the purposes of this analysis. Gold OA denotes articles published in journals that are entirely OA as a matter
of journal policy. Hybrid OA refers to articles appearing in closed-access journals where the authors have paid a fee to
make the article OA. Bronze OA denotes articles in closed-access journals that become OA after an embargo period of
closed access or articles that appear available as OA despite lacking the license information to guarantee OA in the long
term. Green OA denotes articles that are self-archived by authors in OA repositories, which are often maintained and
administered by universities or other institutions.
Relative citation (RC): The RC is a normalization of the relative scientific impact of publications produced by a given
region, country, or economy that takes into consideration variations in citation behavior between fields and years of
publication. For a publication in a given scientific field and publication year, the citation count is divided by the average
count of all publications in the relevant field and publication year.
Relative citation index (RCI): The RCI normalizes cross-national citation data for variations in relative size of publication
output. It is computed by dividing the share of the citing region’s, country’s, or economy’s outgoing citations going to the
cited region, country, or economy, then dividing this number by the share of publications attributed to the cited region,
country, or economy.
Whole counting: This measure (also called full or integer counting) assigns one count to each region, country, or economy
or institutional sector involved in coauthoring the article, irrespective of its proportionate involvement in authorship.
Although fractional counting aims to assess the proportionate contributions of regions, countries, or economies or
sectors, whole counting aims to assess the participation of regions, countries, or economies or sectors. One result of this
difference is that the sum of articles from regions, countries, or economies or institutional sectors will exceed the total
number of articles when whole counting is used. For the United States in 2022, there were 458,000 publications in the
Scopus database as measured on a fractional-count basis and 608,000 as measured on a whole-count basis (Table
SPBS-2 and Table SPBS-17). In the full-counting method, each publication is counted once for each entity listed in the
address field. For example, if a publication were authored by two researchers from the University of Oslo, one from
University College London, and one from the University of Washington, the publication would be counted once for Norway,
once for the United Kingdom, and once for the United States. When it comes to aggregating groups of institutions (e.g.,
research consortia) or groups of countries (e.g., the EU-27), double counting is avoided. This means that if authors from
Croatia and France co-published an article, this publication would be credited only once when counting publications for
the EU-27, although each country had been credited with one publication count.
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National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 52
Notes
1 Publication output includes only those indexed in the Scopus database. The publication output discussion uses
fractional counting, which credits coauthored publications according to the collaborating institutions or regions, countries,
or economies based on the proportion of their participating authors. Country assignments refer to the institutional
address of authors, with partial credit given for each international coauthorship. As part of the data analysis, filters were
employed on the raw Scopus S&E publication data to remove publications with questionable quality, which appear in what
are sometimes called predatory journals (NSB Indicators 2018: Bibliometric Data Filters).
2 The proportion of output attributable to the large producers is consistent whether using fractional counting, as in Figure
PBS-2 and Table PBS-1, or whole counting, as in Table SPBS-17. There is a slight difference between the United States
and China when looking at the whole-counting total production numbers. Using whole counting for 2022, the United States
had 605,633 articles, whereas China had 976,141. A whole-counting measure allocates one full count to each region,
country, or economy with an author contributing to the article; in fractional counting, each region, country, or economy
receives a proportion of the count based on the number of authors from that region, country, or economy. For example, if
an article had four authors—two from the United States, one from China, and one from Brazil—the fractional scores would
be half for the United States, a quarter for China, and a quarter for Brazil. The difference between whole and fractional
counting indicates that the United States has more authors working with Chinese authors than China has working with
U.S. authors.
3 The use of whole counting or fractional counting to tally the publication output of nations can change the calculated
publication count based on the degree to which a region, country, or economy is involved in international collaborations.
Under whole counting, a nation receives credit for any publication with an author from that nation. Under fractional
counting, the nation’s credit for a publication is prorated based on the share of the publication’s coauthors who are
located in that nation (Table SPBS-17 through Table SPBS-31).
4 Many publishers make their article processing charges (APCs) known publicly. For example, a list of Elsevier APCs can
be found at [Link] Wiley APCs are at [Link]
author-resources/Journal-Authors/open-access/[Link]. Springer Nature APCs are at https://
[Link]/gp/open-research/journals-books/journals.
