The science of becoming President: Researchers reveal the psychological tricks candidates are using to boost turnouts
- Voting turnout increases when campaign says will follow-up with voters
- Nominees help voters make plans to go to polls by asking caucus details
- Fliers highlighting voter's history and neighbor's increase voting rates
With Election Day drawing near and just a few candidates still standing, nominees are using every trick in the book to gain votes.
But aside from the encouraging speeches and smiling faces pushing people to the polls, researchers say nominees have also adopted behavioral science to increase voting rates.
Experts say nominees use subtle phrases and science-based communication to impact turnout, and those who use these methods have a higher chance of moving into The White House.
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With Election Day drawing near and just three candidates still standing, nominees are using every strategy in the book to gain votes. But other than speeches of encouragement and smiling faces, experts say nominees also use subtle phrases and science-based communication to impact voter turnout
'If you dissect anyone's scripts to get out the vote, it's clear they are using our stuff,' Todd Rogers, a behavioral scientist and associate professor of public policy at Harvard Kennedy School, told CNN.
Researchers have been paying close attention to what motives the American public to exercise their right to vote and picked up on a few phrases in Get-Out-the-Vote (GOTV) campaign that are found to impact the polls.
They suggests voting rates increase when a campaign says they might follow-up after the polls close.
Rogers and his colleagues discovered this by conducting an experimented with more than 700,000 people who received GOTV letters before the 2010 election.
The team created three different groups: one received a letter with a phrase known to increase voter turnout, another highlighted reminders that a voter's election participation record was available and the last received nothing at all.
Letters containing the phrase, 'we may call you after the election to ask about your voting experience' were more than three times effective than the average GOTV letter and the second letter was found to be more than twice as powerful.
Prior to the Iowa caucus, Hillary Clinton used her speech to encourage voters to attend by asking details about their caucus site. Most are sure that Clinton knew the details, but this move highlighted voter information about the caucus location and operation hours to the public -- which she won
'For many practitioners, our results provide a practical, inexpensive, and effective strategy for increasing observability when soliciting public goods contributions via private communication,' the authors write in the study published in PNAS.
'Our results [also] add to the field evidence that public goods contributions can be increased by making contributions more observable – even by merely suggesting that there may be magnified observability.'
'Finally, our results provide additional evidence that voting can be increased by interventions which might affect reputations.'
Rogers has seen behavior science-based communications used successfully in earlier primaries.
The team created three different groups: one received a letter with a phrase known to increase voter turnout (left), another highlighted reminders that a voter's election participation record was available (right) and the last received nothing at all
Letters containing the phrase, 'we may call you after the election to ask about your voting experience' were more than three times effective than the average GOTV letter and the second letter was found to be more than twice as powerful
Prior to the Iowa caucus, Hillary Clinton used her speech to encourage voters to attend by asking details about their caucus site.
Most are sure that Clinton knew the details, but this move highlighted voter information about the caucus location and operation hours to the public -- which she won.
This method is found in another study Rogers conducted in 2010 that demonstrated how nominees encourage voters to make a plan.
'Helping people to make plans increase their likelihood of following through on their intentions, reads the study published in the Association for Psychological Science.
On the front of Cruz's flier, it listed 'ELECTION ALERT: VOTER VIOLATION.' And the other side said 'your individual voting history as well as your neighbor's are public record' and the voter should caucus to 'IMPROVE YOUR SCORE' and warned of 'lower expected voter turnout,' in the area -- Cruz also won Iowa
Ted Cruz is another candidate who used scientific techniques in Iowa, which reflected a study in 2008 from Yale and the University of Northern Iowa.
Researchers found that letters highlighting a voter's history and their neighbors history is a way to increase voter turnout.
On the front of Cruz's flier, it listed 'ELECTION ALERT: VOTER VIOLATION.'
And the other side said 'your individual voting history as well as your neighbor's are public record' and the voter should caucus to 'IMPROVE YOUR SCORE' and warned of 'lower expected voter turnout,' in the area.
The end of the message included a passage that a follow-up is possible.
Although some called this move a 'false representation of an official act', Cruz took home the win in Iowa.
'Subtle forms of social persuasion basically reminding people in subtle ways that others are doing their civic duty, combined with a discussion of some kind of monitoring or compliance, can be most effective,' said Donald Green, political scientist and quantitative methodologist at Columbia University who co-authored that 2008 study.
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