Not all money is equal. The Smart Money Score proves it.
Grade-weighted conviction scoring. See which side the best traders are on — and how much they're risking.
How It Works
01
Weigh by grade
Higher-graded traders carry significantly more weight. Lower-graded traders are excluded entirely. The score reflects informed capital, not crowd sentiment.
02
Net per trader
Each trader's buys and sells are netted per outcome. Only real directional commitment counts — not gross volume.
03
Normalize to a signal
Weighted conviction is aggregated per side and normalized to a single percentage. 82% YES means the smart money strongly favors that outcome.
Grade Influence
S
Highest
A
High
B
Moderate
C
Low
D
Excluded
F
Excluded
One S-grade trader dominates many lower-graded wallets at the same dollar amount. The score reflects the quality of capital behind each side — not the quantity of wallets.
What It Factors In
Grade-weighted positioning
Higher-graded traders carry significantly more weight. The relationship between grade and influence is non-linear.
Dollar conviction, not headcount
Larger positions at risk carry more signal. Position size is a conviction proxy — the score reflects capital deployed.
Net conviction netting
Buys and sells are netted per trader. Gross volume obscures the real signal. Netting reveals true directional commitment.
Category expertise
Traders with a proven track record in a category carry more weight than those betting outside their expertise.
Position caps
No single whale dominates the score. Caps ensure collective intelligence from multiple skilled traders, not one mega-position.
Reading The Score
| Score | Label | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| ≥80% | Strongly leans [outcome] | Clear directional conviction from top traders |
| 63–79% | Slightly leans [outcome] | Mild directional lean worth monitoring |
| Split | Smart money split | Graded traders are on both sides — no clear consensus |
| 63–79% | Slightly leans [other] | Mild lean toward the opposite outcome |
| ≥80% | Strongly leans [other] | Clear conviction the other way |
Uses actual outcome names (e.g. “Suns”, “Celtics”) instead of YES/NO where available. The trader count shows how many graded traders contributed — higher count means higher confidence.
How Traders Use This
01
Confirmation
Already like a market? Check if top-graded traders agree. A strong Smart Money Score on your side adds conviction to pull the trigger.
02
Contrarian edge
When the crowd is 70% YES but smart money is 80% NO, someone knows something. These divergences are worth investigating.
03
Market discovery
Sort trending markets by Smart Money Score to find where elite traders are concentrating capital. Discover markets you weren't watching.
See where the best traders are positioned
The Smart Money Score is live on every trending market in the terminal. Available on the free tier — no subscription required.