5 In mathematical terms, a region, country, or economy’s HCA ratio (the share of the articles ranked in the highest 1%
based on citations) is computed as follows: Sx = HCAx / Ax, where Sx is the share of output from country x in the top 1%
most-cited articles, HCAx is the number of articles from country x that are among the top 1% of most-cited articles, and Ax
is the total number of articles from country x with a relative citation (RC) score. HCAx and Ax are based on whole
counting. The RC score is a normalized citation score assigned to a publication and is used to rank articles into the top
1%. The RC score takes into consideration the citation behavior between fields and years of publication. Based on the
observation that distinct differences in the citation rates of articles appear 2 years or more after publication, the HCA ratio
is calculated with a time lag of at least 2 years (meaning that in 2021, the HCA ratios were calculated based on
publications issued in 2019).
6 For an analysis of the rapid growth in articles published each year by MPDI, see Petrou (2020).
7 Regions, countries, or economies contributing less than 1% of all internationally coauthored publications in 2020 were
not included in the analysis.
8 The total international collaboration rate differs from the rate of co-publications of individual regions, countries, or
economies. Individual scores use whole counting, in which each region, country, or economy with an institutional address
on the publication receives 1 point. Therefore, the basis count for individual regions, countries, or economies will be larger
than the number of publications that have authors with institutional addresses from two or more regions, countries, or
economies, which is the basis for computing the total international collaboration rate.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 53
9 RCI is a citation-based measure of scientific influence. It is calculated from a region, country, or economy’s share of all
cited S&E publications divided by the other region, country, or economy’s share of all cited S&E publications; an index less
than 1.00 means a lower-than-expected tendency to cite the other region, country, or economy’s publications.
10 Because the bibliometric database is constantly updated, the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
(NCSES) does not recommend comparing bibliometric data across different editions of Indicators. For each edition of
Indicators, NCSES uses a fixed snapshot of the database. This means that although trends are comparable, the exact
number of articles, citations, and other data will vary across editions. For more information about comparing fixed versus
dynamic journal data sets, see Schneider et al. (2019).
11 Bibliometric databases such as Dimensions and Crossref are larger than Scopus and do not provide the same level of
curation.
12 More information about the selection of journals and conference papers is available at [Link]
online-tools/scopus/content-overview and [Link]
content-policy-and-selection.
13 For articles on low-quality publications, see Beall (2012), Bohannon (2013), Carey (2016), and Kolata (2013).
14 In DOAJ, journals can be flagged for the following reasons: (1) suspected editorial misconduct by the publisher or
society, (2) invalid International Standard Serial Number (ISSN) or an ISSN not registered or in ISSN database, (3) invalid
contact information, or (4) no editorial board. For the DOAJ list of excluded journals, see [Link]
spreadsheets/d/183mRBRqs2jOyP0qZWXN8dUd02D4vL0Mov_kgYF8HORM/edit#gid=0. Note that DOAJ also flags
serials that are no longer available in open access; although an important and evolving phenomenon in the research
landscape, open access status is not associated here with any specific demarcation of quality, whether low or high. Thus,
NCSES does not filter the titles flagged by DOAJ solely for open access–related reasons out of the Indicators database.
Acknowledgments
The National Science Board (NSB) extends its appreciation to the staff of the National Center for Science and Engineering
Statistics (NCSES) within the National Science Foundation and to the many others, too numerous to list individually, who
contributed to the preparation of this report.
This report was produced under the leadership of Emilda B. Rivers, Director, NCSES; Christina Freyman, Deputy Director,
NCSES; and John Finamore, Chief Statistician, NCSES. The report benefited from extensive contributions from NCSES
staff, including Christina Freyman and Amy Burke. Alexandria Hughes provided advice on statistical issues. Clara Boothby
(Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Engineering) also provided subject-matter expertise and drafting support.
RTI International assisted with report preparation under the leadership of Dr. Susan Rotermund. Alison Bean de Hernandez
and Dr. Adams Bailey performed analyses and generated visualizations from the publications data. Robin Henke led the
work on data quality assurance; August Gering led the editing team, with composition support from Alex Cone. Rossana
Zetina-Beale and Deborah Kulik provided project management support. Staff at Penobscot Bay Media, LLC (PenBay
Media), created the report site. The following persons and agencies reviewed this report:
NSB is especially grateful to the Committee on National Science and Engineering Policy for overseeing preparation of the
volume and to the National Science Board Office, under the direction of John Veysey, which provided vital coordination
throughout the project. Nadine Lymn led the outreach and dissemination efforts. Amanda Vernon served as Board Office
Liaison to the committee. Carol Robbins, Steve Deitz, May Aydin, and Anne Emig were the Executive Secretaries.
