Believers in predictive power of so-called inversion in bond markets still think it augurs downturn
Yield on two-year Treasury falls below 10-year counterpart as inversion in closely watched indicator ends
The inversion will continue until morale deteriorates
“Real” meaning inflation-adjusted, or the one that actually matters? Both.
Soft landing hopes clash with bond market’s recession-forecasting reputation
Treasury yields are getting wrecked and we suppose that could be good
Since the inversion of the Treasury yield curve, investors have faced a dilemma
Yield-curve inversion suggests high chance of economic downturn but riskier assets remain buoyant
We're living in a world of fools, breaking us down, when they all should let R* be higher by 150-200bp
US yield curve is at its most inverted since 1981 in sign investors see recession on horizon
Lack of lending opportunities points to prolonged weakness in growth, warn bank officials
Recession worries build but equities seen as having staying power
Euro jumps after Moscow says it will scale back military activities near Kyiv
Two-year Treasury yields rise above those of the 10-year for first time since August 2019
Quantitative easing has left the long end of the yield curve artificially low
And we better hope so
Powerful sell-off in short-term Treasuries has caused an ominous ‘flattening’ of the yield curve
Some players anticipate steepening yield curve despite it being a trade that inflicted pain this year
And bubbles are very bad
Benchmark S&P 500 equities index edges up 0.2% to new record high
Investors are dumping tech stocks for housebuilders and regional banks in anticipation of a Biden victory
Gap between five- and 30-year Treasury yields at its widest since 2016
Sell-off in long-dated Treasuries follows pledge to let US inflation run above 2%
Traders eye Fed policy shift, ballooning government spending and stabilising economy