Citation
National Science Board, National Science Foundation. 2023. Publications Output: U.S. Trends and International
Comparisons. Science and Engineering Indicators 2024. NSB-2023-33. Alexandria, VA. Available at [Link]
pubs/nsb202333/.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 55
Technical Appendix
The Science and Engineering Indicators 2024 report “Publications Output: U.S. Trends and International
Comparisons” (PBS) uses a large database of publication records as a source of bibliometric data. Bibliometric data
include each article’s title, author(s), authors’ institution(s), references, journal title, unique article-identifying information
(journal volume, issue, and page numbers or digital object identifier), and year or date of publication. The PBS report uses
Scopus, a bibliometric database owned by Elsevier and containing scientific literature with English titles and abstracts, to
examine national and global scientific publication–related activity.10 This appendix discusses the Scopus data and data
limitations. More detailed documentation of the Scopus data and computation of bibliometric indicators is available in the
report Bibliometric Indicators for the Science and Engineering Indicators 2024. Technical Documentation (Science-Metrix
2023).
Data
The counts, coauthorships, and citations presented in the PBS report are derived from information about research articles
and conference papers (hereafter referred to collectively as articles) published in conference proceedings and peer-
reviewed scientific and technical journals. All journals and conference proceedings must pass the standards for inclusion
in Scopus, which includes reaching criteria for relevance and peer review. The articles exclude editorials, commentaries,
errata, letters, and other material that do not present or discuss scientific data, theories, methods, apparatuses, or
experiments. The articles also exclude working papers, which are not generally peer reviewed. The bibliometric data
undergo review and processing to create the data presented in the PBS report (Science-Metrix 2023).
Beginning in the Indicators 2016 report, the PBS report’s analysis shifted from using Web of Science by Clarivate
(previously Thompson-Reuters) to the Scopus database by Elsevier. In 2016, an examination of the two databases found
expanded data coverage in Scopus of internationally recognized peer-reviewed scientific journals (NSB Indicators 2016:
New Data Source for Indicators Expands Global Coverage). Since 2016, both databases have continued to expand
coverage. A recent study comparing the databases found 27 million documents in Scopus and 23 million in Web of
Science, with an overlap of 18 million (Visser, van Eck, and Waltman 2020). The Indicators 2024 PBS report uses the
Scopus database to ensure the broadest coverage of a curated database.11
This section of the Technical Appendix continues with a brief overview of the database composition, followed by an
explanation of potential biases in the data, such as exclusion of non-peer-reviewed articles, English-language bias, and the
reasoning behind removing conference papers from the highly cited article (HCA) ratio.
Database Composition
Journal selection. Elsevier selects journals for the Scopus database based on evaluation by an international group of
subject-matter experts who examine a candidate journal’s editorial policy, content quality, peer-review policies, peer-
review process and capacity, citations by other publications, editor standing, regularity of publication, and content
availability.
Conference selection. Elsevier selects conference materials for the Scopus database by subject field based on quality
and relevancy, including the reputations of the sponsoring organization and the publisher of the proceedings.12
Database Filtering
The National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NCSES) undertakes additional filtering of the Scopus data to
ensure that the statistics presented in Indicators measure original and high-quality research publications (Science-Metrix
2023). Around 2011, librarians and bibliometric experts began to note an increase in articles in the database from
electronic journals and conference proceedings lacking substantive peer review.13 To exclude these publications from the
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 56
bibliometric data used in this report, NCSES removed journals and conference papers flagged by the Directory of Open
Access Journals (DOAJ) for failing to adhere to its list of best practices or being suspected of editorial misconduct.14
Titles removed by Elsevier from the Scopus database beginning in 2014 were removed retroactively from the Indicators
database for all publication years (Science-Metrix 2023).15
As a result, NCSES removed 2% or fewer articles from the Scopus database prior to 2011, followed by about 4% (more
than 88,000 articles) in 2011, then peaked with 5% to 6% (about 111,000 to 145,000 articles) each year from 2012 to 2014
(Figure SAPBS-1).16 Since then, the removal rate has declined.
Figure SAPBS-1
4,000,000 7
3,500,000
6
3,000,000
5
Number of publications
Percent of publications
2,500,000
4
2,000,000
3
1,500,000
2
1,000,000
1
500,000
0 0
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Year
Note(s):
Percent change is computed as the difference in number of publications between the filtered and the unfiltered approaches divided by the number
of publications in the unfiltered approach.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
The filtering has different impacts by region, country, or economy and field of science. NCSES has examined the effect of
this filtering to better understand any potential bias. Figure SAPBS-2 shows the numerical impact of the filters by region,
country, or economy. From 2008 to 2022, India had the largest percentage of articles removed (approximately 12% of
India’s total unfiltered article count), followed by China (5%) (Figure SAPBS-2). By subject field, materials science (18% of
articles filtered out) and computer and information sciences (9%) were the fields with the most filtered articles (Figure
SAPBS-3).
Figure SAPBS-2
Impact of removing low-quality publications from Scopus, by selected region, country, or economy: 2008–22
14
12
Percent change after removal
10
0
India China Japan France Germany United States
Note(s):
Articles are credited on a fractional count basis (i.e., for articles from multiple regions, countries, or economies, each region, country, or economy
receives fractional credit on the basis of the proportion of its participating authors). Percent change is computed as the difference in number of
publications between the filtered and the unfiltered approaches divided by the number of publications in the unfiltered approach.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
Figure SAPBS-3
Psychology
Chemistry
Engineering
Physics
Agricultural sciences
Health sciences
Social sciences
Materials science
0 5 10 15 20
Note(s):
Percent change is computed as the difference in number of publications between the filtered and the unfiltered approaches divided by the number
of publications in the unfiltered approach.
Source(s):
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Science-Metrix; Elsevier, Scopus abstract and citation database, accessed April 2023.
English-Language Bias
The Scopus database is constructed from articles and conference proceedings with an English-language title and
abstract; therefore, the database contains an unmeasurable bias because not all science and engineering (S&E) articles
and conference proceedings meet the English language requirement (Elsevier 2020). Scopus uses English because of its
widespread acceptance as the assumed global language of science, and research shows that a representative plurality of
researchers publish in English (Amano, González-Varo, and Sutherland 2016). Most notably, this restriction may
undercount contributions from non-English-speaking regions, countries, or economies, but multiple factors influence
global researchers’ decisions to publish in English that may also affect the prominence of non-English-speaking regions,
countries, or economies in Scopus.
Publication output data for non-English-speaking regions, countries, or economies also underestimate the S&E research
output for China, Japan, and others (Amano, González-Varo, and Sutherland 2016; Xie and Freeman 2019). Therefore,
when comparing English-speaking and non-English-speaking regions, countries, or economies (e.g., Figure PBS-3; Table
PBS-1), there is a bias such that the non-English-speaking ones will be undercounted in the numbers of publications and
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 59
citations. The bias varies by scientific field. Bibliometric researchers have found a native-language preference in citations
(Liang, Rousseau, and Zhong 2012), and the social sciences exhibit more substantial linguistic bias than physical
sciences, engineering, and mathematics (Mongeon and Paul-Hus 2015). One solution undertaken by Elsevier is to
increase publications from non-English-speaking regions, countries, or economies.
Generally, conference papers are cited less frequently than journal articles. Thus, a greater proportion of conference
papers in the total article count for a region, country, or economy would tend to reduce impact based on HCA
computation. Depending on the normalization approach, the score of regions, countries, or economies could be heavily
impacted compared with others because conference papers represent a larger proportion of their output. The issue is
demonstrated in a simplified two-country example. Both countries publish 1,000 journal articles, but one publishes 10
conference papers, and the other publishes 200 conference papers. Assume that, based on the 1,000 journal articles, both
countries have the same impact. If scores are lower for conference papers, adding conference papers into the
computation will reduce the combined HCA score of the country with 200 conference papers. Therefore, in this case, two
countries with similar impact in research published in journals may have a different overall impact because of the
propensity of one to also send people to conferences.
In other cases, conference papers can increase the HCA for a region, country, or economy. Some fields of science publish
and cite conference proceedings at different rates. A field with a low average number of citations for each article can have
an increase in HCA by including conference papers, even those with relatively few citations. For example, if the country’s
average number of citations is one and a conference paper receives two citations, the normalized impact of the
conference paper will be 2.0, which is quite high. Adding these high-impact conference papers could boost the score of a
country that specializes in a field with a below-average number of article citations and whose researchers participate in an
above-average number of conferences.
The Indicators 2024 PBS report removes conference proceedings from the HCA but keeps conference proceedings in the
total output and collaboration analysis because conference proceedings for some fields and regions, countries, or
economies are an important component of their output. The exception to this rule is for computer and information
sciences. The HCAs for computer and information sciences for journal articles alone and for journal articles plus
conference proceedings show similar HCA trends for the United States and China (Table SPBS-69). For both countries,
including conference proceedings boosts the HCA from 2014 through 2018. Computer and information sciences was
selected for this comparison because conference proceedings are close to 20% of the references in that field (Lisée,
Larivière, and Archambault 2008).
Field Categorization
Articles were categorized by S&E fields corresponding to the 14 fields of science in the NCSES Taxonomy of Disciplines
(TOD) (Science-Metrix 2023). This categorization first assigns the journal to one of the 176 subfields in the Science-Metrix
classification, then to the TOD. This approach works well for most journals and fields—all of dentistry is assigned to health
sciences, for example. Challenges arise for subfields that are more general, such as energy, and for multidisciplinary
journals, such as Science or Nature. For these fields and journals, classification occurs at the article level based on an
algorithm that uses author affiliations, the names of journals referenced in the bibliography, the titles of the references,
the publication’s abstract, the publication’s author-defined keywords, the publication’s title, and the scientific field of
references.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 60
Indicator Description
Degree The degree of a node is the number of edges connected to the node. In the context of an
international collaboration network, this corresponds to the number of other regions,
countries, or economies with which the region, country, or economy has collaborated. In this
case, the maximum value of this indicator is the number of nodes in the network minus one
because the node that has its degree computed cannot have collaborated with itself.
Node strength The node strength is the sum of the weights of edges connected to the node. For international
collaboration, a single paper can generate multiple collaboration links. For example, if one
author from the United States cowrote an article with two authors from France and one author
from Canada, this article generates three collaboration links: United States–France, United
States–Canada, and Canada-France, each with a weight of one, regardless of the number of
authors.
National Science Board | Science & Engineering Indicators | NSB-2023-33 61
Betweenness centrality Betweenness centrality measures how often a given node in a network lies along the shortest
paths between two other nodes that are not directly connected to one another. For example,
this indicator would highlight entities that play an important brokering role, acting as a
connecting link between entities that do not co-publish with one another directly. Nodes with a
high betweenness centrality score are the bridges that connect relatively isolated islands of
research communities within the overall topography. These entities play an important role in
the interconnection of subgroups within the network as a whole.
Closeness centrality Closeness centrality assesses the degrees of separation between one node and other nodes
within a network. That is, it assesses the length of the chains that connect a given node to the
rest of its community. Although, for example, betweenness centrality highlights entities that
play an interconnecting role for their community, closeness centrality measures the level of
access that a given entity has to its surrounding community. It highlights those that can tap
into a large section of a network without passing through many degrees of separation or
through distant and mediated connections.
When calculating closeness centrality, a node directly connected to every other node in the
network would score 1, the highest possible closeness centrality score.
Weighted eigenvector Weighted eigenvector centrality is a measure of the level of integration of a node in a
centrality collaboration network. The level of integration of nodes within a collaboration network is
reflected by the number of nodes to which they are connected and the quality of their
collaborations (i.e., the strength of the ties measured by the number of coauthored
publications and the importance of the nodes to which they are connected in the network).
The mathematical definition of eigenvector centrality is such that the centrality score of a
node in a network is proportional to the sum of the centrality scores of all nodes connected to
it. Thus, this indicator offers a good appreciation of the number and quality of an entity’s
collaborations because connections to high-scoring nodes contribute more to the score of
that entity than equal connections to low-scoring nodes. A node scoring high for this indicator
operates closer to the core of the network than a low-scoring node. High-scoring nodes are
central and highly important to the network’s structure. Eigenvector centrality provides a good
appreciation of the integration of individual entities within a network; that is, the higher the
score, the more integrated the entity. The weighted version of the indicator accounts for the
size of the tie between nodes. Centrality scores are typically normalized between 1 (most
central node) and 0 (least central node).
Weighted PageRank PageRank, made famous through its use by the Google search engine, is a variant of
eigenvector centrality. It can be thought of as the result of a random walk, meaning that the
PageRank score of a given node corresponds to the probability that someone starting on a
random node of the network and randomly following edges will end the walk on a particular
node. The weighted version of the algorithm makes stronger links more likely to be followed
than weaker links. PageRanks are shown as percentages to clearly indicate the share of
random walks in which the end point was the given node. All scores sum to 100%. In
undirected networks, weighted PageRank yields results very similar to node strength.
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Report Authors
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Interdisciplinary Science Analyst
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NCSES)
beschnei@[Link]
Jeffrey Alexander
Director, Innovation Policy
RTI International, under contract to NCSES
Patrick Thomas
Founding Partner
1790 Analytics LLC, under contract to RTI International
NCSES
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Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences
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Fractional counting methods impact our understanding of countries' contributions by providing a nuanced view of how publications are credited when produced by authors from multiple countries. This approach offers a more accurate representation of each country's input relative to the proportion of contributing authors, ensuring that credit reflects collaborative efforts rather than skewed national pride from whole-counting methods. This results in more equitable data, portraying a clearer picture of international scientific collaboration and comparative scientific productivity .
The changing landscape of scientific publications, characterized by rising contributions from upper-middle-income countries, could compel research institutions in high-income countries to recalibrate their strategic priorities. These institutions might increase their focus on fostering international collaboration to maintain global relevance, invest in emerging fields to stay competitive, and develop partnerships with rapidly advancing countries. Additionally, a greater emphasis on interdisciplinary research and innovation could become a priority to extract maximum value from collaborations and maintain leadership in science and technology .
International collaboration in scientific research has grown from 19% of worldwide articles in 2012 to 23% in 2022. Countries like the UK and Germany have shown substantial increases, with the UK's international collaboration rates rising from 37% to 67% and Germany's from 39% to 56% during this period. The United States and Japan also saw notable growth in international collaborations, with increases from 23% to 40% and from 19% to 32%, respectively. Conversely, China and India showed modest increases, with their collaboration rates rising from 15% to 19% and from 19% to 24% respectively .
From 2010 to 2022, the top producers of scientific and engineering articles consistently included countries like China, the United States, and India. Throughout this period, the set of the top 15 producers remained largely unchanged, with Iran notably replacing Taiwan from 2014 onwards. This change reflects Iran's growing contributions to global scientific output, partly a result of increased investment in research and education .
The substantial increase in scientific publications by upper-middle-income economies like China and India can be attributed to several factors including increased research funding, improvements in higher education systems, and concerted government policies encouraging scientific research. China accounted for 42% of the additional worldwide publications from 2010 to 2022, leveraging significant investment in R&D and an expansion in research capacity. Similarly, India contributed 11% to this global growth owing to its developments in higher education and scientific infrastructure .
The shift in the United States' international collaboration preferences from primarily the UK to China indicates a significant change in global research dynamics, reflecting China's growing prominence as a leading scientific nation. By 2022, China accounted for 24% of the U.S.'s international collaborations, overtaking the UK, which was the primary collaborator in 2004. This shift illustrates an acknowledgment of China's expanding research capabilities and the strategic importance of engaging with China for access to resources, talent, and innovative research opportunities .
From 2010 to 2022, upper-middle-income economies such as China and India have seen a more rapid growth in scientific publications compared to high-income economies. China and India together accounted for more than half of the growth in global publication output, with significant increases in research production. This trend suggests a rebalancing of global scientific influence, as emerging economies contribute increasingly to scientific discourse, potentially shifting the center of innovation and scientific authority .
International collaboration significantly enhances the scientific output of leading countries by pooling resources, expertise, and diverse perspectives, leading to higher-quality and more impactful research. The United Kingdom's scientific articles predominantly involve international collaborations, with 67% of its articles in 2022 featuring international coauthors. For the United States, its collaboration with China has become the most significant, with China contributing to 24% of the U.S.'s internationally coauthored articles by 2022, highlighting a strong and impactful partnership .
The increased fraction of scientific articles involving international coauthors is likely to enhance the quality and impact of scientific research. International collaborations bring diverse perspectives, expertise, and resources, often leading to more innovative and comprehensive studies. This collaboration can also enhance the visibility and citation of research articles, as they reach broader international audiences, thereby increasing their impact. Additionally, cross-border collaborations may address global challenges more effectively by leveraging a multiplicity of viewpoints and knowledge bases .
Increased domestic research investments and supportive governmental policies have significantly influenced the scientific output of China and India. For China, massive investments in R&D, infrastructure development, and strategic initiatives to become a global leader in science and technology have propelled its scientific output, accounting for a large portion of the growth in global publications. Similarly, India's emphasis on expanding its higher education system and enhancing research capabilities has led to its significant contributions to the rise in worldwide publications .